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#779936
Tue 28 Oct 2025 08:56:AM
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,904
Launch Director
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OP
Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,904 |
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025 000
FONT13 KNHC 280856
PWSAT3
HURRICANE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025
0900 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
150 KTS...175 MPH...280 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 23(27)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 64(64) 11(75) X(75)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 10(37) X(37)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) X(14)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ANDROS 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X 4( 4) 35(39) 13(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X 2( 2) 30(32) 43(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 43(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MAYAGUANA 34 X 4( 4) 50(54) 27(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GRAND TURK 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 14(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
CIENFUEGOS 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAMAGUEY 34 2 5( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 3 59(62) 12(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTEGO BAY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MONTEGO BAY 50 90 4(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
MONTEGO BAY 64 60 13(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
KINGSTON 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KINGSTON 50 26 9(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
KINGSTON 64 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
LES CAYES 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
$$
FORECASTER REINHART Source: Hurricane Melissa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 28
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