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by Webmaster - Wed 20 May 2026 05:15:AM
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by Webmaster - Wed 20 May 2026 05:15:AM
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by Webmaster - Wed 20 May 2026 05:15:AM
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SPC MD 799
by Webmaster - Wed 20 May 2026 05:08:AM
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Volcano earthquake report for Wednesday, 20 May 2026
• Light mag. 3.9 earthquake - 225 km northwest of Saumlaki, Kabupaten Maluku ...
• Significant 6.0 quake hits near China, Ōshima-gun, Kagoshima-ken, Japan
• Moderate magnitude 4.6 quake hits 28 km northwest of Catamarca, Argentina l...
• Strong mag. 5.9 earthquake - 10.7 km north of China, Kagoshima-ken, Japan, ...
• Moderate mag. 4.9 earthquake - Evenkiyskiy District, 388 km east of Norilsk...
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Re: invf Pakistan fails to achieve polio-free target in 2018
Anonymous
11 minutes ago
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SPC May 20, 2026 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Webmaster
1 hour ago
SPC May 20, 2026 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookSPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook  Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1205 AM CDT Wed May 20 2026
Valid 201200Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WEST TEXAS...
...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms with large hail and isolated severe gusts are expected today across parts of west Texas. A few storms with isolated severe gusts and hail will also be possible from the central Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic and far southern New England.
...Southern High Plains... Southwesterly mid-level flow will remain in place today over the south-central U.S. At the surface, a quasi-stationary front will be positioned from west Texas eastward into the Texas Hill Country. South of the front, surface dewpoints in the 70s F will result in an axis of moderate instability. The strongest instability is forecast to develop from the lower Rio Grande River Valley north-northwestward into far west Texas and eastern new Mexico. As instability increases during the day and low-level convergence becomes focused along the front, scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop across far west Texas. These storms will move eastward into west-central Texas by early to mid evening. Additional storms may develop further north-northwest into eastern New Mexico.
RAP forecast soundings along the instability axis in the late afternoon from Fort Stockton northward to Midland have MLCAPE near 2000 J/kg. 0-6 km is forecast to be around 50 knots with 700-500 mb lapse rate from 7 to 8 C/km. This environment will be favorable for supercells with large hail. The more dominant storms will have potential for hailstones greater than 2 inches in diameter. Isolated severe wind gusts will also be possible. A more isolated severe threat may also develop further north-northwest across the southern High Plains along the instability axis.
...Central Appalachians/Mid-Atlantic/Far Southern New England... West-southwesterly mid-level flow will be in place today across much of the eastern U.S. At the surface, a cold front will advance southward across the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic. To the south of the front, surface dewpoints in the upper 60s F will enable an axis of moderate instability to develop by afternoon. MLCAPE is forecast to peak in the 1000 to 2000 J/kg range in most areas ahead of the front. Increasing low-level convergence near the front will lead to scattered thunderstorm development during the afternoon. These storms will move eastward across the central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic and far southern New England. RAP forecast soundings at 21Z along and near the instability axis have 0-6 km shear up to 25 knots with steep low-level lapse rates. This should support a severe threat with multicell storms. Isolated severe wind gusts and hail will be possible. The severe threat may persist into the early evening.
..Broyles/Squitieri.. 05/20/2026
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1200.html
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SPC MD 799
Webmaster
1 hour ago
SPC MD 799MD 0799 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 233... FOR FROM THE LAREDO AREA EASTWARD TOWARD THE MIDDLE TO UPPER TEXAS COAST 
Mesoscale Discussion 0799 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1150 PM CDT Tue May 19 2026
Areas affected...from the Laredo area eastward toward the middle to upper Texas Coast
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 233...
Valid 200450Z - 200615Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 233 continues.
SUMMARY...Isolated wind gusts over 50 kt remain possible across parts of southern into southeast Texas, within the broader zone of 30-40 kt outflow.
DISCUSSION...Within a broad W-E zone of thunderstorms, a few wind gusts over 50 kt have been measured, most recently at Kerrville TX with 56 kt. While most of the outflow as produced gusts of 30-40 kt, several larger/more organized storm clusters exist near intersecting outflow boundaries. The air mass remains quite moist, with modest southerly winds just above the surface aiding inflow (elevated above the outflow in some cases).
At this time it appears the overall severe risk will remain isolated across the entire region, with most gusts below 50 kt. However, trends will continue to be monitored as the system as a whole develops southeastward tonight.
..Jewell.. 05/20/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...
LAT...LON 29250098 29450070 29769915 29919899 30279875 30119827 29889757 30149683 30579672 30649625 30319577 29699572 29329524 28979551 28659687 28289928 28420044 28830073 29250098
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0799.html
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