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SPC MD 2195
Webmaster
56 minutes ago
SPC MD 2195MD 2195 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS INCLUDING THE MIDDLE AND LOWER COASTAL COUNTIES 
Mesoscale Discussion 2195 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0523 PM CDT Sat Nov 01 2025
Areas affected...parts of far southern Texas including the middle and lower coastal counties
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 012223Z - 020130Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Scattered storms, some severe, may develop over the next several hours and affect much of the middle to lower Texas Coast. A few storms may produce large and damaging hail.
DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows an inverted trough from the lower Rio Grande Valley into central TX, with significantly cooler surface temperatures over central TX compared to far southern areas. However, moist easterly low-level winds combined with cooling aloft with the upper trough have supported elevated thunderstorms this afternoon with minimal severe potential thus far.
Farther south, conditions appear to be much more favorable for large hail, with full heating and a deepening moist boundary layer. The primary uncertainty is storm coverage over land.
The 18Z CRP sounding showed a capping inversion near 800 mb. In addition to gradual boundary layer moistening since then, 700 mb temperatures have likely cooled as the upper trough digs southeastward. Convection is already starting to increase across the middle TX Coast, and this trend should continue. Cells may become severe before moving offshore, with large hail the primary threat. Deep-layer shear appears quite favorable with 50-60 kt effective values.
At least isolated severe may occur later tonight toward the lower Rio Grande, as midlevel temperatures continue to cool.
..Jewell/Mosier.. 11/01/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO...
LAT...LON 25999786 27509860 28139872 29009794 29319646 29139538 29009522 28269648 27829704 27119734 26589721 25949711 25789744 25999786
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2195.html
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World Earthquake Report for Saturday, 1 November 2025
Webmaster
1 hour ago
World Earthquake Report for Saturday, 1 November 2025 Worldwide earthquakes above magnitude 3 during the past 24 hours on 1 Nov 2025 Summary: 4 quakes 5.0+, 31 quakes 4.0+, 137 quakes 3.0+, 356 quakes 2.0+ (528 total)This report is being updated every hour.Magnitude 5+: 4 earthquakes Magnitude 4+: 31 earthquakes Magnitude 3+: 137 earthquakes Magnitude 2+: 356 earthquakes No quakes of magnitude 6 or higher 10 largest earthquakes in the world (past 24 hours)Friday, Oct 31, 2025, at 11:51 pm (GMT -2) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 01:32 pm (GMT +9) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 07:50 pm (GMT +10) - Friday, Oct 31, 2025, at 11:16 pm (GMT -2) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 11:33 pm (GMT +4:30) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 02:57 pm (GMT +8) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 08:20 am (GMT +9) - Sunday, Nov 2, 2025, at 04:00 am (GMT +7) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 01:47 pm (Auckland time) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 02:25 pm (Baghdad time) - Earthquakes reported feltSaturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 02:25 pm (Baghdad time) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 07:58 am (Istanbul time) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 01:47 pm (Auckland time) - Sunday, Nov 2, 2025, at 12:55 am (Auckland time) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 02:52 pm (Bogota time) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 12:57 pm (Addis Ababa time) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 12:01 pm (Boise time) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 05:39 pm (Athens time) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 03:49 pm (Istanbul time) - Friday, Oct 31, 2025, at 08:45 pm (Santiago time) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 10:47 pm (GMT +1) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 04:25 pm (Jayapura time) - Saturday, Nov 1, 2025, at 08:52 am (Istanbul time) - Earthquake stats  https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquake/news/285726/World-Earthquake-Report-for-Saturday-1-November-2025.html
