No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 22 Jun 2026 13:29:34 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 22 Jun 2026 12:00:19 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 22 Jun 2026 11:54:55 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 21 Jun 2026 18:01:15 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 21 Jun 2026 14:10:12 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

Joe Rogan gives the best advice for anyone out of shape who wants to get serious: Don’t try to make up for years of neglect in a few weeks.

Start stupidly light - 20 minutes, 5 push-ups, 5 squats, 5 sit-ups. Take breaks. Build slowly. Use the sauna and cold plunge for recovery. If you jump straight into what fit people do, you’ll wreck your body and quit.

Consistency beats intensity when you’re starting from zero.

Research on exercise progression (including the popular “10% rule”) shows that gradually increasing training volume by no more than 10% per week dramatically reduces injury risk in beginners and previously sedentary people, while still producing significant strength and fitness gains.

SPC MD 1255
MD 1255 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR EAST-CENTRAL TO SOUTHEAST COLORADO

Mesoscale Discussion 1255
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0140 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Areas affected...East-central to southeast Colorado

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

Valid 221840Z - 222045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development appears likely along the Front
Range from central to southern Colorado in the next 1-2 hours. Watch
issuance is likely as storms develop and spread east/southeast.

DISCUSSION...Latest GOES imagery depicts growing cumulus from the
Denver area southward along the Front Range and into the Raton Mesa
within a weak upslope flow regime. This comes as temperatures begin
to warm into the low to mid 80s, which latest CAM guidance suggests
is required to erode mixed-layer inhibition and support convective
initiation. Based on these satellite and temperature trends, deep
convective initiation appears probable within the next 1-2 hours.

Initially high-based convection will quickly spread east/southeast
given the 30-40 knot west/northwest flow regime aloft. Steady
intensification with eastward extent is expected as storms migrate
into the axis of rich low-level moisture (dewpoints in the upper 50s
to low 60s) in place along the eastern Plains. Additionally,
elongated hodographs featuring 40-50 knots of effective bulk shear
analyzed in recent mesoanalyses/forecast soundings (and confirmed by
regional VWPs) will promote splitting supercells capable of large to
very large hail (possibly as high as 2-3 inches) as well as strong
outflow winds. Watch issuance will be needed this afternoon as
initiation becomes more imminent and storms begin to mature.

..Moore/Hart.. 06/22/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

LAT...LON   36970280 37000336 37190395 37440450 37650481 37900503
            38230522 38670542 39010540 39270522 39400488 39420443
            39420397 39310341 39230321 38930273 38590235 38220211
            37820201 37390201 37190207 37070217 36970280 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1255.html

SPC MD 1256
MD 1256 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN TN...NORTHERN GA...AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS

Mesoscale Discussion 1256
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0237 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Areas affected...eastern TN...northern GA...and the western
Carolinas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 221937Z - 222130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage will gradually increase through late
afternoon. Sporadic strong wind gusts will be possible. A watch may
be needed at some point, but a more organized severe risk is
uncertain.

DISCUSSION...Clusters of thunderstorms over northern AL and Middle
TN will continue to progress generally east/northeast through the
remainder of the afternoon. Most of the stronger midlevel flow
across the region is in the wake of an MCV/outflow boundary
extending from Middle TN into northwest AL, leaving generally weak
vertical shear across northern GA/eastern TN and the western
Carolinas. Nevertheless, a warm and moist airmass resides across the
area, resulting in moderate instability. Transient
multicells/clusters may produce sporadic strong/locally damaging
gusts. If a more organized cluster/bowing complex can develop
upstream closer to the MCV and move into this area late this
afternoon/early evening, some increased risk for damaging winds may
develop. A more organized severe risk and the need for a severe
thunderstorm watch is uncertain. Trends will be monitored.

..Leitman/Hart.. 06/22/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   35458606 36528399 36468212 35778200 34938209 34258265
            33928379 33758510 34048546 34668606 35038630 35458606 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1256.html

SPC MD 1257
MD 1257 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 376... FOR EASTERN WYOMING AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF NEBRASKA...SOUTH DAKOTA AND FAR SOUTHEAST MONTANA

Mesoscale Discussion 1257
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0310 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Areas affected...Eastern Wyoming and adjacent portions of
Nebraska...South Dakota and far southeast Montana

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 376...

