Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 07 2018


791
WTNT21 KNHC 072048
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018
2100 UTC FRI SEP 07 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 52.5W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 50SE 20SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 52.5W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 52.2W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 24.6N 53.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 20SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.6N 54.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.6N 55.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.8N 57.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.8N 60.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 27.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.5N 73.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 52.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





Source: Tropical Storm Florence Forecast Advisory Number 34


David Cottle

UBB Owner & Administrator