Chris Kresser on JRE dropped a big tip: bake or boil a potato, let it cool, and the resistant starch forms. It won’t spike your blood sugar like a hot one does.
Even better, the potato diet. Eat plain potatoes (cooled) for days and people drop half a pound a day on average. Spontaneous calorie drop + gut microbiome feast.
Cooling cooked potatoes creates resistant starch, which acts like fiber, it resists digestion in the small intestine, feeds beneficial gut bacteria, and lowers the glycemic response, helping with blood sugar control and satiety.
Simple, old-school hack that actually works.
I do this by making a potato salad with extra eggs and plain yogurt..it works.
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Elida, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.
Central and Western East Pacific (EP97): A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the weekend while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central portion of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Eastern and Central East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop well to the south of Mexico during the middle to latter part of next week. Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central portions of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Tropical Storm Elida Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 200 PM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026
The latest ASCAT pass shows that the strongest winds are around 45 kt, while the most recent Dvorak fixes suggest the winds could be as high as 55 kt. While there is no notable change in the structure of Elida, with the convection being confined mostly to the east side, the intensity for this advisory is being kept at 55 kt. This could be a little generous, however. The ASCAT data also revealed that the strongest winds are located in the northern side of the storm, and tropical-force-winds extend about 170 n mi to the southeast. Thus, Elida is still very asymmetric at this time.
Based on recent fixes, Elida's position has been shifted a bit to the south of the previous track with a initial motion estimated at 295/10 kt. A deep-layer trough remains entrenched off the west coast of the United States, which should cause Elida to turn northwestward and then north-northwestward by Sunday. The track guidance continues to shift a bit more to the east, thus the official NHC track forecast has again been nudged in that direction.
Elida has a very limited time to strengthen over warm waters and in a low-shear environment. However, there is a possibility that Elida can become a strong tropical storm. The peak intensity has been brought down to 60 kt with this advisory again, since Elida is running out of time to strengthen. This does keep the intensity forecast in-line with the bulk of the guidance. Weakening should being around 24 hours due to Elida moving over cooler waters and into a region of increasing shear. Elida could lose organized deep convection and become post-tropical around day 3.
Tropical Storm Elida Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 200 PM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026
The latest ASCAT pass shows that the strongest winds are around 45 kt, while the most recent Dvorak fixes suggest the winds could be as high as 55 kt. While there is no notable change in the structure of Elida, with the convection being confined mostly to the east side, the intensity for this advisory is being kept at 55 kt. This could be a little generous, however. The ASCAT data also revealed that the strongest winds are located in the northern side of the storm, and tropical-force-winds extend about 170 n mi to the southeast. Thus, Elida is still very asymmetric at this time.
Based on recent fixes, Elida's position has been shifted a bit to the south of the previous track with a initial motion estimated at 295/10 kt. A deep-layer trough remains entrenched off the west coast of the United States, which should cause Elida to turn northwestward and then north-northwestward by Sunday. The track guidance continues to shift a bit more to the east, thus the official NHC track forecast has again been nudged in that direction.
Elida has a very limited time to strengthen over warm waters and in a low-shear environment. However, there is a possibility that Elida can become a strong tropical storm. The peak intensity has been brought down to 60 kt with this advisory again, since Elida is running out of time to strengthen. This does keep the intensity forecast in-line with the bulk of the guidance. Weakening should being around 24 hours due to Elida moving over cooler waters and into a region of increasing shear. Elida could lose organized deep convection and become post-tropical around day 3.
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052026 2100 UTC FRI JUL 17 2026
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052026 2100 UTC FRI JUL 17 2026
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 200 PM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026
...ELIDA'S INTENSITY REMAINS STEADY...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 121.9W ABOUT 875 MI...1410 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 121.9 West. Elida is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later this evening, followed by a north-northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed by Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. A very limited window for strengthening remains possible, and Elida could become a strong tropical storm. Weakening is expected to start over the weekend and continue into early next week.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Elida will affect portions of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula through this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.