Valid 222010Z - 222215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 376
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for large hail is slowly increasing across
eastern Wyoming and far western Nebraska. This threat will gradually
spread east/southeast over the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...Latest GOES IR and MRMS data shows steady
intensification of a trio of supercells near the Sheridan, WY area
along with more isolated cells near Douglas, WY and near Kimball,
NE. Across north/northeast WY, low-level moisture is more limited,
but increasing ascent associated with the left-exit region of the
300 mb jet aloft continues to overspread the region, aiding in
mid-level cooling and compensating for the otherwise modest
moisture. This ascent will continue to promote storm intensification
through early evening as cells spread east/southeast. Recent
forecast guidance and SARS estimate hail sizes hint that hail sizes
will most likely reach into the 1-2 inch range over the next couple
of hours. 

Further south, storms in east-central WY to far western NE continue
to propagate into a plume of richer low-level moisture (dewpoints in
the low to mid 50s) where a regional SBCAPE maximum is noted (near
2000 J/kg). Continued low-level moisture advection coupled with
increasing mid-level flow attendant to the upstream mid-level wave
should further augment the convective environment over the next few
hours. By the 22-00 UTC period, the highest SHIP values should
reside from eastern WY into western NE, suggesting that the greatest
potential for 2-3 inch hail may manifest across this region.

..Moore.. 06/22/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...UNR...BOU...CYS...BYZ...RIW...

LAT...LON   41020409 41600441 42690516 43860632 44660688 44990684
            45300658 45400596 45320544 44630469 43310368 42520320
            41580272 41180270 41030280 40820328 40790367 40830389
            41020409 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1257.html

SPC MD 1258
MD 1258 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 374... FOR NORTHERN AL AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN

Mesoscale Discussion 1258
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0320 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Areas affected...northern AL and southern Middle TN

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 374...

Valid 222020Z - 222145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 374
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong/damaging wind gust potential may be increasing
across northern Alabama into southern Middle Tennessee over the next
1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...A dense cluster of convection over northern AL/southern
Middle TN has shown some signs of intensification recently. If this
area of convection can consolidate further, damaging wind potential
will increase in the short term. This activity is occurring within a
favorably shear environment, characterized by 35 kt 0-6 km effective
shear and around 200 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH. Radar velocity signatures
have also increased both in intensity and with some middle rotation
noted. Greater forward propagation of this cluster may be underway
and an ensuing risk of severe wind gusts may occur soon. If this
evolution unfolds, a downstream watch may be needed.

..Leitman.. 06/22/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   35108721 35448505 35338455 34938435 34558461 34308536
            34188580 34138696 34138747 34328762 34738758 34908754
            35108721 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1258.html

SPC Jun 22, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0257 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Valid 222000Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS AND FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds
and perhaps a couple of tornadoes should occur this afternoon and
evening across portions of the Mid-Atlantic into the Southeast.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are also expected across the
northern/central High Plains, with large to very large hail and a
tornado or two.

...20z Update Central High Plains...
Minimal changes were made to the prior outlook. Strong to severe
storms, including supercells, are developing across parts of WY and
CO and should spread east/southeastward this afternoon and evening.
Steep mid-level lapse rates and the discrete mode should favor
significant severe hail with these storms into this evening. A
tornado or two is also possible, focused mostly along the Cheyenne
Ridge where stronger low-level shear is being observed.

...Mid Atlantic...
Several rounds of storms remain likely this afternoon and evening
beneath the strong mid-level zonal flow aloft. Damaging winds appear
to be the most likely threat with scattered but mostly cellular
storms through this evening. A tornado or two remains possible. This
is most likely near the warm front across northern NJ and southern
Long Island where stronger and backed low-level flow is supporting
100-150 0-1km SRH.

Some guidance shows an increase in storm clustering and stronger
outflow gusts from northern VA into northern MD/DE and southern
PA/NJ this evening. Should this occur, a locally more favorable
corridor of damaging winds could develop. However, this remains very
uncertain given the more scattered and cellular convection observed
so far.

...TX/OK...
Some mode signal exists for isolated convective development this
afternoon along the trailing outflow boundary across north TX from
the morning MCS. Very large buoyancy and steep mid-level lapse rates
could support hail with these storms. However, the lack of broader
large-scale ascent suggests more isolated coverage through this
evening.

