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There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
by Webmaster - Sat 25 Jul 2026 11:20:PM
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by Webmaster - Fri 24 Jul 2026 11:19:PM
Friday - 23:00 BST: Not available, 12°C (53°F)
by Webmaster - Fri 24 Jul 2026 10:00:PM
Tonight: Partly Cloudy, Minimum Temperature: 13°C (56°F)
by Webmaster - Fri 24 Jul 2026 07:01:PM
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
by Webmaster - Fri 24 Jul 2026 05:25:PM
There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
by Webmaster - Fri 24 Jul 2026 05:24:PM
Tropical Depression Seven-E Graphics
by Webmaster - Fri 24 Jul 2026 03:27:PM
Hurricane Fausto Graphics
by Webmaster - Fri 24 Jul 2026 03:22:PM
Tropical Depression Seven-E Forecast Discussion Number 1
by Webmaster - Fri 24 Jul 2026 02:37:PM
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Active Threads | Active Posts | Unanswered Today | Since Yesterday | This Week
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There are no tropical cyclones at this time. Webmaster Sat 25 Jul 2026 11:20:PM
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 24 Jul 2026 12:00:13 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
0 24 Read More
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There are no tropical cyclones at this time. Webmaster Yesterday at 11:19 PM
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 23 Jul 2026 14:02:59 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
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Friday - 23:00 BST: Not available, 12°C (53°F) Webmaster Yesterday at 10:00 PM
Temperature: 12°C (53°F), Wind Direction: Southerly, Wind Speed: 4mph, Humidity: 82%, Pressure: 1015mb, Steady, Visibility: --

Source: Friday - 23:00 BST: Not available, 12°C (53°F)
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Sunday: Light Rain, Minimum Temperature: 13°C (55°F) Maximum Temperature: 19°C (66°F) Webmaster Yesterday at 07:01 PM
Maximum Temperature: 19°C (66°F), Minimum Temperature: 13°C (55°F), Wind Direction: westerly, Wind Speed: 13mph, Visibility: Moderate, Pressure: 1006mb, Humidity: 81%, UV Risk: 3, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 05:14 BST, Sunset: 21:16 BST

Source: Sunday: Light Rain, Minimum Temperature: 13°C (55°F) Maximum Temperature: 19°C (66°F)
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Saturday: Light Rain, Minimum Temperature: 15°C (58°F) Maximum Temperature: 20°C (67°F) Webmaster Yesterday at 07:01 PM
Maximum Temperature: 20°C (67°F), Minimum Temperature: 15°C (58°F), Wind Direction: westerly, Wind Speed: 13mph, Visibility: Good, Pressure: 1008mb, Humidity: 71%, UV Risk: 3, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 05:13 BST, Sunset: 21:17 BST

Source: Saturday: Light Rain, Minimum Temperature: 15°C (58°F) Maximum Temperature: 20°C (67°F)
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Tonight: Partly Cloudy, Minimum Temperature: 13°C (56°F) Webmaster Yesterday at 07:01 PM
Minimum Temperature: 13°C (56°F), Wind Direction: westerly, Wind Speed: 12mph, Visibility: Good, Pressure: 1013mb, Humidity: 74%, UV Risk: 4, Pollution: Low, Sunset: 21:19 BST

Source: Tonight: Partly Cloudy, Minimum Temperature: 13°C (56°F)
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook Webmaster Yesterday at 05:25 PM
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241725
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 24 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Fausto, located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands, and on
newly formed Tropical Depression Seven-E, located well south of the
southwestern coast of Mexico.

