Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 07 2018

085 
FONT11 KNHC 072048
PWSAT1
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018               
2100 UTC FRI SEP 07 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   1(11)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     

Source: Tropical Storm Florence Wind Speed Probabilities Number 34