..Lyons.. 06/22/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1120 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026/

...Mid Atlantic...
Relatively fast zonal flow is present today from the OH Valley into
the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US, with a shortwave trough evident
over OH/MI.  As this feature tracks eastward, it will push a surface
cold front southward across the central Appalachians and into the
Mid-Atlantic region.  Considerable clouds are present ahead of the
front from KY/WV into VA/PA/NJ, limiting destabilization and
confidence in the details of where clusters of storms may form later
today.  However, given the relatively strong winds aloft and
dewpoints in the 60s, it would seem likely that scattered strong to
severe storms will occur, capable of locally damaging winds and
perhaps a tornado.  

...TN/MS/AL/GA...
The remnants of a severe overnight MCS are over AR/west TN/northern
MS.  This system has considerable mesoscale organization with an MCV
noted over eastern AR.  A very moist and unstable air mass is in
place ahead of this system over northern MS/AL, where heating into
the mid 80s will foster thunderstorm intensification this afternoon.
Damaging winds are the main concern with these storms, but a
low-level jet feature associated with the MCV could result in a few
supercell structures and the risk of a tornado or two.  Activity
will track into north GA this evening.  Refer to MD #1252 for
further details.

...Central High Plains...
Similar to yesterday, low-clouds are slowly burning off across the
High Plains of eastern CO and western SD/NE/KS, where moderate CAPE
values will develop by mid-afternoon.  Easterly/upslope flow will
contribute to scattered thunderstorm development over eastern WY and
southward along the DCVZ in CO.  These storms will track into the
CAPE axis, where favorable deep-layer shear will promote supercells
capable of very large hail and a few tornadoes.

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_2000.html

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0239 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA AND SOUTHERN
UTAH...

...Southern Great Basin, Colorado Plateau and Four Corners...
Dry southwesterly to westerly flow under a building ridge aloft will
bring a broad fire weather concern to portions of the Southwest,
southern Great Basin and CO Plateau Tuesday. Poor overnight
recoveries through tonight will precede daytime minimum RH of 5-15%
across this region. The very low daytime RH, sustained
west-southwest winds of around 15 mph and critically dry fuels still
supports this broad fire weather threat. Elevated highlights have
been expanded northward into east-central NV as well as the CO
Western Slope and eastern UT based on latest forecast guidance and
increasingly receptive fuels.

...Northern Arizona and Southern Utah...
A corridor of enhanced westerly winds up to 20 mph amid RH as low as
10% will yield a period of critical fire weather conditions for
parts of northern AZ into southern UT. The highlighted area was
shifted slightly eastward based on latest model guidance, with lower
probabilities of reaching critical fire weather criteria across the
AZ Strip.

..Williams.. 06/22/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1158 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026/

...Synopsis...
Upper ridging will persist over the Interior West while building
into the Northern Plains tomorrow (Tuesday). An embedded mid-level
impulse will overspread the central Rockies, supporting surface lee
troughing intensification over Intermountain West. Dry and breezy
conditions will result Tuesday afternoon over the southern Great
Basin into the Four corners, where Elevated highlights have been
introduced. Critical highlights have also been introduced where
guidance consensus depicts 20+ mph sustained westerly surface winds
coinciding with 10-15 percent RH atop fuels receptive to fire
spread.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html

SPC Jun 22, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0230 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms are possible across the central High
Plains on Wednesday with a threat for large to very large hail. More
isolated severe storms are possible across portions of the upper
Midwest.

...Synopsis...

A short-wave trough is forecast to move from the upper MS Valley
into the upper Great Lakes ahead of a sheared vorticity maximum
translating from the northern Rockies into the northern and central
Plains. Those features will be associated with a belt of enhanced
mid-level flow extending from the northern and central High Plains
into the Great Lakes. At the surface, an area of low pressure is
forecast to weaken over the upper Midwest, along a cold front
advancing through that area. The western extension of that boundary
will become increasingly less defined with southwestward extent into
the central and southern Plains.


...Central and Southern High Plains to the lower Mississippi
Valley...

As was the case for the Day 2 (Tuesday and Tuesday night) forecast
period, there is considerable spread in 12Z model guidance in the
location of any ongoing MCS(s) at 12Z Wednesday. The location of
those features will dictate the specific location of any more
concentrated damaging-wind risk later Wednesday, especially from the
Ozark Plateau into lower MS Valley. There is higher confidence in
widely scattered afternoon storm development across the central and
perhaps southern High Plains within a low-level, upslope regime. The
combination of moderate instability and 35-50 kt of deep-layer shear
will support supercells capable of large to very large hail as the
primary hazard.

