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Volcano earthquake report for Saturday, 10 October 2026
• M 3.4 - 31 km NE of Punta Cana, Dominican Republic
• M 4.7 - 2 km WNW of El Cacao, Panama
• M 4.7 - 2 km WNW of El Cacao, Panama
• M 4.7 - 2 km WNW of El Cacao, Panama
• M 4.5 - 103 km SW of Puerto Madero, Mexico
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SPC MD 2354
Webmaster
43 minutes ago
SPC MD 2354MD 2354 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA INTO THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA 
Mesoscale Discussion 2354
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1246 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026
Areas affected...portions of southeast Georgia into the northern
Florida Peninsula
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 101746Z - 101915Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A few damaging gusts are possible with wet downbursts
within the stronger storms this afternoon. The severe threat should
be isolated, with a WW issuance not expected.
DISCUSSION...A somewhat organized line of multicells and short
linear segments have developed with the primary confluence band
pendant from Isaias' remnants, which is progressing eastward toward
a destabilizing airmass. Adequate insolation is supporting surface
temperatures reaching 90 F amid upper 70s F dewpoints, contributing
to 2000-2500 J/kg MLCAPE. Despite the magnitude of buoyancy present,
mid-level lapse rates are poor (e.g. around 5.5 C/km per 12Z
regional observed soundings), with instability confined to tall but
thin profiles. Furthermore, vertical wind shear is modest, comprised
of 25-35 kts of effective bulk shear, whose vectors are roughly
parallel to the confluence boundary.
Given veered, nearly unidirectional wind profiles, the tornado
threat should remain quite limited and brief. Given these factors,
the current thinking is that wet downbursts with the stronger storms
may produce a few damaging gusts. Still, this threat is also brief
and localized, so a WW issuance is not anticipated.
..Squitieri/Smith.. 10/10/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...TBW...JAX...TAE...
LAT...LON 29728380 31318302 31778250 31848189 31728134 31368114
30648143 29968209 29538274 29418302 29448338 29728380
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2354.html
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SPC Oct 10, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Webmaster
43 minutes ago
SPC Oct 10, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm OutlookSPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook 
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0201 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026
Valid 121200Z - 131200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
No severe weather is expected Monday through Monday night.
...Discussion...
An upper low and attendant shortwave trough will pivot across
portions of the Southwest and Great Basin on Monday. An enhanced
midlevel jet streak associated with this system and lingering
boundary layer moisture will support showers and isolated
thunderstorm activity. Instability will remain weak, limiting severe
thunderstorm potential.
Further northeast, a weak midlevel shortwave impulse will migrate
northeast from the central High Plains toward the Mid/Upper MS
Valley, flattening the central U.S. upper ridge. A weak surface low
over the Upper MS Valley will shift east through the Great Lakes,
and a trailing cold front will sweep southeast across the Upper
Midwest to the Mid-MO Valley. Boundary layer moisture will remain
modest, but cool temperatures aloft will support modest instability
atop midlevel capping across parts of central/southern WI. A few
elevated thunderstorms are possible within this modestly sheared and
weakly unstable environment ahead of the cold front. Small hail
could occur with the strongest storms. However, severe potential
appears too limited to include low probabilities at this time.
Additional thunderstorms are possible across portions of
south/southeast TX within a low-level warm advection regime on the
western periphery of surface high pressure centered over the central
Gulf coast vicinity. Isolated thunderstorms may also occur as a cold
front develops south across southern FL and the Keys during the
afternoon.
..Leitman.. 10/10/2026
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_1930.html
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SPC MD 2355
Webmaster
44 minutes ago
SPC MD 2355MD 2355 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 679... FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME EASTERN GEORGIA INTO WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA 
Mesoscale Discussion 2355
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0132 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026
Areas affected...portions of extreme eastern Georgia into western
South Carolina
Concerning...Tornado Watch 679...
Valid 101832Z - 101930Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 679 continues.
SUMMARY...A localized corridor of tornado potential appears to be
developing along the SC/GA border, in proximity to an effective warm
front. A strong tornado is possible.
DISCUSSION...A pair of supercells have developed ahead of a
confluence zone, with reports of possible tornado damage noted in
Bulloch County GA. These supercells are approaching an effective
warm front as they mature, and are expected to be along the warm
front in the Allendale to Barnwell County, SC area in the next 1-1.5
hours. The CAE VAD continues to show a large, curved hodograph and
400+ m2/s2 0-3 km SRH, with 200+ m2/s2 effective SRH preceding the
supercells in the 18Z mesoanalysis. Tornado potential should
continue with these supercells, and an EF2 intensity-equivalent
tornado could occur as these storms approach the warm front.
..Squitieri.. 10/10/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...
LAT...LON 32438166 32778185 33108182 33268167 33338146 33278122
33148110 32908107 32718111 32508129 32438166
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2355.html
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Monday: Light Rain, Minimum Temperature: 16°C (61°F) Maximum Temperature: 19°C (66°F)
Webmaster
45 minutes ago
Maximum Temperature: 19°C (66°F), Minimum Temperature: 16°C (61°F), Wind Direction: southerly, Wind Speed: 6mph, Visibility: Moderate, Pressure: 1010mb, Humidity: 89%, UV Risk: 1, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 07:30 BST, Sunset: 18:20 BST Source: Monday: Light Rain, Minimum Temperature: 16°C (61°F) Maximum Temperature: 19°C (66°F)
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Sunday: Sunny Intervals, Minimum Temperature: 10°C (49°F) Maximum Temperature: 14°C (58°F)
Webmaster
45 minutes ago
Maximum Temperature: 14°C (58°F), Minimum Temperature: 10°C (49°F), Wind Direction: westerly, Wind Speed: 2mph, Visibility: Good, Pressure: 1012mb, Humidity: 72%, UV Risk: 3, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 07:28 BST, Sunset: 18:23 BST Source: Sunday: Sunny Intervals, Minimum Temperature: 10°C (49°F) Maximum Temperature: 14°C (58°F)
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