No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 17 Aug 2025 14:37:04 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 17 Aug 2025 09:50:19 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

Temperature: 19°C (66°F), Wind Direction: East South Easterly, Wind Speed: 9mph, Humidity: 66%, Pressure: 1023mb, Steady, Visibility: Excellent

Source: Sunday - 20:00 BST: Sunny, 19°C (66°F)

Maximum Temperature: 22°C (71°F), Minimum Temperature: 13°C (56°F), Wind Direction: Easterly, Wind Speed: 10mph, Visibility: Good, Pressure: 1019mb, Humidity: 66%, UV Risk: 4, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 05:55 BST, Sunset: 20:29 BST

Source: Tuesday: Sunny Intervals, Minimum Temperature: 13°C (56°F) Maximum Temperature: 22°C (71°F)

Maximum Temperature: 23°C (74°F), Minimum Temperature: 13°C (56°F), Wind Direction: Easterly, Wind Speed: 9mph, Visibility: Good, Pressure: 1022mb, Humidity: 68%, UV Risk: 4, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 05:53 BST, Sunset: 20:32 BST

Source: Monday: Sunny Intervals, Minimum Temperature: 13°C (56°F) Maximum Temperature: 23°C (74°F)

Minimum Temperature: 14°C (57°F), Wind Direction: Easterly, Wind Speed: 7mph, Visibility: Good, Pressure: 1023mb, Humidity: 53%, UV Risk: 6, Pollution: Low, Sunset: 20:34 BST

Source: Today: Clear Sky, Minimum Temperature: 14°C (57°F)

307
ABPZ20 KNHC 171138
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Aug 17 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 17 Aug 2025 05:31:50 GMT






Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 17 Aug 2025 03:22:28 GMT

Source: Hurricane Erin Graphics

Issued at 200 AM AST Sun Aug 17 2025

000
WTNT35 KNHC 170531
TCPAT5
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Erin Intermediate Advisory Number 23A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052025
200 AM AST Sun Aug 17 2025
 
...ERIN'S OUTER RAINBANDS PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS 
ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO... 
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 66.1W
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM N OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM ESE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Turks and Caicos Islands
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 hours.
 
Interests elsewhere in the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
southeast and central Bahamas should monitor the progress of 
Erin.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Erin was located 
near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 66.1 West. Erin is moving toward 
the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). This motion with a 
decrease in forward speed is expected today, followed by a turn 
to the north on Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the 
core of Erin is expected to pass to the east of the Turks and 
Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas tonight and Monday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Erin is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson 
Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in intensity are expected over 
the next day or two due to inner-core structural changes.
 
Erin is becoming a larger system. Hurricane-force winds extend 
outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and 
tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km).
 
The minimum central pressure based on data from the Air Force 
Hurricane Hunters is 940 mb (27.76 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Erin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC.
 
RAINFALL: The outer bands of Erin will continue to produce areas of
heavy rainfall today across the northern Leeward Islands,
the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4
inches, with isolated totals of 8 inches, are expected. Locally
considerable flash and urban flooding, along with landslides or
mudslides, are possible.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Erin, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
in the Turks and Caicos Islands beginning tonight. Squalls with
wind gusts to tropical storm force could occur over portions
of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico today and across the 
southeast and central Bahamas tonight through Tuesday.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Erin will continue to affect portions of 
the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, 
Hispaniola, and the Turks and Caicos Islands during the next couple 
of days. These swells will spread to the Bahamas, Bermuda, the 
east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the 
early and middle portions of the week.  These rough ocean conditions 
will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.  Please 
consult products from your local weather forecast office for more 
information.
 
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Source: Hurricane Erin Public Advisory Number 23a

...ERIN'S OUTER RAINBANDS PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO... As of 2:00 AM AST Sun Aug 17 the center of Erin was located near 20.4, -66.1 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 940 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 125 mph.

Source: Summary for Hurricane Erin (AT5/AL052025)

360
ABPZ20 KNHC 170508
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 16 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

146
ABNT20 KNHC 170508
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Erin, located about 150 miles north of Puerto Rico.