Well Southwest of Hawaii:
An area of low pressure located well southwest of the Hawaiian
Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual
development of this system while it moves slowly westward to
west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form
after it enters the western Pacific basin over the weekend or early
next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

Products issued by the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center can be
found at: www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

Official tropical cyclone forecast information issued by the Japan
Meteorological Agency for the western Pacific basin can be found at:
www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/RSMC_HP.html

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
0 14 Read More
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There are no tropical cyclones at this time. Webmaster Yesterday at 05:24 PM
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 23 Jul 2026 06:01:31 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
0 56 Read More
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Tropical Depression Seven-E Graphics Webmaster Yesterday at 03:27 PM






Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 24 Jul 2026 15:27:57 GMT

Source: Tropical Depression Seven-E Graphics
0 14 Read More
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Hurricane Fausto Graphics Webmaster Yesterday at 03:22 PM






Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 24 Jul 2026 15:22:22 GMT

Source: Hurricane Fausto Graphics
0 14 Read More
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Tropical Depression Seven-E Forecast Discussion Number 1 Webmaster Yesterday at 02:37 PM
Issued at 900 AM CST Fri Jul 24 2026
000
WTPZ42 KNHC 241437
TCDEP2

Tropical Depression Seven-E Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
900 AM CST Fri Jul 24 2026

Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized with the area
of low pressure that the NHC has been monitoring well offshore of
southern Mexico. In addition, 0807 UTC AMSR-2 passive microwave
images indicate the system has a closed low-level circulation with
good definition. The current satellite presentation suggests it
could be dealing with some northeasterly shear, with deep convection
mostly west and southwest of the estimated center position. Since
this system meets tropical cyclone criteria, we are initiating
advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E with an initial intensity
of 30 kt based on a T2.0 Dvorak classification from TAFB. Some
scatterometer data expected later today should help refine the
center position and intensity estimates.

The estimated initial motion is west-northwestward (285/10 kt), but
this is somewhat uncertain since the depression just formed. The
system should maintain a west-northwestward or northwestward heading
during the next several days with a ridge entrenched to its north
and northeast. Overall, the track model guidance is tightly
clustered with limited cross-track spread. There are more
differences in the along-track direction, with the Google Deep Mind
ensemble mean significantly faster than the rest of the models. The
first NHC track forecast uses a consensus approach and generally
falls between the simple (IVCN) and corrected (HCCA) consensus aids.

Generally weak deep-layer vertical wind shear, very warm SSTs around
30C, and a strongly divergent upper-level environment are likely to
support steady to rapid intensification (RI) during the next few
days. The bulk of the intensity guidance is very aggressive with
strengthening, particularly in the 24-72 h window when the shear
falls below 10 kt. The DTOPS shows a 76 percent chance of a 65-kt
increase in 72 h, and more than 60 percent of the Google Deep Mind
ensemble members show the system becoming a major hurricane. The
NHC intensity forecast explicitly shows RI between 36-72 h and has
it reaching major hurricane status early next week, in agreement
with the simple consensus (IVCN) and slightly below the HCCA aid.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/1500Z 9.0N 100.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 25/0000Z 9.3N 101.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 25/1200Z 10.5N 103.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 26/0000Z 11.7N 106.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 26/1200Z 12.9N 108.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 27/0000Z 14.0N 110.5W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 27/1200Z 15.3N 112.3W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 28/1200Z 17.2N 115.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
120H 29/1200Z 19.0N 118.0W 90 KT 105 MPH

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Source: Tropical Depression Seven-E Forecast Discussion Number 1
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Tropical Depression Seven-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1 Webmaster Yesterday at 02:37 PM
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026
000
FOPZ12 KNHC 241437
PWSEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1500 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 9.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

10N 105W 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)

15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 67(73) 1(74) X(74)
15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) X(34) X(34)
15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 1(18) X(18)

ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)

ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 59(62) 11(73)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 9(40)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 7(25)

15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 2(25)
15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)

20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 17(37)
20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13)
20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)

15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)

20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 34(35)
20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14)
20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)

$$
FORECASTER REINHART


Source: Tropical Depression Seven-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
0 16 Read More
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Tropical Depression Seven-E Forecast Advisory Number 1 Webmaster Yesterday at 02:36 PM
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026
000
WTPZ22 KNHC 241436
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072026
1500 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 100.5W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 100.5W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.9N 99.9W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 9.3N 101.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 10.5N 103.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 11.7N 106.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 12.9N 108.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 14.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.3N 112.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 17.2N 115.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 19.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.0N 100.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART


