|
|
|
0 members (),
1,552
guests, and
25
robots. |
|
Key:
Admin,
Global Mod,
Mod
|
|
S |
M |
T |
W |
T |
F |
S |
|
|
|
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
11
|
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
24
|
25
|
|
26
|
27
|
28
|
29
|
30
|
31
|
|
|
There are no members with birthdays on this day. |
World Earthquake Report for Sunday, 26 July 2026
• Moderate mag. 4.5 earthquake - Estado de Veracruz-Llave, Mexico, on 2026-07...
• Volcano earthquake report for Sunday, 26 Jul 2026
• Moderate mag. 4.0 earthquake - Kabupaten Kepulauan Talaud, 148 km northeast...
• Light mag. 3.9 earthquake - North Pacific Ocean, 65 km south of Puerto San ...
• Strong mag. 5.4 earthquake - Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge on Sunday, Jul 26,...
|
Re: Stringing together my ShoutChats
Alisa
Yesterday at 09:49 PM
Alisa: It’s all good  Alisa:  Fairies Alisa: 🧚♀️🧚🧚♂️ yes🧚♀️🧚🧚♂️ Alisa: Decisiveness Alisa: Everything is going to be ok! Alisa:  Alisa: The present is a gift 🎁 Alisa: The art of  Alisa: What is the most important thing in your  Alisa: Earthquake  Alisa: God will take care of you  Alisa: Eternal hope  Alisa: Invest in time and people  Alisa:  Alisa: Truth  Alisa: Seeing  Alisa: RIP Sam Neill Alisa: How to be grateful for every thing Alisa: Just feel like  Alisa: Jesus Christ 🙏🏻✝️🥹 Alisa: What will cheer you up?! Alisa: Tell me your story Alisa: The heat  Alisa:  Alisa:  Alisa:  Alisa: I love coffee  Alisa: 🧚♀️🍞🤤 Alisa: No parasites  Alisa:  Alisa:  Alisa: It is a good day! Alisa: 🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁 Alisa: Newsom  Alisa: AUS-CITY the in mostly text Alisa: How to make the the way you want it to be  Alisa: OPTIMISTIC Alisa:  Turn the other cheek Alisa: Joy Joy Joy Alisa: Hello Bots  Alisa: “Nobody dies for a lie” Mel Gibson Alisa: Shield up! Don’t let the baddies in ever!  Alisa: 
2
228
Read More
|
Tropical Storm Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 40
Webmaster
Yesterday at 08:46 PM
Issued at 1100 AM HST Tue Jul 28 2026 000
WTPA41 PHFO 282046
TCDCP1
Tropical Storm Fausto Discussion Number 40
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Tue Jul 28 2026
Fausto continues to weaken due to 25 kt or more of southwesterly
vertical shear. The cyclone is now comprised mainly of a large
swirl of low- to mid-level clouds with what remains of the
convection well to the northeast of the center. Satellite intensity
estimates are decreasing, and the initial intensity is reduced to a
possibly generous 45 kt. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is schedule to investigate Fausto near 29/00Z.
The center of Fausto seems to have re-formed a bit to the north of
the previous track, and the initial motion is a somewhat uncertain
285/10. As Fausto continues weakening, the low-level ridge to the
north should steer the cyclone or its remnants generally west-
northwestward for the next several days as shown by the track
guidance. The new track forecast is nudged a little north of the
previous track due mainly to the more northerly initial position,
but otherwise has no major changes. On the forecast track, Fausto
should pass to the north of the Hawaiian Islands tonight through
late Wednesday.
A hostile environment of increasing shear and decreasing moisture
should keep Fausto weakening through the forecast period, with all
of the intensity guidance agreeing on this. The cyclone is now
expected to weaken to a depression by 36 h and then degenerate to a
remnant low by 48 h. After 60 h, the circulation should weaken to a
trough. If convection does not re-develop near the center during
the normal diurnal maximum late tonight, it is possible that the
cyclone could dissipate earlier than forecast.
Key Messages:
1. Fausto is expected to continue weakening as it approaches the
Hawaiian Islands this week. Although the current forecast indicates
that the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall will remain north of
the islands, interests across Hawaii should continue to monitor the
progress of Fausto.
