Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020


000
WTNT22 KNHC 112049
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020
2100 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULETTE. A
HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR THE ISLAND TONIGHT OR EARLY
SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 53.7W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 70SE 60SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 53.7W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 53.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.9N 55.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 27.5N 57.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 28.7N 59.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 29.8N 62.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.1N 64.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.6N 65.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 36.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 39.0N 56.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 53.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




Source: Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 20