There is some model signal that the afternoon High Plains storms
will grow upscale into an MCS across lower elevations of the central
Plains Wednesday night with an associated damaging-wind risk.
Confidence in that scenario is currently too low to extend the 15%
probability contour farther east at this time.


...Upper Midwest...

Lingering clouds associated with early-day storms may limit air mass
destabilization into afternoon. However, where cloud breaks can
occur, the combination of cooling temperatures aloft and modest
boundary-layer moisture content will support moderate afternoon
instability. Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop
during the afternoon in the vicinity of the surface low and frontal
boundary, and within the belt of stronger mid-level flow, suggesting
some potential for large hail with the strongest updrafts.

..Mead.. 06/22/2026

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_1930.html

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 377 Status Reports
WW 0377 Status Updates

STATUS FOR WATCH 0377 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0377.html

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 377
WW 377 SEVERE TSTM CO 221930Z - 230300Z

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 377
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
130 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Colorado

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
  900 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon over
eastern Colorado, in a relatively moist and unstable air mass. 
Large to very-large hail will be the primary risk with this
activity.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north of Akron
CO to 35 miles west southwest of Springfield CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 374...WW 375...WW 376...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.

...Hart

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0377.html

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 376 Status Reports
WW 0376 Status Updates

STATUS FOR WATCH 0376 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0376.html

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 376
WW 376 SEVERE TSTM MT NE SD WY 221835Z - 230200Z

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 376
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1235 PM MDT Mon Jun 22 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Montana
  Nebraska Panhandle
  Southwest South Dakota
  Eastern Wyoming

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1235 PM until
  800 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 3 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Scattered severe/supercell thunderstorms are expected to
develop this afternoon over parts of southeast Montana and eastern
Wyoming - spreading southeastward through the evening.  Parameters
appear quite favorable for large hail in the strongest cells.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north of Broadus
MT to 40 miles west of Sidney NE. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 374...WW 375...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29030.

...Hart

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0376.html

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 375 Status Reports
WW 0375 Status Updates

STATUS FOR WATCH 0375 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0375.html

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 375
WW 375 SEVERE TSTM DC DE MD NJ PA VA WV CW 221810Z - 230100Z

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 375
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  District Of Columbia
  Delaware
  Maryland
  Central and Southern New Jersey
  Southeast Pennsylvania
  Central and Northern Virginia
  Eastern West Virginia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
  900 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will develop and spread across the watch
area through the afternoon, moving offshore after dark.  Organized
cells and clusters of storms capable of damaging wind gusts are
expected.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west of
Staunton VA to 30 miles southeast of Atlantic City NJ. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 374...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.

...Hart

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0375.html

SPC Jun 22, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1222 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms capable of hail in excess of two inches and
wind gusts greater than 75 mph are expected from the central High
Plains into parts of the central and southern Plains Tuesday and
Tuesday night. Isolated severe storms capable of mainly hail are
possible across the northern Plains into the upper Mississippi
Valley. Isolated severe storms capable of damaging winds also appear
possible from the Delmarva into eastern North Carolina.

...Synopsis...

Within the base of an upper low centered over Saskatchewan and
Manitoba, a vorticity lobe will progress through the northern Plains
into the upper MS Valley. That disturbance will be attended by a
belt of 40-50 kt flow in the mid levels, which will overspread the
northern and central Plains. Elsewhere, an apparent MCV initially
over western parts of VA and NC at 12Z Tuesday will progress through
the Piedmont and Coastal Plain over the course of the day.

At the surface, an area of low pressure is expected to slowly move
east along the southern Manitoba, northeast ND, northwest MN border
region with an associated cold front trailing southwest into the
central High Plains. Along the East Coast, an area of low pressure
is forecast to track through VA into the Tidewater region with a
trailing cold front moving through the Southeast.


...Central High Plains into the Central and Southern Plains...

