No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 19 Aug 2026 02:09:25 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 19 Aug 2026 00:13:38 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 18 Aug 2026 21:40:01 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

Cleetus McFarland (real name Garrett Mitchell) had himself quite a busy few days last week. The popular YouTuber turned real-life racer recently invested in a new car and took it out racing at Berlin Raceway in Michigan with the goal of sharpening his race craft.
The racing day was going well for McFarland right up until it wasn't. After a solid performance to open the race, McFarland got loose ...Keep reading

Source: Dale Jr. defends Cleetus McFarland's Super Late Model run: 'Yeah he wrecked, so f***ing what?'

SPC MD 2042
MD 2042 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI INTO FAR NORTHERN ARKANSAS

Mesoscale Discussion 2042
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0300 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Areas affected...Portions of southern Missouri into far northern
Arkansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 192000Z - 192200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...The threat for damaging winds, isolated large hail, and
perhaps a tornado or two will eventually increase within parts of
the Ozarks this afternoon. Timing of storm initiation is not
certain, but a watch may eventually be needed.

DISCUSSION...As cloud cover from earlier convection has cleared,
cumulus agitation is noted in southwest Missouri along a
quasi-dryline-like feature. Temperatures to the southwest of this
boundary have risen into the low 100s F. Destabilization has
occurred to the east of the boundary as well, though some MLCIN is
still evident. 35-40 kt of effective shear across this boundary will
promote eventual supercell development. Given the majority of the
shear exists within the lower half of the troposphere, it is not
certain how long a supercell mode will be maintained. Damaging
winds, isolated large hail, and perhaps a tornado or two will be
possible. A very modest increase in low-level flow during the
evening will mean a modest increase in tornado potential should
supercell modes exist beyond 00Z. A watch is possible this
afternoon, though timing remains uncertain.

..Wendt/Smith.. 08/19/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

LAT...LON   36319370 37089391 37899316 38129136 37379050 36589061
            36249072 35949172 36319370 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2042.html

SPC MD 2043
MD 2043 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA

Mesoscale Discussion 2043
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0308 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Areas affected...parts of east central and southeastern Arizona

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 192008Z - 192245Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity will continue to slowly increase and
spread westward off the higher terrain through 2-4 PM MST.  A severe
weather watch may be needed at some point, once storms begin to
consolidate into an evolving cluster, but this may not be until
later this evening.

DISCUSSION...Substantive destabilization is ongoing across much of
central and southern Arizona, within a seasonably moist air mass
boosted by a recent surge from the Gulf of California.  Latest
objective analysis indicates that strongest potential instability
has become focused to immediate southwest and west of the higher
terrain of east central into southeastern Arizona, where inhibition
has been eroding most appreciably.  As this continues over the next
few hours, a slow propagation off the higher terrain straddling the
southern Arizona/New Mexico border may commence by 21-23Z, with
strong downbursts posing increasing potential for strong to severe
surface gusts within a strongly heated and deep mixed
boundary-layer.  Increasing thunderstorm development closer to the
southeastern Arizona international border may also begin to impact
the Tucson vicinity.

..Kerr/Smith.. 08/19/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EPZ...TWC...FGZ...PSR...

LAT...LON   34381124 33891042 33451018 32550860 31370931 31091055
            31251136 31741145 32811055 34071176 34381124 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2043.html

SPC MD 2044
MD 2044 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHWEST KANSAS

Mesoscale Discussion 2044
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0342 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Areas affected...Northwest Kansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 192042Z - 192245Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...An isolated supercell appears possible based on recent
satellite trends. Isolated large hail and severe winds are possible
should a storm develop. A watch is not likely.

DISCUSSION...An area of agitated cumulus has developed in northwest
Kansas over the last hour along a weak surface cold front. Very weak
ascent aloft from a glancing shortwave trough in the central Plains
could allow an isolated supercell to develop. Visible satellite
trends and some recent CAM guidance would suggest storm initiation
is probable, though not certain. The environment would support
isolated large hail and severe winds. Given the lack of greater
upper-level support, coverage and duration of severe intensity will
likely be limited.

