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SPC Feb 16, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Webmaster
Yesterday at 04:27 PM
SPC Feb 16, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookSPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook  Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1024 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026
Valid 161630Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...
...SUMMARY... Strong thunderstorms may impact the coastal areas of central and southern California today. These storms may produce locally damaging wind gusts, and perhaps a brief tornado.
...Coastal Central and Southern CA... Recent satellite imagery continues to show a strong shortwave trough off the southern CA coast. Robust low-level wind fields precede this shortwave, with recent mesoanalysis and KVBX VAD profiles showing southerly winds around 40 to 50 kt at 1 km over Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo counties. Despite very meager buoyancy, regional radar imagery does show some deeper convective elements moving eastward/northeastward from along the Santa Barbara county coast to just west of the northern Channel Islands. Strong forcing for ascent will continue across the region throughout the day, although a southward shift is anticipated over the next few hours as a strong mid-level jet streak approaches the coast of far southern CA. This stronger forcing may result in a southward extension of the ongoing band, or the development of a separate band farther south.
Given the intense wind fields in place over the region, any deeper more sustained convection could result in localized strong gusts and perhaps even a brief tornado. Current trends suggest this severe potential will gradually shift southward across southern CA throughout the day. However, this threat should be limited/very isolated given the scant buoyancy in place and resulting expectation that any deeper convection should be brief and too shallow to produce lightning.
...Coastal southwest OR and northern CA... An upper trough will dive southward just off the Pacific Northwest tonight, with the left-exit region of the upper jet pushing into northern CA early Tuesday morning. While surface temperatures will be cool (in the 40s F) in the wake of the earlier wave, this secondary trough will bring cold temperatures aloft with and 500 mb temperatures to around -35 C. As such, 100-200 J/kg of SBCAPE will exist along the immediate coast, and a few instances of low-topped convection may yield locally strong wind gusts as the cold front moves through.
..Mosier/Wendt.. 02/16/2026
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1630.html
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World Earthquake Report for Monday, 16 February 2026
Webmaster
Yesterday at 04:20 PM
World Earthquake Report for Monday, 16 February 2026 Worldwide earthquakes above magnitude 3 during the past 24 hours on 16 Feb 2026 Summary: 5 quakes 5.0+, 37 quakes 4.0+, 134 quakes 3.0+, 274 quakes 2.0+ (450 total)This report is being updated every hour.Magnitude 5+: 5 earthquakes Magnitude 4+: 37 earthquakes Magnitude 3+: 134 earthquakes Magnitude 2+: 274 earthquakes No quakes of magnitude 6 or higher 10 largest earthquakes in the world (past 24 hours)Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 12:52 pm (GMT -2) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 09:54 am (GMT +13) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 04:02 pm (GMT +13) - Sunday, Feb 15, 2026, at 08:58 pm (GMT -7) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 01:00 pm (GMT +7) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 07:42 pm (Makassar time) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 09:36 am (Manila time) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 06:19 am (Santiago time) - Sunday, Feb 15, 2026, at 07:53 pm (Lima time) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 01:14 pm (Urumqi time) - Earthquakes reported feltMonday, Feb 16, 2026, at 12:55 am (GMT +1) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 08:15 am (GMT -7) - Sunday, Feb 15, 2026, at 07:50 pm (GMT -5) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 09:36 am (Manila time) - Sunday, Feb 15, 2026, at 10:13 pm (GMT -6) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 06:19 am (Santiago time) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 01:14 pm (Urumqi time) - Sunday, Feb 15, 2026, at 10:32 pm (GMT +2) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 01:00 pm (GMT +7) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 01:59 pm (GMT +9) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 12:18 am (GMT +3) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 09:37 am (GMT +7) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 05:55 pm (GMT +6) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 01:27 pm (GMT +13) - Monday, Feb 16, 2026, at 08:04 pm (GMT +12) - Earthquake stats  https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquake/news/295025/World-Earthquake-Report-for-Monday-16-February-2026.html
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Webmaster
Yesterday at 04:09 PM
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1007 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026
Valid 161700Z - 171200Z
...Southern and Central Plains... Increasing westerly flow aloft and associated strengthening surface lee troughing across the central/southern High Plains will support dry and breezy conditions across portions of eastern CO, eastern NM and OK/TX Panhandles through this afternoon. Sustained south/southwest winds approaching 20 mph coinciding with minimum RH between 15 and 20 percent will promote elevated fire weather conditions amid a receptive fuelscape. Boundary layer decoupling could be delayed across the TX/OK Panhandles into southwest KS supporting a lingering fire weather threat into the late evening hours, where surface wind reductions will be gradual under an accelerating low-level jet. In addition, poor RH recoveries of 30% or less under increasing cloud cover are possible overnight leading into Day 2/Tuesday. A slight eastward extension of Elevated highlights was made across the TX Panhandle and far northwestern OK based on latest model guidance and surface observations.
..Williams.. 02/16/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0111 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026/
...Synopsis... An upper ridge will overspread the Mississippi Valley as a pronounced mid-level trough impinges on the Rockies today. As this occurs, strong surface lee troughing will encourage widespread 15+ mph sustained southerly winds over the central and southern High Plains for much of the afternoon. Elevated highlights have been maintained over areas devoid of recent precipitation (hence dry fuels), and where RH will dip below 20 percent for several hours.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html
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Winners and losers from a spectacular 2026 Daytona 500
Webmaster
Yesterday at 03:58 PM
The 68th running of the Daytona 500 is now history, with Tyler Reddick and 23XI Racing its anointed champions. 25 of the 41 starters took a turn out front, there was a 20-car pileup, the race somehow finished under green, and the rain held off! Before Reddick claimed the checkered flag drivers, like Carson Hocevar, Zane Smith, Erik Jones, Chase Elliott, Ricky Stenhouse Jr, and several others ... Keep readingSource: Winners and losers from a spectacular 2026 Daytona 500
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