...ELIDA'S INTENSITY REMAINS STEADY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Fri Jul 17 the center of Elida was located near 17.1, -121.9 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
BULLETIN Tropical Storm Elida Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052026 200 PM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026
...ELIDA'S INTENSITY REMAINS STEADY...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 121.9W ABOUT 875 MI...1410 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elida was located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 121.9 West. Elida is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later this evening, followed by a north-northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed by Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. A very limited window for strengthening remains possible, and Elida could become a strong tropical storm. Weakening is expected to start over the weekend and continue into early next week.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Elida will affect portions of the west coast of the Baja California peninsula through this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.
...ELIDA'S INTENSITY REMAINS STEADY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Fri Jul 17 the center of Elida was located near 17.1, -121.9 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052026 2100 UTC FRI JUL 17 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 121.9W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 170SE 50SW 90NW. 4 M SEAS....300NE 300SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 121.9W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 121.6W
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052026 2100 UTC FRI JUL 17 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 121.9W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 170SE 50SW 90NW. 4 M SEAS....300NE 300SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 121.9W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 121.6W
Can I add any other vegetable, etc. to make it better? More like a flour tortilla and/or tastier?
Yes. You can add veggies, but go light on anything watery or high-carb—otherwise the dough gets loose/sticky and the tortillas won’t roll well.
Best additions (most “tortilla-like”)
Chopped spinach (thoroughly squeezed dry): start with 1–2 tbsp finely chopped per batch Mild onion or scallion (cooked/dried): 1 tbsp finely minced (cook first to remove water) Garlic powder: ¼–½ tsp Chopped cilantro or parsley: 1–2 tbsp Diced green chiles: 1–2 tbsp (drain well) For more “flour tortilla” vibe (neutral flavor)
More salt: up to ¾ tsp total if you like A little fat: 1 extra tsp oil in the dough helps mouthfeel Baking powder: ½ tsp (if yours is currently ¼–½ tsp or none) for a more tortilla/pliable texture Add-ins to boost flavor (low-carb)
Ground cumin: ¼–½ tsp Smoked paprika or chili powder: ¼–½ tsp Oregano: ¼ tsp Veggies to be careful with (raise carbs / add moisture)
Carrots, beets, sweet potato, squash (often too sweet/high-carb) Zucchini, mushrooms, peppers unless cooked and well-drained If you use higher-moisture veg, you’ll likely need to add 1–2 tsp coconut flour to bring the dough back. Simple rule for texture
For every 1–2 tbsp added “wet” ingredient (like spinach), you may need:
+1–2 tsp coconut flour, or +1–2 tsp psyllium, or slightly longer rest before rolling.
I asked ai to give me a recipe for High-fiber, lower-carb tortillas (using coconut + psyllium + cold boiled potato)
Makes ~6 medium tortillas.
Ingredients
Psyllium husk powder: 2 ½ tsp (more fiber, more bind) Warm water: 4 tbsp (plus 1–2 tsp more if needed) Salt: ½ tsp Coconut flour: ⅓ cup (about 28–35 g) All-purpose flour: 2–3 tbsp (about 15–25 g) optional but helps roll Cold boiled potato (cooled fully, then mashed or finely grated): ¼ cup packed (about 60–70 g) Apple cider vinegar (optional): 1 tsp Oil or butter: 1–2 tsp (for dough) Baking powder: ¼–½ tsp (optional)
Instructions
Hydrate psyllium: Mix psyllium + warm water (+ vinegar if using). Rest 5 minutes until gelled. Add potato: Mix in the cold mashed/grated potato. Mix dry: Stir in coconut flour, salt, and (if using) AP flour + baking powder.
Dough check: Too dry/cracking? add water 1 tsp at a time. Too wet/sticky? add 1 tsp coconut flour at a time.
Rest: 10 minutes.
Roll/press: Divide into 6 portions. Roll between parchment or press thin-ish (aim ~3 mm). Cook: Medium-high skillet. Cook 1–2 minutes per side until set and lightly browned. Don’t overcook or they get brittle. Steam-soften: Stack and cover with a towel to soften as they cool.