2. Surf generated by Fausto will continue to build westward
across Hawaii along exposed east-facing shores through today
as Fausto approaches and begins to pass north of the islands.
Large surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions
along exposed shores. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 28/2100Z 22.5N 152.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 29/0600Z 22.9N 153.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 29/1800Z 23.4N 156.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 30/0600Z 23.9N 158.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 30/1800Z 24.5N 161.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 31/0600Z 25.3N 163.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Beven Source: Tropical Storm Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 40
0
10
Read More
|
Tropical Storm Fausto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 40
Webmaster
Yesterday at 08:46 PM
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 28 2026 737
FOPA11 PHFO 282046
PWSCP1
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 40
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC TUE JUL 28 2026
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
25N 160W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN Source: Tropical Storm Fausto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 40
0
12
Read More
|
Tropical Storm Fausto Forecast Advisory Number 40
Webmaster
Yesterday at 08:45 PM
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 28 2026 000
WTPA21 PHFO 282045
TCMCP1
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC TUE JUL 28 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 152.2W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 60SE 0SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 152.2W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 151.7W
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.9N 153.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 23.4N 156.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.9N 158.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.5N 161.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 25.3N 163.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 152.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN Source: Tropical Storm Fausto Forecast Advisory Number 40
0
10
Read More
|
Tropical Storm Fausto Public Advisory Number 40
Webmaster
Yesterday at 08:45 PM
Issued at 1100 AM HST Tue Jul 28 2026 000
WTPA31 PHFO 282045
TCPCP1
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fausto Advisory Number 40
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Tue Jul 28 2026
...FAUSTO WEAKENING AS IT CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
...SIGNIFICANT SURF EXPECTED FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 152.2W
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM NE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 375 MI...605 KM ENE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
Fausto.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fausto was
located near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 152.2 West. Fausto is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a
generally west-northwestward motion is expected to continue for the
next several days. On the forecast track, Fausto should pass north
of the Hawaiian Islands tonight through late Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are now near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days,
although Fausto is expected to remain a tropical storm as it passes
north of the Hawaiian Islands.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
mainly to the northeast of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP1 and WMO header WTPA41 PHFO.
SURF: Surf generated by Fausto will continue to build westward
across Hawaii along exposed east-facing shores through today as
Fausto approaches and begins to pass north of the islands. Large
surf and strong currents will lead to dangerous conditions along
exposed shores. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.
$$
Forecaster Beven Source: Tropical Storm Fausto Public Advisory Number 40
0
9
Read More
|
Central North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
Webmaster
Yesterday at 05:31 PM
000 ACPN50 PHFO 281730 TWOCP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM HST Tue Jul 28 2026 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fausto, located in the Central Pacific several hundred miles east-northeast of the Hawaiian Islands, and on Hurricane Genevieve, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN Source: Central North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
0
11
Read More
|
Earworm Precognition
Alisa
Yesterday at 02:20 PM
I woke early this morning with an earworm of “smoking in the boys room” which is weird because I usually have a wonderful Christian song lyric earworming me. An earworm or brainworm, also described as sticky music or stuck song syndrome, is a catchy or memorable piece of music or saying that continuously occupies a person's mind even after it is no longer being played or spoken about. I went out for my morning walk on empty rural roads where I rarely see a car or a person. On my way back a white car was on the road headed my way. As it passed, I saw a young man with his arm hanging out the window. He was smoking a cigarette and I got a good whiff of the smoke. We waved to each other and smiled. And then I realized, oh THAT is why I had the earworm. Precog! This occurred about an hour after I experienced the earworm. So we do know the future, eh?
0
15
Read More
|
|
Forums60
Topics793,224
Posts828,007
Members2,960
| |
Most Online102,106
Jul 10th, 2026
|
|
|
|
|
Copyright 1996 - 2026 by David Cottle. Designed by David Bate Jr. All Rights Reserved.
By using this forum, the user agrees not to transfer any data or technical information received under this agreement to any other entity without the express approval of the AUS-CITY Forum Admins and/or authors of individual posts (Forum Admins and DoD/USSPACECOM for the analysis of satellite tracking data).
Two-line elements (TLE) and all other satellite data presented and distributed via this forum and AUS-CITY mailing lists are distributed with permission from DoD/USSTRATCOM.
|
|