The 12Z parameterized and convection-allowing models offer various
scenarios in regard to the location of ongoing storms Tuesday
morning, which in turn affects the evolution of diurnally enhanced
storm development by afternoon, and the subsequent track of a severe
MCS Tuesday night. Despite these differences, an EML will remain
intact across the High Plains, which coupled with a moist, upslope
regime in the low levels, will support a moderately unstable air
mass by afternoon. Isolated to widely scattered storms appear
possible from the vicinity of the Cheyenne Ridge south along the CO
Front Range with 40-50+ kt of effective bulk shear favoring
supercells capable of large to very large hail. Additional severe
storms appear possible during the afternoon across lower elevations
of the central and southern Plains, the details of which remain
highly uncertain.

As mentioned above, the models are in generally good agreement in
depicting the upscale growth of the afternoon storms into a
southeastward-moving MCS capable of damaging wind swaths and
significant gusts in excess of 75 mph. However, uncertainty in the
specific track of the MCS precludes the introduction of higher wind
probabilities and a categorical upgrade to a level 3/Enhanced Risk. 


...Northern Plains into the Upper Midwest...

Multiple clusters of mainly elevated thunderstorms are expected to
be ongoing Tuesday morning from the eastern Dakotas into northern
NE, within a zone of forcing for ascent preceding the disturbance
mentioned in the synopsis. Modest instability coupled with 40-50 kt
of effective bulk shear may support some transient supercell
structures capable of large hail.

Additional surface-based storms appear possible by afternoon in the
vicinity of the surface front over the Red River Valley. Some
uncertainty still exists in the degree of air mass destabilization
owing to the potential for lingering clouds in the wake of the
early-day storms. Where greater destabilization can occur, the
environment will support mainly a large hail threat. Should stronger
heating and resultant steep, low-level lapse rates develop in the
vicinity of the front, a brief tornado or two will be possible owing
to a local maximum in vertical vorticity. Confidence in that
scenario is currently too low to include a 2% probability in this
forecast.  


...Delmarva into eastern North Carolina...

A narrow corridor of severe-weather potential may materialize
Tuesday afternoon ahead of the surface low and surface front moving
through the area. A slight enhancement of mid-level flow (and
resultant vertical shear) will coincide with a moist and moderately
unstable air mass to support some organization with the primary
hazard being locally damaging wind gusts. Some tornado threat may
materialize ahead of the surface low, where backed near-surface
winds enhance low-level shear. A 2% tornado probability may need to
be included in subsequent Day 1 outlooks should the current model
signal persist.

..Mead.. 06/22/2026

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.html

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 374 Status Reports
WW 0374 Status Updates

STATUS FOR WATCH 0374 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0374.html

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 374
WW 374 SEVERE TSTM AL MS TN 221720Z - 230000Z

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 374
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1220 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern and Central Alabama
  Central and Northeast Mississippi
  Southern Middle Tennessee

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1220 PM until
  700 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity
across the watch area through the afternoon, with scattered severe
storms expected.  Damaging wind gusts are the primary concern, but
there is a risk of a tornado or two as well.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles west southwest
of Meridian MS to 55 miles north northeast of Huntsville AL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25030.

...Hart

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0374.html

No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 21 Jun 2026 09:50:13 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 21 Jun 2026 07:30:20 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1123 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Valid 221700Z - 231200Z

A broad area of elevated fire weather highlights remains across much
of the lower CO River Basin and adjacent Four Corners region.
Critically dry and breezy conditions will develop under a building
upper ridge, with current RH across much of the Southwestern U.S.
already in the single digits following poor overnight recoveries.
Sustained southwest winds of 10-15 mph, very low RH and dry fuels
are still expected for several hours during peak afternoon heating.
Elevated highlights were expanded northward into portions of
southeastern NV and southwestern UT where sustained south to
southwest winds of around 15 mph could prove impactful to existing
active wildfires.

..Williams.. 06/22/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1149 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026/

...Synopsis...
A mid-level ridge will begin building over the Interior West as
upper troughing takes shape over the eastern U.S. today. An embedded
impulse will overspread the central Rockies, encouraging surface
trough development over the Great Basin, where dry and breezy
conditions are expected through the afternoon. Fifteen (15) mph
sustained west-southwesterly surface winds and 10-15 percent RH will
overspread dry fuels across the southern Great Basin into the Four
Corners, warranting the continuation of Elevated highlights. Dry and
breezy conditions will also occur across the Snake River Plain in
southern Idaho due to channeled flow. Fifteen to twenty (15-20) mph
west-southwesterly surface winds will overlap with 10-15 percent RH,
with Elevated highlights continued here as well.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html