..Wendt/Smith.. 08/19/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   38740159 39120170 39480144 39400072 39050024 38760017
            38510049 38410106 38740159 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2044.html

SPC MD 2045
MD 2045 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN INDIANA...WESTERN OHIO

Mesoscale Discussion 2045
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0452 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Areas affected...portions of northern and central Illinois...central
and northern Indiana...western Ohio

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 192152Z - 192315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms may develop along a west-to-east
oriented boundary through the remainder of the afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have been increasing in
intensity along a diffuse west-to-east oriented boundary extending
from central and northern Illinois into western Ohio. Along this
boundary, over 1000 J/kg MLCAPE is in place, along with substantial
0-3 km CAPE (150-175 J/kg). Furthermore, an 80 kt 300 mb jet streak
is overspreading the OH Valley, contributing to 50+ kts of effective
bulk shear (mainly speed shear in the mid to upper levels per RAP
forecast soundings). Given these conditions, the current thinking is
that a few of the stronger storms along this baroclinic boundary may
become transient supercellular, capable of producing a couple
instances of severe wind/hail or even a brief tornado.

..Squitieri/Guyer.. 08/19/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...DVN...

LAT...LON   40218970 40349089 40539121 40689113 40989078 41398787
            40708286 40268248 39988279 40058660 40218970 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2045.html

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0450 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Valid 211200Z - 271200Z

...Synopsis...
An established ridge over the Intermountain West will amplify and
the pressure gradient will continue to tighten on Day 3/Friday as a
trough approaches the west CONUS coast. A mid-level low pressure
system will near the Pacific Northwest coast on Day 3/Friday as the
upper-level jet max peaks over southern/central OR. This will
provide widespread lift to portions of the Cascade Mountains and
then much of central/eastern WA under the left exit region of the
jet streak on the evening/night of Day 3/Friday. The trough will
begin to lift northeastward as it becomes slightly negatively-tilted
going into Day 4/Saturday. High pressure remains in place over much
of the southwestern half of the CONUS with shortwave trough passages
periodically moving across the crest of the high through the
northern states. While slight differences in timing of the
aforementioned trough remain, the overall pattern evolution remains
similar amongst various ensemble forecast guidance. As we turn the
corner toward next week, the ridge broadens and builds over the
Intermountain West once again. Forecast certainty in any particular
solution decreases thereafter given greater ensemble spread.

...Pacific Northwest/Northern California/Great Basin...
The Pacific Northwest and immediately neighboring areas of northern
California and the Great Basin will remain the foci through at least
the first half of the extended forecast. Starting on Day 3/Friday
and continuing through Day 4/Saturday, expect multiple consecutive
days of gusty southwesterly winds combined with warm and dry weather
as the aforementioned large trough approaches from the west.
Increasing above-normal temperatures through Day 3/Friday will give
way to cooler conditions as the trough approaches and moves onshore
Day 4/Saturday. Given the jet aloft and surface conditions that
would support deep daytime mixing, a favorable pattern remains in
place for dry and breezy weather to overlap very dry fuels across
northeastern CA, southern OR, and northwestern NV. 40% Critical
probabilities were maintained on Day 3/Friday through Day 4/Saturday
along with a widespread 10% probability of Dry Thunderstorms over
much of the Pacific Northwest and the nearby northern Rockies.
Additionally, where winds appear strongest (sustained at 20-25 mph
from the southwest) over the tri-state CA, OR, NV area, 70% Critical
probabilities were maintained on Day 4/Saturday. While a
thunderstorm or two favoring the higher terrain of the Cascades (and
pyro-aided convection amid initially hot, dry, and windy surface
conditions) can't be ruled out on the afternoon of Day 3/Friday, the
best convective potential will occur starting around 06Z on Saturday
(Friday night) as the jet max approaches. This pattern of
aforementioned upper-level support, limited but adequate
(precipitable water values near 0.5-0.7") moisture, fast-moving
(25-35 mph) storms, and dry fuels (ERCs near the 80-95th percentile)
remains in place on Day 4/Saturday. With minimal precipitation
expected from the previous day, an area of 10% Dry Thunderstorm risk
was introduced over portions of the northern Pacific Northwest
region and the nearby far western extent of the northern Rockies
region.

