Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUL 19 2021


710
WTPZ22 KNHC 191436
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072021
1500 UTC MON JUL 19 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 117.8W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 30SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 117.8W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 117.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.0N 119.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.9N 123.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.6N 126.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.3N 128.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.1N 131.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.9N 134.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 17.9N 139.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 17.9N 145.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 117.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





Source: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast Advisory Number 9