Source: Tropical Depression Seven-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
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Tropical Depression Seven-E Public Advisory Number 1 Webmaster Yesterday at 02:36 PM
Issued at 900 AM CST Fri Jul 24 2026
000
WTPZ32 KNHC 241436
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Seven-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026
900 AM CST Fri Jul 24 2026

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER OPEN WATERS OF THE EASTERN
PACIFIC...
...EXPECTED TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.0N 100.5W
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seven-E
was located near latitude 9.0 North, longitude 100.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19
km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next
several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Significant strengthening is forecast during the next few days. The
system is expected to become a tropical storm later today or tonight
and could reach hurricane strength by late this weekend.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Source: Tropical Depression Seven-E Public Advisory Number 1
0 1 Read More
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Summary for Tropical Depression Seven-E (EP2/EP072026) Webmaster Yesterday at 02:36 PM
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER OPEN WATERS OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC... ...EXPECTED TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS... As of 9:00 AM CST Fri Jul 24 the center of Seven-E was located near 9.0, -100.5 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Source: Summary for Tropical Depression Seven-E (EP2/EP072026)
0 2 Read More
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Hurricane Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 23 Webmaster Yesterday at 02:35 PM
Issued at 500 AM HST Fri Jul 24 2026
000
WTPZ41 KNHC 241435
TCDEP1

Hurricane Fausto Discussion Number 23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
500 AM HST Fri Jul 24 2026

Fausto has become a well organized hurricane. The cloud pattern is
fairly symmetric, and there is a closed ring of deep convection
surrounding a roughly 15 n mi diameter eye. Beyond the inner core,
the hurricane is maintaining some curved bands, especially east of
the center, and well established outflow. The latest satellite
intensity estimates range from 77 to 102 kt, and based on a blend of
that data, the initial intensity is nudged upward to 90 kt. Fausto's
wind field is a little smaller than average when compared to other
hurricanes in similar locations of the Pacific Ocean.

The hurricane is moving westward at about 14 kt. The track forecast
appears fairly straightforward. A narrow mid-level ridge is
expected to remain in place to the north of Fausto during the next
several days, and that should cause the hurricane to move westward
to west-northwestward at about the same pace. The NHC track
forecast is largely an update of the previous one, and lies on the
fast side of the model guidance, in best agreement with HCCA and
GDMI. This track takes Fausto near the Hawaiian Islands during the
early to middle portions of next week.

The models are in good agreement that Fausto is likely near its peak
intensity. However, it is worth noting that the guidance has
struggled to capture the trends in Fausto's intensity over the past
few days. Nonetheless, decreasing water temperatures and drier air
should cause the cyclone to gradually lose strength, and an increase
in westerly vertical wind shear early next week will likely aid in
that weakening trend. The NHC intensity forecast lies near the
middle of the guidance envelope, and shows steady weakening through
the period. There is relatively high confidence that Fausto will be
a tropical storm when it is in the vicinity of the Hawaiian Islands.


Key Messages:

1. Although Fausto is expected to weaken as it approaches the
Hawaiian Islands during the early to middle portions of next week,
there is an increasing risk of some impacts from wind and rainfall.
However, it is too soon to determine the exact location or magnitude
of these impacts, and interests there should continue to monitor the
progress of this storm.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/1500Z 18.6N 131.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 25/0000Z 18.7N 133.2W 85 KT 100 MPH
24H 25/1200Z 19.0N 135.7W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 26/0000Z 19.4N 137.9W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 26/1200Z 19.8N 140.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 27/0000Z 20.1N 142.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 27/1200Z 20.3N 145.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 28/1200Z 21.0N 151.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 29/1200Z 21.6N 157.2W 35 KT 40 MPH