...Southern Plains...
On Day 5/Sunday and Day 6/Monday, a cold front will move across the
southern Plains, increasing fire weather risk in southwesterly flow
ahead of the front as it progresses southeastward. Current ensemble
forecast guidance suggests sustained 10-20 mph south to
southwesterly winds will combine with afternoon RHs near 15-20%
across the TX/OK Panhandles and surrounding areas with critically
dry fuels.

...Northern Plains...
Evolution of the post-frontal northwesterly winds over the northern
High Plains remains a concern on Day 5/Sunday. Across much of the
central MT, sustained northwesterly winds of 10-20 mph will occur.
Some forecast guidance shows these strong and gusty winds extending
even farther across eastern MT. This area will be watched closely
with future outlook issuances.

..Stearns.. 08/19/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/

SPC MD 2040
MD 2040 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA

Mesoscale Discussion 2040
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Areas affected...parts of eastern Mississippi into southern Alabama

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 191929Z - 192200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Increasing thunderstorm development is likely through 5-7
PM CDT, accompanied by localized damaging downbursts and at least a
bit more widespread strong, but generally sub-severe, wind gusts. 
Due to the disorganized and generally localized nature of the more
intense gusts, a severe weather watch is not currently anticipated,
but trends will be monitored.

DISCUSSION...Forcing for thunderstorm development remains unclear,
but perhaps aided by weak near-surface warm advection, initiation of
widely scattered thunderstorms appears underway within a broadly
confluent low-level regime across eastern Mississippi into southern
Alabama.  This is occurring in the presence of light (10 kt or less)
north-northwesterly deep-layer mean flow, but thermodynamic profiles
characterized by a strongly heated, seasonably high moisture content
boundary layer, with steep lower/mid-tropospheric lapse rates of
potential wet-bulb temperature. 

Heavy precipitation loading, coupled with evaporative cooling, may
contribute to localized damaging downbursts in the initially more
widely scattered strongest storms.  Gradually,
colliding/intersecting outflow may contribute to increasing
thunderstorm development with continuing potential for strong
surface gusts into early evening.

..Kerr/Smith.. 08/19/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   33788926 33668742 31508581 30828680 31098831 32058932
            33008981 33788926 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2040.html

Source: Ladakh representatives draw the hard line: Give us an assembly, drop cases

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 601 Status Reports
WW 0601 Status Updates

STATUS FOR WATCH 0601 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0601.html

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 601
WW 601 SEVERE TSTM AZ 192140Z - 200600Z

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 601
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
240 PM MST Wed Aug 19 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southern Arizona

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 240 PM
  until 1100 PM MST.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Strong to severe storms will continue to develop
especially over the mountains, with some storm organization and
aggregating outflows expected to reach the desert floor, with
severe-caliber wind gusts and blowing dust possible through at least
early/mid-evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles northeast of
Phoenix AZ to 35 miles west southwest of Sierra Vista AZ. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 600...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
03020.

...Guyer

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0601.html

Source: NIA court issues non-bailable warrant against top LeT commander

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 600 Status Reports
WW 0600 Status Updates

STATUS REPORT ON WW 600

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE BIE
TO 15 NE FNB TO 5 NNE LWD.

..SQUITIERI..08/19/26

ATTN...WFO...OAX...DMX...TOP...EAX...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 600 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC005-013-043-085-117-131-192240-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATCHISON             BROWN               DONIPHAN            
JACKSON              MARSHALL            NEMAHA              


MOC003-021-025-049-061-063-075-081-087-147-227-192240-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANDREW               BUCHANAN            CALDWELL            
CLINTON              DAVIESS             DEKALB              
GENTRY               HARRISON            HOLT                
NODAWAY              WORTH               


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0600.html

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 600
WW 600 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MO 191950Z - 200100Z

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 600
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
250 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Far Southwest Iowa
  Far Northeast Kansas
  Northwest Missouri

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 250 PM
  until 800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A bowing segment and a supercell or two will continue to
develop and move into the Watch area this afternoon, with the severe
threat persisting into the early evening.  Severe gusts 60 to 75 mph
are the primary hazard, but isolated large hail may accompany the
stronger thunderstorm cores.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest
of Falls City NE to 60 miles east northeast of Saint Joseph MO. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 599...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
29035.

