Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0222 PM CDT Fri Jun 05 2026

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms capable of large to very large hail and
severe wind gusts are possible across the northern Plains. More
isolated severe storms capable locally damaging wind gusts may occur
across portions of the Mid-Atlantic.

...Synopsis...
On Sunday, a mid-level trough will move from the East Coast to the
Atlantic with a strong ridge across the Great Lakes. A large scale
trough will be in place across the western CONUS with an embedded
shortwave trough moving from the Northwest to the northern Rockies
through the day. At the surface, a lee trough will extend along the
High Plains from eastern Montana to West Texas. 

...Northern Plains and Vicinity...
Moderate to strong instability will develop across the northern
Plains with mid to upper 60s dewpoints. Farther west, wrap-around
moisture will result in modest destabilization into northeast
Wyoming and eastern Montana. Storms will first develop in this area.
While instability will be less within this zone, stronger mid-level
flow will support storm organization including the potential for
supercells. Large hail and severe wind gusts will be the primary
threat. In addition to this activity, additional storms are expected
along the dryline/front in central North Dakota where instability
will be greatest and temperatures are expected to warm into the
upper 80s to low 90s. 

...Portions of the Mid-Atlantic...
Diurnal heating and upper 60s dewpoints will support modest
destabilization ahead of the surface front across eastern Virginia
and vicinity on Sunday. Mid-level forcing associated with the
southeastward moving trough will support isolated to scattered
thunderstorm development during the afternoon/evening. Damaging
winds will be the primary threat from these storms with the threat
expected to wane after sunset.

..Bentley.. 06/05/2026