FZNT01 KWBC 072154

HSFAT1



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

2230 UTC FRI SEP 07 2018



CCODE/2:31:04:11:00/AOW+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.



SEE ANNOUNCEMENT OF PLANNED INMARSAT I-3 TO I-4 MIGRATION

IN 2018 AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/GMDSS_NOTICE.PHP (LOWERCASE).



ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).



FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH

AMERICAN ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.SHTML



PAN PAN



NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SEP 07.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 08.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 09.



.WARNINGS.



...GALE WARNING...

.LOW 60N40W 998 MB NEAR STATIONARY. FRONT EXTENDS FROM LOW TO

63N39W TO 65N35W. BETWEEN THE FRONT AND THE GREENLAND COAST N OF

63N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM

W SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N41W 998 MB. FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 61N40W

TO 64N40W TO 65N35W. N OF THE FRONT N OF 64N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.

SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO

25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED WITH CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.



...GALE WARNING...

.LOW 54N37W 991 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 240 NM E QUADRANT AND

420 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.

ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 540 NM SW SEMICIRCLE...240

NM E AND 180 NM NE QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N35W 989 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SW QUADRANT

WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM SW

QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW WELL E OF AREA NEAR 57N24W 986 MB. FROM

51N TO 56N E OF 40W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS E OF AREA.



...GALE WARNING...

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM N OF A FRONT FROM 38N76W TO

39N65W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 180 NM N OF FRONT FROM 37N76W TO 38N67W

WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.LOW 57N52W 996 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. WITHIN 180 NM S AND SW

QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED WITH CONDTIONS DESCRIBED WITH

LOW 56N24W.



.LOW 64N58W 999 MB MOVING SW 05 KT WILL TURN SE AND ACCELERATE

AFTER 24 HOURS. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NW QUADRANT N

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 62N57W 1003 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS W OF

A LINE FROM 59N59W TO 62N60W TO 67N54W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS

TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N52W 1008 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW AND W

QUADRANTS NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.



.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 55N50W 998 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S

SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N45W 996 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S AND SW

QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.



.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N37W 1002 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE QUADRANT

AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO

10 FT.



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 180 NM S OF

A LINE FROM 44N66W TO 41N75W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 38N TO 41N BETWEEN 65W AND 75W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 37N TO 41N W OF 65W.



.HIGH 34N51W 1021 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 34N48W 1020 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST 33N50W 1019 MB.



.HIGH 44N60W 1026 MB MOVING E 25 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 47N35W 1020 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH E OF AREA.



.FORECASTER SIENKIEWICZ. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND

GULF OF MEXICO



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 07.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 08.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 09.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 24.8N 52.5W 996 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP

07 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT

GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N

SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12

FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE

QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS

TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 11 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF

AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 48W AND 59W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO

10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 24.6N 54.7W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER AND WINDS 20 TO 33 KT WITHIN 240

NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. REMAINDER AREA

FROM 21N TO 30N BETWEEN 51W AND 61W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO

11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLORENCE NEAR 24.8N 57.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER AND

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT WITHIN 180 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH

SEAS TO 32 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 21N TO 31N BETWEEN 52W AND

64W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLORENCE NEAR 25.8N 60.9W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLORENCE NEAR 25.8N 60.9W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FLORENCE NEAR 25.8N 60.9W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT.



...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE NEAR 13.6N 34.9W 1007 MB AT 2100 UTC

SEP 07 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 0 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30

KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE NEAR 14.0N 36.2W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210

NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA

WITHIN 300 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN

MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NINE NEAR 14.0N 39.3W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM

SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE

WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180

NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 13 FT.

.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NINE NEAR 14.0N 44.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NINE NEAR 14.0N 44.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NINE NEAR 14.0N 44.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.



...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT NEAR 13.2N 18.6W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC

SEP 07 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30

KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHT NEAR 13.9N 21.9W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW

QUADRANT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHT NEAR 14.9N 27.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT.

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EIGHT NEAR 16.5N 33.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EIGHT NEAR 16.5N 33.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHT NEAR 16.5N 33.5W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 2115 UTC FRI SEP 7...



.TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM N

SEMICIRCLE.



.TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN

NM NW SEMICIRCLE.



$$

.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


Source: OPC N Atlantic High Seas Forecast


David Cottle

UBB Owner & Administrator