A typical ballpark is:
Per tortilla (of 6): Total carbs: ~10–14 g Net carbs: ~6–10 g Fiber: often 4–8 g+ (mostly from coconut + psyllium) Whole batch: multiply by 6.
These are estimates because carbs shift a lot with the exact grams of coconut flour and potato you use.
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 17 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Elida, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.
Well Southwest of the Hawaiian Islands (CP90): A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast of Johnston Atoll is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms away from the center. Environmental conditions are expected to become increasingly unfavorable, and development is no longer expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
Central and Western East Pacific (EP97): A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the weekend while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central portion of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Eastern and Central East Pacific: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop well to the south of Mexico during the middle to the end of next week. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system thereafter while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central portions of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Jul 17 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located near the southern Cabo Verde Islands. The low continues to produce a limited and disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Significant development of this system is not expected before environmental conditions become even less favorable for development over the weekend. Regardless of development, this system will likely produce some gusty winds and locally heavy rain over the southern Cabo Verde Islands over the next several hours. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northern Gulf of America and near Florida: A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of America is associated with an upper-level low and a surface trough. Some gradual development of this system is possible while it meanders northward, bringing heavy rain to portions of the Florida west coast during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
A rash of large wildland fires raged in western Ontario in mid-July 2026, sending thick smoke plumes streaming across several Canadian provinces and more than a dozen American states from the Great Lakes region to the Mid-Atlantic Coast. Tens of millions of people were advised to stay indoors, as air quality in several major population centers ranked among the worst in the world for July 15-16. In some places, smoke was lingering near the ground because of a heat dome that moved east and was causing extreme high temperatures across the Midwest and Northeast.
The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) instrument on the NOAA-20 platform acquired corrected reflectance imagery of the long and widespread smoke plumes on July 16, 2026. Red dots indicate thermal anomalies detected by VIIRS; these typically indicated the presence of active or recently burning fires.
In this wider view from NOAA-20 VIIRS—which includes seams from the edges of several orbital swaths—we see tan, aerosol laden clouds stretching well out into the North Atlantic. On the upper left, partly covered by the Worldview dashboard, we can also see the wildfire in Canada's Northwest Territories, including blazes near Great Bear Lake that are still sending plumes across northern territories and provinces.
The third image shows a level 3 ultraviolet aerosol index, a provisional product from the NASA-funded Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution (TEMPO) instrument. The data indicate the level to which particles in the air (aerosols) reflect and prevent sunlight from traveling through the atmosphere. At ground level, such dense aerosol concentrations are harmful to human health, especially for people with lung conditions.
Aerosols scatter and absorb incoming sunlight, reducing visibility. For an observer on the ground, an aerosol index of less than 0.1 is “clean” air characteristic of clear blue skies, bright sun, and maximum visibility. At an aerosol index level greater than 4.0—which is the case in much of this scene—aerosols have become so dense that the Sun is obscured.
This image pair compares the aerosol index from the July 2026 wildfire smoke event with a wildfire smoke event that blanketed eastern states and provinces in June 2023. These data (OMPS_NPP_NMMIEAI_L2) come from the Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite (OMPS) on the Suomi National Polar orbiting Partnership (Suomi NPP) satellite. Researchers from NASA's Langley Research Center provided a research summary of the 2023 event.
For updates and the latest alerts on fire-related air quality in the U.S., visit AirNow, a partnership of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the National Park Service, the Centers for Disease Control, NASA, and tribal, state, and local air quality agencies.
Copyright 1996 - 2026 by David Cottle. Designed by David Bate Jr. All Rights Reserved.
By using this forum, the user agrees not to transfer any data or technical information received under this agreement to any other entity without the express approval of the AUS-CITY Forum Admins and/or authors of individual posts (Forum Admins and DoD/USSPACECOM for the analysis of satellite tracking data).
Two-line elements (TLE) and all other satellite data presented and distributed via this forum and AUS-CITY mailing lists are distributed with permission from DoD/USSTRATCOM.