Northwestern Atlantic:
The area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles off the
coast of North Carolina continues to produce disorganized shower
activity to the east of the center. Development, if any, of this
system should be slow to occur during the next day or so while it
moves little over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream. The
opportunity for development should end on Monday when environmental
conditions are expected to become unfavorable.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could form over the central tropical
Atlantic during the middle to latter portion of the week. Some
subsequent development could occur as the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

By Holly Cain, NASCAR Wire Service RICHMOND, Va. - Austin Dillon claimed his sixth career NASCAR Cup Series race trophy, earned a [...]

Source: Austin Dillon Erases Last Year’s Heartbreak, Punches Ticket to Playoffs

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025

000
FONT15 KNHC 170300
PWSAT5
                                                                    
HURRICANE ERIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025               
0300 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120   
KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.                                           
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
NEW LONDON CT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   6(16)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  16(22)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   9(21)   1(22)   X(22)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   2( 2)   8(10)   8(18)   5(23)   X(23)   X(23)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GRAND TURK     34  2   7( 9)  17(26)   5(31)   2(33)   1(34)   X(34)
GRAND TURK     50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  2   2( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PONCE PR       34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
AGUADILLA PR   34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAN JUAN PR    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
VIEQUES PR     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAINT JOHN     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PAPIN

Source: Hurricane Erin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23

Issued at 1100 PM AST Sat Aug 16 2025

239 
WTNT45 KNHC 170259
TCDAT5
 
Hurricane Erin Discussion Number  23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052025
1100 PM AST Sat Aug 16 2025
 
After rapidly intensifying for the first part of the day, Erin now
appears to be in the middle stages of an eyewall replacement cycle
(ERC). Both the NOAA and Air Force Reserve reconnaissance have
indicated concentric eyewalls on their missions this evening, and in
response, the inner eyewall is starting to become more degraded with
decreasing winds. With that said, there is not an especially well
defined secondary wind maximum quite yet, primarily only observed in
the NOAA-P3 Tail Doppler Radar data in the northeastern quadrant.
The peak flight level winds reported by the NOAA and Air Force
aircraft were both 130 kt at 700 mb. The initial intensity is
therefore reduced to 120 kt for this advisory, and this could be
generous.
 
The inner eyewall of Erin has been wobbling around, likely due to
some trochoidal motion as it interacts with the building secondary
wind maximum, but the longer-term motion is around 290/12 kt. Erin
has moved left of the NHC forecast track over the past day, and I
suspect some of this left-of expected motion could be due to the
small inner-core size of the hurricane, which was poorly resolved by
all of the hurricane-regional forecast models. However, as the
overall wind field of Erin grows in size, a more consistent
west-northwestward motion is expected to resume tonight and persist
over the next 12-24 hours. After that time, a series of shortwave
troughs will move offshore of Atlantic Canada, helping to reinforce
a longwave trough over the north-central portion of the Atlantic.
This should create a growing weakness to the north of Erin,
ultimately allowing the large hurricane to turn northward and then
northeastward by the end of the forecast period. The track guidance
this cycle made another westward adjustment, and the NHC track
forecast was nudged in that direction. The current track remains to
the east of both the HCCA and ECMWF track aids, so it would not be
surprising to see some additional leftward adjustments in subsequent
forecast cycles.
 
The future intensity is probably the most challenging aspect of
Erin's forecast. Erin's maximum sustained winds have been decreasing
as a secondary eyewall gradually becomes better defined. A little
more weakening could occur in the short term as these structural
changes occur. However, none of the hurricane-regional models
appears to have a good handle on Erin's current structure (they all
have a much broader core). Given that the vertical wind shear is
currently low, and the hurricane is well embedded in a moist
environment, this ERC is expected to complete without much issue,
though it will likely take a bit of time for the hurricane's maximum
sustained winds to recover as its wind field broadens. Thus, the NHC
intensity forecast shows some reintensification in the 24 h period
after this ERC completes. Afterwards, it wouldn't be surprising to
see another cycle begin, and at 36-48 h northwesterly shear is still
anticipated to increase some. Their combination should begin a
weakening trend with Erin as it continues to grow in size. The NHC
intensity forecast is a little lower than the previous advisory,
primarily due to the weaker initial intensity, but is still roughly
in line with the intensity consensus aids.
 
A recent scatterometer pass indicates that Erin's outer-core is
growing in size, and the models remain in strong agreement that the
system will grow further the next several days. In fact, by the
middle of next week, Erin is forecast to at least double or triple
in size, which will result in rough ocean conditions over the
western Atlantic.
 
