Eastern Range Operations Forecast<br /><br />Op Number: F8615<br /><br />Issued: 21 Aug 03 0930 EDT<br /><br />Valid: 25 Aug 03 0135 EDT<br /><br />Note: Forecasts available on the 45th Weather Squadron web site at: https://www.patrick.af.mil/45OG/45WS/<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Vehicle/Payload:<br /> Delta II / SIRTF<br /><br /> <br /> <br />Location:<br /> Pad 17-B<br /><br /> <br /> <br />Launch Weather Officer:<br /> Joel Tumbiolo<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Synoptic Discussion:<br /> <br /> <br />Deep tropical air mass remains entrenched over FL. Light S-SW steering flow will result in early development and inland penetration of the east coast sea breeze. This will result in a majority of showers and thunderstorms remaining west of I-95. Weak frontal boundary approaching from the north will be over FL-GA border over the weekend, and dissipate over northern and central FL by Monday. A southeasterly flow reestablishes itself on Tuesday as a tropical wave approaches from the SE. This wave is expected to remain south of the area. Main concerns for the instantaneous launch window will be the proximity of residual cloud cover associated showers and thunderstorms that develop during the afternoon and evening hours. <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Clouds<br /> Coverage<br /> Bases (feet)<br /> Tops (feet)<br /> <br />SCT030<br /> 2/8<br /> 3,000 <br /> 5,000<br /> <br />SCT120<br /> 2/8<br /> 12,000<br /> 14,000<br /> <br />BKN250<br /> 5/8<br /> 25,000<br /> 28,000<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Visibility:<br /> 7 miles<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Wind:<br /> SE / 5 knots, gusting to 10 knots<br /> Pressure:<br /> 30.00 IN HG<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Temperature:<br /> 76 F - 78 F<br /> RH:<br /> 90%<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Weather:<br /> Showers in the vicinity<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Overall probability of violating weather constraints:<br /> 20%<br /> <br />Primary concern(s):<br /> Cumulus Cloud Rule, Anvil Cloud Rule, Debris Cloud Rule<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Overall probability of violating weather constraints for 24 hour delay:<br /> 30%<br /> <br />Primary concern(s):<br /> Same<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Overall probability of violating weather constraints for 48 hour delay:<br /> 30%<br /> <br />Primary concern(s):<br /> Same<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Sunrise:<br /> 25 Aug 03 / 0657 EDT<br /><br />26 Aug 03 / 0658 EDT<br /><br />27 Aug 03 / 0658 EDT<br /> Moonrise/<br /><br />(% illum):<br /> 25 Aug 03 / 0436 EDT / 5%<br /><br />26 Aug 03 / 0539 EDT / 2%<br /><br />27 Aug 03 / 0643 EDT / 0%<br /> <br />Sunset:<br /> 25 Aug 03 / 1952 EDT<br /><br />26 Aug 03 / 1951 EDT<br /><br />27 Aug 03 / 1950 EDT<br /> Moonset:<br /> 25 Aug 03 / 1853 EDT<br /><br />26 Aug 03 / 1935 EDT<br /><br />27 Aug 03 / 2013 EDT<br /> <br />Next forecast will be issued:<br /> 22 Aug 03