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Volcano earthquake report for Saturday, 25 Jul 2026
• Moderate mag. 4.1 earthquake - North Pacific Ocean, 167 km southwest of Ret...
• Moderate mag. 4.1 earthquake - North Pacific Ocean, 167 km southwest of Ret...
• Moderate mag. 4.0 earthquake - South Pacific Ocean, 58 km west of Vallenar,...
• Moderate mag. 4.0 earthquake - South Pacific Ocean, 58 km west of Vallenar,...
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
Webmaster
14 hours ago
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 260513 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Jul 25 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Fausto, located well east of the Hawaiian Islands, and on Hurricane Genevieve, located well southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Well Southwest of Hawaii (CP92): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located well west-southwest of the Hawaiian Islands are becoming better organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves generally westward at about 10 mph toward the International Date Line, and a tropical depression is expected to form in the western Pacific basin during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. && Products issued by the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center can be found at: www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html Official tropical cyclone forecast information issued by the Japan Meteorological Agency for the western Pacific basin can be found at: www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/RSMC_HP.html $$ Forecaster Gibbs/Evans/Pierce Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
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Tuesday: Light Rain, Minimum Temperature: 16°C (60°F) Maximum Temperature: 26°C (79°F)
Webmaster
14 hours ago
Maximum Temperature: 26°C (79°F), Minimum Temperature: 16°C (60°F), Wind Direction: south-westerly, Wind Speed: 8mph, Visibility: Moderate, Pressure: 1018mb, Humidity: 70%, UV Risk: 4, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 05:17 BST, Sunset: 21:12 BST Source: Tuesday: Light Rain, Minimum Temperature: 16°C (60°F) Maximum Temperature: 26°C (79°F)
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Monday: Light Cloud, Minimum Temperature: 16°C (61°F) Maximum Temperature: 21°C (69°F)
Webmaster
14 hours ago
Maximum Temperature: 21°C (69°F), Minimum Temperature: 16°C (61°F), Wind Direction: westerly, Wind Speed: 11mph, Visibility: Good, Pressure: 1017mb, Humidity: 71%, UV Risk: 3, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 05:16 BST, Sunset: 21:14 BST Source: Monday: Light Cloud, Minimum Temperature: 16°C (61°F) Maximum Temperature: 21°C (69°F)
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Today: Light Rain Showers, Minimum Temperature: 13°C (55°F) Maximum Temperature: 19°C (66°F)
Webmaster
14 hours ago
Maximum Temperature: 19°C (66°F), Minimum Temperature: 13°C (55°F), Wind Direction: westerly, Wind Speed: 14mph, Visibility: Moderate, Pressure: 1005mb, Humidity: 80%, UV Risk: 3, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 05:14 BST, Sunset: 21:16 BST Source: Today: Light Rain Showers, Minimum Temperature: 13°C (55°F) Maximum Temperature: 19°C (66°F)
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Hurricane Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 29
Webmaster
17 hours ago
Issued at 500 PM HST Sat Jul 25 2026 000
WTPZ41 KNHC 260236
TCDEP1
Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
500 PM HST Sat Jul 25 2026
Satellite imagery indicates that Fausto's overall structure has
changed little during the past several hours. Despite the dry
surrounding environment and the occasional dry air intrusion, the
cyclone has maintained its convective structure with a symmetric
eyewall and well-established outflow. The ragged eye, however, has
recently become obscured with clouds. The latest subjective Dvorak
intensity estimate from TAFB is T5.0/90 kt, while objective
intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 80 to around 95 kt.
Based on the satellite presentation and a blend of the available
intensity estimates, the initial intensity is held at 85 kt.
The initial motion is estimated to be 280/11 kt, and this general
motion is expected to continue through the next several days as a
strong subtropical ridge remains positioned north of the cyclone.
The latest track guidance has come into better agreement and remains
tightly clustered through the middle portion of next week as the
system passes north of the Hawaiian Islands. The NHC forecast has
again been nudged slightly northward toward the multi-model
consensus (HCCA) between 60-96 h.
Fausto is moving into a drier mid-level environment over marginal
sea-surface temperatures, and southwesterly vertical wind shear is
expected to increase after 36 h while the system moves over the
central Pacific basin. Simulated satellite imagery depicts a similar
evolution, maintaining a well-defined cyclone into tomorrow before
gradually eroding the convective structure Sunday night into early
next week. By the time Fausto moves into the vicinity of the
Hawaiian Islands, it is forecast to be a weakening tropical storm
with the deepest convection becoming increasingly displaced from the
low-level center and the strongest winds confined to the northern
side of the circulation. The NHC intensity forecast is little
changed from the previous advisory and remains near the upper end of
the guidance envelope.
Based on the predicted sheared nature of the storm, the risk of
sustained tropical-force-winds on land should be low as long as the
forecast track stays north of the islands. Interests in Hawaii
should continue to monitor the latest forecast updates.