 
KEY MESSAGES:
 
1. Heavy rainfall at times through Sunday across the northern
Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico may lead to
locally considerable flash and urban flooding, along with landslides
or mudslides.
 
2. Tropical-storm conditions are possible in the Turks and Caicos
Islands during the next 48 h, where a Tropical Storm Watch is in
effect. Gusts to tropical storm force in Erin's outer rainbands are
likely in portions of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico through
Sunday. Tropical-storm force wind gusts are possible in the
Southeast Bahamas beginning late Sunday.
 
3. Erin is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip
currents along the beaches of the Bahamas, much of the east coast of
the U.S., and Atlantic Canada next week.
 
4.  Interests in Bermuda should continue to monitor the progress of
Erin since there is a risk of strong winds, heavy rainfall, and high
surf by the middle part of next week.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  17/0300Z 20.3N  65.1W  120 KT 140 MPH
 12H  17/1200Z 20.8N  66.7W  115 KT 130 MPH
 24H  18/0000Z 22.0N  68.5W  130 KT 150 MPH
 36H  18/1200Z 23.3N  69.9W  120 KT 140 MPH
 48H  19/0000Z 24.5N  70.8W  115 KT 130 MPH
 60H  19/1200Z 26.0N  71.5W  110 KT 125 MPH
 72H  20/0000Z 28.0N  72.1W  105 KT 120 MPH
 96H  21/0000Z 32.0N  71.5W  100 KT 115 MPH
120H  22/0000Z 37.5N  65.5W   90 KT 105 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Papin

Source: Hurricane Erin Forecast Discussion Number 23

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025

899 
WTNT25 KNHC 170257
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
0300 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  65.1W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  937 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 110SE  40SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  65.1W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  64.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.8N  66.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  45SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE  60SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 105SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.3N  69.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.5N  70.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 65NE  65SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 28.0N  72.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  45SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 32.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 260SE 190SW 180NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 37.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...140NE 170SE 145SW 110NW.
34 KT...260NE 290SE 255SW 225NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N  65.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN

Source: Hurricane Erin Forecast Advisory Number 23

[link] [21 comments]

Source: [url=https://www.fark.com/comments/13779480?utm_source=feed&utm_medium=comments&utm_campaign=fark]Let's raise a glass and toast the decline of drinking in America [Interesting][/url]

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Source: [url=https://www.fark.com/comments/13778044?utm_source=feed&utm_medium=comments&utm_campaign=fark]Caption this colorful conference [Caption][/url]

[link] [12 comments]

Source: [url=https://www.fark.com/comments/13779458?utm_source=feed&utm_medium=comments&utm_campaign=fark]Arrrrh. Hoist up the thing, batten down the whatsis [Spiffy][/url]

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Source: [url=https://www.fark.com/comments/13779434?utm_source=feed&utm_medium=comments&utm_campaign=fark]Tourist flies 13 hours to eat soggy sandwich on Irish cliff [Fail][/url]

[link] [38 comments]

Source: [url=https://www.fark.com/comments/13779476?utm_source=feed&utm_medium=comments&utm_campaign=fark]Welcome to Air Canada. We are currently awaiting the loading of our compliment of small, lemon-soaked paper napkins for your comfort, refreshment, and hygiene. Meanwhile we thank you for your patience [News][/url]

[link] [38 comments]

Source: [url=https://www.fark.com/comments/13779374?utm_source=feed&utm_medium=comments&utm_campaign=fark]Alternative California "UFO spiritual group": "We are not a cult." Hank Hill would like a word [Awkward][/url]

[link] [15 comments]

Source: [url=https://www.fark.com/comments/13779190?utm_source=feed&utm_medium=comments&utm_campaign=fark]Nice places to live, comfortable underwear, in-flight entertainment, and freshly delivered pizza are all on the Fark Weird News Quiz, August 9-14 Pyromaniac Industrialist Edition [Weird][/url]

[link] [25 comments]

Source: [url=https://www.fark.com/comments/13779338?utm_source=feed&utm_medium=comments&utm_campaign=fark]Windowless Window Seats is the name of my easy listening/death metal hybrid band [Murica][/url]

[link] [14 comments]

Source: [url=https://www.fark.com/comments/13776638?utm_source=feed&utm_medium=comments&utm_campaign=fark]Photoshop tennis medieval bedroom edition [Photoshop][/url]