FZNT01 KWBC 050336

HSFAT1



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

0430 UTC FRI OCT 05 2018



CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOW+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.



SEE ANNOUNCEMENT OF PLANNED INMARSAT I-3 TO I-4 MIGRATION

IN 2018 AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/GMDSS_NOTICE.PHP (LOWERCASE).



ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).



FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH

AMERICAN ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.SHTML



PAN PAN



NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC OCT 05.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 06.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 07.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...

.LOW INLAND 60N71W 954 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS

WITHIN 660 NM E AND 420 NM N QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS

18 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE FROM 47N50W TO 55N45W TO

62N49W TO 67N59W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 61N67W 952 MB. FROM 60N TO 64N WITHIN 90

NM SW OF THE GREENLAND COAST WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 20 TO 30

FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 61N58W 960 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S QUADRANT

WINDS 50 TO 60 KT. SEAS 21 TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM S

SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO

21 FT. ALSO N OF 52N AND W OF 43W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO

15 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 60N45W 975 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE

WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM E

AND SE QUADRANTS...AND 540 NM W AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35

KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.



...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 34.9N 57.6W 984 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT

05 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT

GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 250 NM NE

QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 190 NM

NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM S AND 360 NM N

SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 41N

BETWEEN 47W AND 65W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 37.2N 57.7W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE...160 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 170

NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM NE

QUADRANT...480 NM SE QUADRANT...360 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 420 NM

NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 42N

BETWEEN 47W AND 66W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 37.5N 54.5W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...170 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 170 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN

420 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...300 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 420 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE

FROM 31N TO 44N BETWEEN 45W AND 63W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO

12 FT.

.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 36.5N 50.0W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 34.5N 45.5W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 33.0N 42.5W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.



...STORM WARNING...

.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 61N40W 985 MB WITH FRONT TO EXTEND

FROM LOW TO 57N36W TO 49N42W. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM

E AND NE OF THE FRONT WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.

ELSEWHERE FROM 47N TO 65N E OF 43W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO

15 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 63N38W 974 MB. N OF 64N E OF GREENLAND

WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 24 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 63N39W 974 MB. N OF 64N E OF GREENLAND

WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 63N E OF

GREENLAND WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.



...GALE WARNING...

.36 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 50N41W 1008 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S OF A

FRONT FROM 51N35W TO LOW TO 45N48W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO

16 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA NEAR 54N28W 1000 MB. FRONT TO

EXTEND FROM 50N35W TO 44N47W. WITHIN 240 NM S OF THE FRONT WINDS

25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 180 NM NW OF A LINE FROM 39N72W TO

44N57W AREA OF NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 60 NM OF

48N62W AND 61N68W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 180 NM SE OF A LINE FROM

57N42W TO 44N55W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 45N BETWEEN 47W AND 52W.



.HIGH 48N36W 1032 MB MOVING E 15 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH E OF AREA.



.HIGH 33N77W 1018 MB MOVING S 05 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 32N77W 1019 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.



.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N69W 1024 MB.



.FORECASTER NOLT. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND

GULF OF MEXICO



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 05.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 06.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 07.



.WARNINGS.



.NONE.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE N OF AREA. N OF A LINE FROM 31N51W TO

29N54W TO 31N62W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.

ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE TO 75W FROM 31N45W TO 19N62W WINDS 20 KT

OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN MIXED SWELL OUTSIDE BAHAMAS.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF A LINE FROM 31N38W TO 27N63W TO 31N69W

WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NORTHERLY SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF A LINE FROM 31N51W TO 28N57W TO 31N64W

WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NORTHERLY SWELL.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


Source: OPC N Atlantic High Seas Forecast


David Cottle

UBB Owner & Administrator