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


Source: Hurricane Fausto Forecast Discussion Number 23
0 2 Read More
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Hurricane Fausto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23 Webmaster Yesterday at 02:34 PM
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026
000
FOPZ11 KNHC 241434
PWSEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1500 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

20N 130W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

20N 135W 34 19 76(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
20N 135W 50 X 25(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
20N 135W 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

20N 140W 34 X X( X) 15(15) 66(81) 7(88) X(88) X(88)
20N 140W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 43(44) 10(54) X(54) X(54)
20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24)

20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 60(60) 3(63) X(63)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) X(25) X(25)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)

20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 1(26)
20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)

20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 1(19)
20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)

20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)

HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)

21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)

KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)

KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)

21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)

BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)

HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)

LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)

KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)

HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)

JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)

LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


Source: Hurricane Fausto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23
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Hurricane Fausto Forecast Advisory Number 23 Webmaster Yesterday at 02:34 PM
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 241434
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062026
1500 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 131.2W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE 60SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 131.2W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 130.6W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.7N 133.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.0N 135.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.4N 137.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.8N 140.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.1N 142.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.3N 145.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 151.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 21.6N 157.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 131.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


Source: Hurricane Fausto Forecast Advisory Number 23
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Hurricane Fausto Public Advisory Number 23 Webmaster Yesterday at 02:34 PM
Issued at 500 AM HST Fri Jul 24 2026
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 241434
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Fausto Advisory Number 23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062026
500 AM HST Fri Jul 24 2026

...FAUSTO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 131.2W
ABOUT 1405 MI...2260 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 1560 MI...2510 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of
Fausto.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fausto was located
near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 131.2 West. Fausto is moving
toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue over the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fausto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC.

SURF: Swells generated by Fausto are affecting the west coast of the
Baja California Peninsula and the coast of southern California.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?ripCurrents


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


Source: Hurricane Fausto Public Advisory Number 23
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Summary for Hurricane Fausto (EP1/EP062026) Webmaster Yesterday at 02:34 PM
...FAUSTO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE... As of 5:00 AM HST Fri Jul 24 the center of Fausto was located near 18.6, -131.2 with movement W at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 967 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.

Source: Summary for Hurricane Fausto (EP1/EP062026)
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook Webmaster Yesterday at 11:37 AM
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241137
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jul 24 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Fausto, located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.

Eastern and Central East Pacific (EP98):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico
have become better organized overnight. Environmental conditions
are conducive for additional development of this system, and a
tropical depression or storm is likely to form later this morning
while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
and remains well offshore of Mexico. Additional information on this
system, including storm warnings, can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

Well Southwest of Hawaii:
An area of low pressure located well southwest of the Hawaiian
Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual
development of this system while it moves slowly west to
west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form
after it enters the western Pacific basin over the weekend or early
next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

Products issued by the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center can be
found at: www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

Official tropical cyclone forecast information issued by the Japan
Meteorological Agency for the western Pacific basin can be found at:
www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/RSMC_HP.html

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook Webmaster Yesterday at 11:20 AM
000
ABNT20 KNHC 241120
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
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Governments, Political Views, Religions Jump to new posts
Angela Rayner rules out rent controls in England Webmaster Yesterday at 10:01 AM
Angela Rayner rules out rent controls in England
The housing secretary tells the BBC that the Renters Rights' Act is already having a significant impact on the market.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2dg54vprno?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
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Governments, Political Views, Religions Jump to new posts
Angela Rayner rules out rent controls in England Webmaster Yesterday at 10:01 AM
Angela Rayner rules out rent controls in England
The housing secretary tells the BBC that the Renters Rights' Act is already having a significant impact on the market.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2dg54vprno?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
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Hurricane Fausto Graphics Webmaster Yesterday at 09:22 AM






Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 24 Jul 2026 09:22:49 GMT

Source: Hurricane Fausto Graphics
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