...Smith

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0600.html

Source: Mehul Choksi’s lawyer Vijay Aggarwal arrested in UK over sexual assault allegation

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SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 599 Status Reports
WW 0599 Status Updates

STATUS REPORT ON WW 599

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE LNK
TO 25 SSE OMA.

..KERR..08/19/26

ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...GID...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 599 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

IAC071-192140-

IA 
.    IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FREMONT              


NEC025-067-097-127-131-133-147-192140-

NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CASS                 GAGE                JOHNSON             
NEMAHA               OTOE                PAWNEE              
RICHARDSON           


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0599.html

Source: Disability rights groups raise concern over Census enumeration framework

The biggest move of NASCAR's 2027 offseason may have already taken place. Earlier this week, it was announced that Connor Zilisch would be leaving Trackhouse Racing to join Hendrick Motorsports on a multi-year deal that begins in 2028.
It's a boon for Zilisch, who remains one of the top prospects in the Cup Series despite a rookie year that has been marred with inconsistency. It's the type of ...Keep reading

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SPC Aug 19, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0257 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Valid 192000Z - 201200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY...THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND
SOUTHERN ARIZONA...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms capable of severe wind gusts and hail will be possible
this afternoon across the lower Missouri Valley, the mid Mississippi
Valley, and southern Arizona.

...20z Update...
A compact, but severe, MCS has begun tracking eastward along a
residual/diffuse frontal zone into southeast NE. Based on the recent
18 UTC OAX RAOB, the MCS is beginning to orient more orthogonal to
the deep-layer bulk shear vector, which should continue to promote
storm organization and intensity. The potential for severe winds,
including winds near 75 mph, should continue through late afternoon
and early evening hours before moving into more stable air mass
across north-central MO. See MCD #2041 for additional short-term
details.

...Mid-Mississippi Valley/lower Ohio Valley...
Recent GOES visible imagery and surface observations show
temperatures rebounding into the low to mid 80s as skies clear ahead
of an approaching mid-level wave. This destabilization appears to be
on track with recent guidance, which suggests that initially
discrete/semi-discrete storm development should begin by around
22-00 UTC across south-central MO on the western fringe of the
residual cold pool. Forecast soundings from this region depict
elongated hodographs conducive for large hail, including the
potential for hail up to 2 inches in diameter (based on sounding
analogs and hodograph structure). Given a favorable kinematic
environment, adequate buoyancy, and a signal in recent high-res
ensemble guidance for strong convection, a CIG 1 hail contour has
been introduced to portions of southern Missouri. 

Elsewhere, only minor modifications were made based on recent
convective trends. See the discussion below and MCD #2040 for
additional details.

..Moore.. 08/19/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1134 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026/

...Mid MO Valley...
Radar/visible satellite mosaic imagery depicts a small cluster of
severe thunderstorms immediately ahead of a migratory shortwave
trough moving southeast over the mid MO Valley.  Some heating
downstream of this activity will result in temperatures warming and
the airmass gradually destabilizing amid filtered sunshine.  Gradual
upscale growth is underway and should continue into the early
afternoon.  Large hail and severe gusts 60-70 mph will be the
primary severe hazards as this cluster moves into adjacent portions
of NE/MO/IA later this afternoon.  

...Ozarks into the Mid MS Valley...
Residual showers/thunderstorms from an overnight MCS over the
southeast MO into western KY vicinity will slowly dissipate this
afternoon with greater heating ensuing in the wake of these storms. 
Models continue to show moderate destabilization by late this
afternoon ahead of the MO Valley upper vort.  Weak low-level
convergence along an upstream cold front will support thunderstorm
development within this destabilized airmass this evening. 
Strengthening mid-level flow will result in moderate to strong
deep-layer vertical shear supportive of supercells.  Models vary
regarding the propensity for cellular mode to be maintained beyond
the initial storm development phase, casting doubt on supercell
longevity and tornado potential.  Nonetheless, some strengthening of
850-mb flow during the evening may enable some mesocyclone potential
to persist, and an accompanying isolated risk for a tornado or two. 
Otherwise, storms will tend to cluster with eastward extent, with
the threat for damaging gusts persisting within these bowing line
segments.