Key Messages:
1. Fausto is expected to weaken as it approaches the vicinity of the
Hawaiian Islands early next week. Although confidence is increasing
that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain offshore
north of the islands, interests across Hawaii should continue to
monitor the progress of Fausto.
2. Confidence is high that swells generated by Fausto will reach the
Hawaiian Islands well in advance of the cyclone, producing
increasing surf and dangerous rip currents. Surf is expected to
begin building across east-facing shores of the eastern end of the
state on Sunday, spreading westward Sunday night into Monday, and
continue building through Tuesday as Fausto approaches and moves
into the area.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 26/0300Z 19.5N 138.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 19.8N 140.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 20.2N 143.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 20.7N 145.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 28/0000Z 21.3N 148.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 28/1200Z 21.8N 150.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 29/0000Z 22.4N 153.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 30/0000Z 23.5N 157.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 31/0000Z 24.5N 162.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans/Pierce Source: Hurricane Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 29
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Hurricane Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 29
Webmaster
17 hours ago
Issued at 500 PM HST Sat Jul 25 2026 000
WTPZ41 KNHC 260236
TCDEP1
Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
500 PM HST Sat Jul 25 2026
Satellite imagery indicates that Fausto's overall structure has
changed little during the past several hours. Despite the dry
surrounding environment and the occasional dry air intrusion, the
cyclone has maintained its convective structure with a symmetric
eyewall and well-established outflow. The ragged eye, however, has
recently become obscured with clouds. The latest subjective Dvorak
intensity estimate from TAFB is T5.0/90 kt, while objective
intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 80 to around 95 kt.
Based on the satellite presentation and a blend of the available
intensity estimates, the initial intensity is held at 85 kt.
The initial motion is estimated to be 280/11 kt, and this general
motion is expected to continue through the next several days as a
strong subtropical ridge remains positioned north of the cyclone.
The latest track guidance has come into better agreement and remains
tightly clustered through the middle portion of next week as the
system passes north of the Hawaiian Islands. The NHC forecast has
again been nudged slightly northward toward the multi-model
consensus (HCCA) between 60-96 h.
Fausto is moving into a drier mid-level environment over marginal
sea-surface temperatures, and southwesterly vertical wind shear is
expected to increase after 36 h while the system moves over the
central Pacific basin. Simulated satellite imagery depicts a similar
evolution, maintaining a well-defined cyclone into tomorrow before
gradually eroding the convective structure Sunday night into early
next week. By the time Fausto moves into the vicinity of the
Hawaiian Islands, it is forecast to be a weakening tropical storm
with the deepest convection becoming increasingly displaced from the
low-level center and the strongest winds confined to the northern
side of the circulation. The NHC intensity forecast is little
changed from the previous advisory and remains near the upper end of
the guidance envelope.
Based on the predicted sheared nature of the storm, the risk of
sustained tropical-force-winds on land should be low as long as the
forecast track stays north of the islands. Interests in Hawaii
should continue to monitor the latest forecast updates.
Key Messages:
1. Fausto is expected to weaken as it approaches the vicinity of the
Hawaiian Islands early next week. Although confidence is increasing
that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain offshore
north of the islands, interests across Hawaii should continue to
monitor the progress of Fausto.
2. Confidence is high that swells generated by Fausto will reach the
Hawaiian Islands well in advance of the cyclone, producing
increasing surf and dangerous rip currents. Surf is expected to
begin building across east-facing shores of the eastern end of the
state on Sunday, spreading westward Sunday night into Monday, and
continue building through Tuesday as Fausto approaches and moves
into the area.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 26/0300Z 19.5N 138.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 19.8N 140.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 20.2N 143.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 20.7N 145.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 28/0000Z 21.3N 148.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 28/1200Z 21.8N 150.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 29/0000Z 22.4N 153.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 30/0000Z 23.5N 157.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 31/0000Z 24.5N 162.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans/Pierce Source: Hurricane Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 29
0
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Hurricane Genevieve Forecast Discussion Number 7
Webmaster
17 hours ago
Issued at 800 PM MST Sat Jul 25 2026 000
WTPZ42 KNHC 260235
TCDEP2
Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 PM MST Sat Jul 25 2026
Inner-core convection continues to wrap around Genevieve's center,
while water vapor imagery shows well-established upper-level
outflow in nearly all quadrants of the storm. The Dvorak estimate
from TAFB is up to T4.0/65 kt, while the most recent UW-CIMSS ADT,
AiDT, and DPRINT estimates are between 65 and 77 kt. Based on these
data, Genevieve is upgraded to a 70-kt hurricane.
Genevieve continues to move west-northwestward (295 degrees) at 13
kt, steered by stronger-than-normal mid-tropospheric ridging that
extends from the southwestern United States down into the western
Caribbean Sea. This feature will continue to steer Genevieve
west-northwestward or northwestward for the next 5 days, although
the hurricane's speed may slow down to 7-8 kt in about 3 days when
a mid-level trough develops over southern Mexico. The track
guidance is very tightly clustered, and the new NHC track forecast
is nearly unchanged from the previous forecast.
