Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 10 2018


310
WTPZ23 KNHC 102009
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182018
2100 UTC MON SEP 10 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 121.2W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 121.2W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 120.9W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 21.8N 122.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 22.2N 124.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 22.6N 126.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.9N 127.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 23.5N 129.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 23.5N 131.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 23.5N 132.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 121.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/RAMOS





Source: Tropical Storm Paul Forecast Advisory Number 10


David Cottle

UBB Owner & Administrator