...Ohio Valley...
A somewhat secondary area of late afternoon/early evening
thunderstorm development is anticipated from central IL into central
IN and central OH.  Moderate buoyancy and strong westerly flow aloft
supports the potential for isolated supercells capable of large hail
and isolated damaging gusts.

...Central/Southern High Plains...
A seasonably moist airmass will undergo strong heating/mixing and
result in moderate buoyancy by mid-late afternoon. Thunderstorm
development is expected across the higher terrain before then
progressing eastward into the lower elevations.  Moderate
northwesterly flow aloft will support organized storms
structures, and large hail is possible along the Foothills.
Steep lapse rates and large temperature-dewpoint depressions will
lead to outflow-dominant storms capable of severe gusts with the
more intense cores/outflow.

...AZ...
The presence of monsoon moisture will support moderate buoyancy
across the lower elevations of south-central AZ during the late
afternoon.  Scattered storms are expected to eventually develop
towards the early evening.  Trends in model guidance showing a
cluster potentially evolving within an adequately moist/inverted-V
environment lend confidence in introducing a level 1 intensity
highlight for peak gusts in the 70-80 mph range.

...Southeast into northern FL...
A very moist airmass analyzed late this morning (mid to upper 70s F
surface dewpoints) will remain in place along the Gulf Coast. Strong
heating is anticipated, with high temperatures in the upper 90s
across much of the region.  As surface temperatures warm, moderate
instability will develop, with scattered thunderstorms expected amid
modest low-level convergence from MS into western/southern AL and
across the FL Panhandle into northern FL.  The deep low-level
moisture combined with steep low-level lapse rates will support an
isolated wind-damage threat during the mid to late afternoon.

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_2000.html

Trackhouse Racing has to make some plans for the future following the move of Connor Zilisch, who is set to leave Trackhouse and join Hendrick Motorsports at the conclusion of the 2027 NASCAR season.
While Trackhouse has plenty of runway given Zilisch will still be with the team for another year, there are still lots of questions about the team's strategy moving forward.
Like so many things ...Keep reading

Source: Dale Earnhardt Jr. isn't sure on Trackhouse's next move after Connor Zilisch departure

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0221 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Valid 201200Z - 211200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

The previously drawn elevated area in place over northeastern CA,
northwestern NV, and southern OR was removed. While RHs will still
fall to near 10-15%, the latest forecast guidance has trended weaker
with winds during the afternoon across the region on Day 2/Thursday.
Outside of localized terrain-enhanced wind, widespread afternoon
winds of 10-15 mph are expected to remain below elevated thresholds.
Thus, only brief and localized elevated fire environment conditions
are expected over much of the Intermountain West on Day 2/Thursday
afternoon.

..Stearns.. 08/19/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1240 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026/

...Synopsis...
Upper-level troughing will persist over the northeastern CONUS on
Day 2/Thursday, with an embedded mid-level shortwave yielding
increased precipitation chances over a drought-stressed environment
in northern Minnesota and Wisconsin. The established upper ridge
over the Great Basin will continue to amplify, delivering above
normal temperatures and dry conditions to the Interior West.
Meanwhile, an upper trough will deepen along the West Coast,
ushering stronger southwesterly flow into the northwestern CONUS. 

Across northeastern California, northwestern Nevada, and southern
Oregon, daytime high temperatures will range from 90-100 F or
greater amid 10-20 mph sustained west-southwesterly winds and RH
values of 10-15%. These meteorological conditions will overlap a
receptive fuelscape, promoting an Elevated fire weather threat. RH
values of 15-20% and 10-20 mph southwesterly winds will also overlap
portions of southeastern Nevada; however, recent monsoonal moisture
has contributed to less receptive fuels, precluding the expansion of
Elevated highlights.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html