Genevieve's strengthening hasn't reached a rapid rate quite yet,
but it might be on the verge of doing so. The hurricane will be
simultaneously experiencing a maximum of oceanic heat content and
upper-level divergence over the next 12 hours, along with generally
light shear. The consensus of SHIPS Rapid Intensification (RI)
guidance and DTOPS guidance is showing a 70-80 percent chance of a
30-kt increase over the next 24 hours, and a 55-80 percent chance
of a 45-kt increase over the next 36 hours. As a result, the NHC
intensity forecast continues to depict the occurrence of RI, with a
peak of 115 kt shown at 48 hours. This forecast still lies between
the latest HCCA and Google DeepMind ensemble mean solutions.
Gradual weakening is expected to begin by 60 hours due to a brief
increase in shear, cooler sea surface temperatures, and a drier and
more stable environment. That said, Genevieve is forecast to remain
a hurricane through day 5.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 26/0300Z 12.1N 106.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 13.0N 108.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 14.2N 110.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 15.3N 112.2W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 28/0000Z 16.5N 113.7W 115 KT 130 MPH
60H 28/1200Z 17.3N 115.0W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 29/0000Z 18.1N 116.4W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 30/0000Z 19.3N 119.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 31/0000Z 20.8N 123.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
$$
Forecaster Berg Source: Hurricane Genevieve Forecast Discussion Number 7
0
8
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Hurricane Genevieve Forecast Discussion Number 7
Webmaster
17 hours ago
Issued at 800 PM MST Sat Jul 25 2026 000
WTPZ42 KNHC 260235
TCDEP2
Hurricane Genevieve Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
800 PM MST Sat Jul 25 2026
Inner-core convection continues to wrap around Genevieve's center,
while water vapor imagery shows well-established upper-level
outflow in nearly all quadrants of the storm. The Dvorak estimate
from TAFB is up to T4.0/65 kt, while the most recent UW-CIMSS ADT,
AiDT, and DPRINT estimates are between 65 and 77 kt. Based on these
data, Genevieve is upgraded to a 70-kt hurricane.
Genevieve continues to move west-northwestward (295 degrees) at 13
kt, steered by stronger-than-normal mid-tropospheric ridging that
extends from the southwestern United States down into the western
Caribbean Sea. This feature will continue to steer Genevieve
west-northwestward or northwestward for the next 5 days, although
the hurricane's speed may slow down to 7-8 kt in about 3 days when
a mid-level trough develops over southern Mexico. The track
guidance is very tightly clustered, and the new NHC track forecast
is nearly unchanged from the previous forecast.
Genevieve's strengthening hasn't reached a rapid rate quite yet,
but it might be on the verge of doing so. The hurricane will be
simultaneously experiencing a maximum of oceanic heat content and
upper-level divergence over the next 12 hours, along with generally
light shear. The consensus of SHIPS Rapid Intensification (RI)
guidance and DTOPS guidance is showing a 70-80 percent chance of a
30-kt increase over the next 24 hours, and a 55-80 percent chance
of a 45-kt increase over the next 36 hours. As a result, the NHC
intensity forecast continues to depict the occurrence of RI, with a
peak of 115 kt shown at 48 hours. This forecast still lies between
the latest HCCA and Google DeepMind ensemble mean solutions.
Gradual weakening is expected to begin by 60 hours due to a brief
increase in shear, cooler sea surface temperatures, and a drier and
more stable environment. That said, Genevieve is forecast to remain
a hurricane through day 5.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 26/0300Z 12.1N 106.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 13.0N 108.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 14.2N 110.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 15.3N 112.2W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 28/0000Z 16.5N 113.7W 115 KT 130 MPH
60H 28/1200Z 17.3N 115.0W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 29/0000Z 18.1N 116.4W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 30/0000Z 19.3N 119.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 31/0000Z 20.8N 123.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
$$
Forecaster Berg Source: Hurricane Genevieve Forecast Discussion Number 7
0
5
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Hurricane Genevieve Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
Webmaster
17 hours ago
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUL 26 2026 000
FOPZ12 KNHC 260234
PWSEP2
HURRICANE GENEVIEVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
0300 UTC SUN JUL 26 2026
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GENEVIEVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
12.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 110W 34 X 87(87) 4(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
15N 110W 50 X 23(23) 8(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
15N 110W 64 X 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 60(80) 2(82) X(82)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 37(42) 1(43) 1(44)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) X(26) X(26)
15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11)
15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 4(28) X(28)
20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 65(67) 11(78)
20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 12(47)
20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 6(25)
20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 31(32)
20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11)
20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
$$
FORECASTER BERG Source: Hurricane Genevieve Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
0
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