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Monday: Light Rain, Minimum Temperature: 13°C (56°F) Maximum Temperature: 15°C (59°F)
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Maximum Temperature: 15°C (59°F), Minimum Temperature: 13°C (56°F), Wind Direction: South Westerly, Wind Speed: 13mph, Visibility: Moderate, Pressure: 1006mb, Humidity: 87%, UV Risk: 1, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 07:11 GMT, Sunset: 16:33 GMT Source: Monday: Light Rain, Minimum Temperature: 13°C (56°F) Maximum Temperature: 15°C (59°F)
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Sunday: Sunny Intervals, Minimum Temperature: 8°C (46°F) Maximum Temperature: 11°C (53°F)
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Maximum Temperature: 11°C (53°F), Minimum Temperature: 8°C (46°F), Wind Direction: South Westerly, Wind Speed: 9mph, Visibility: Good, Pressure: 1005mb, Humidity: 79%, UV Risk: 2, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 07:09 GMT, Sunset: 16:35 GMT Source: Sunday: Sunny Intervals, Minimum Temperature: 8°C (46°F) Maximum Temperature: 11°C (53°F)
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Volcano earthquake report for Saturday, 1 Nov 2025
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Volcano earthquake report for Saturday, 1 Nov 2025 World map showing volcanoes with shallow (less than 50 km) earthquakes within 20 km radius during the past 24 hours on 1 Nov 2025 Number in brackets indicate nr of quakes. Quakes detected near: Apaneca Range (1 quake mag 2.0), Campi Flegrei (Phlegrean Fields) (16 quakes between mag 0.1-1.5), Clear Lake (31 quakes between mag 0.2-1.9), Coso (2 quakes between mag 1.0-1.0), El Chichón (21 quakes between mag 1.2-3.0), El Hierro (1 quake mag 1.5) Esjufjöll (2 quakes between mag 0.8-1.2), Etna (2 quakes between mag 1.3-1.4), Gareloi (1 quake mag 1.1), Gran Canaria (3 quakes between mag 0.6-3.0), Iriomote-jima (1 quake mag 1.0), Katla (6 quakes between mag 0.5-2.0), Kawah Kamojang (1 quake mag 2.4), Kawah Karaha (1 quake mag 3.0), Kolumbo (4 quakes between mag 0.8-1.4), Krafla (4 quakes between mag 0.8-1.2), Krísuvík (15 quakes between mag 0.6-1.9), Kuju (100 quakes between mag 0.1-2.7), La Palma (1 quake mag 1.0), Ljósufjöll (2 quakes between mag 1.8-2.0), Loki-Fögrufjöll volcano (1 quake mag 1.6), Methana (1 quake mag 1.6), Nantai (4 quakes between mag 0.1-1.4), Nikko-Shirane (7 quakes between mag 0.4-1.5), Nisyros (3 quakes between mag 2.4-3.4), Ontake-san (7 quakes between mag 0.1-1.2), Oshima (1 quake mag 1.4), Osore-yama (3 quakes between mag 0.5-1.2), Papandayan (2 quakes between mag 2.0-3.0), Santorini (1 quake mag 1.2), Sarik-Gajah (3 quakes between mag 2.2-3.3), Terceira (2 quakes between mag 2.0-2.1), To-shima (1 quake mag 1.2), Whale Island (1 quake mag 2.7), Yake-dake (2 quakes between mag 0.4-1.6) (updated 21h50) Note: Earthquakes within 20 km from and at depths less than 50 km under active volcanoes are reported. The list is not complete because many volcanoes are not monitored and/or seismic data in high resolution is not available publicly.
Volcanoes with recent earthquakes above magnitude 2 or more than 10 quakes are listed below:
Campi Flegrei (Phlegrean Fields) volcano (Italy): 16 earthquakes up to magnitude 1.5Possible earthquake swarm: 16 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 21 hours, the last being recorded quake 46 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 5.25 and 0.02 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 1.5 quake Tyrrhenian Sea, 21 km northeast of Isola d'Ischia Island, Italy, Nov 1, 2025 10:04 pm (GMT +1) (2 km S) 1.4 quake Campi Flegrei Nov 1, 2025 10:02 pm (GMT +1) (2 km S) 1.1 quake 2.1 km west of Fuorigrotta, Napoli, Campania, Italy, Nov 1, 2025 06:09 am (GMT +1) (3 km E) 0.6 quake 4.2 km southeast of Pozzuoli, Napoli, Campania, Italy, Nov 1, 2025 08:35 am (GMT +1) (0 km NNE) 0.2 quake Italy: Flegrei Nov 1, 2025 11:38 am (GMT +1) (1 km W) All earthquakes at Campi Flegrei (Phlegrean Fields)Clear Lake volcano (California): 31 earthquakes up to magnitude 1.9Possible earthquake swarm: 31 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 17 hours, the last being recorded quake 49 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 10.79 and 1.36 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 1.9 quake Sonoma County, 14 mi southwest of Clearlake, Lake County, California, United States, Nov 1, 2025 01:27 am (GMT -7) (17 km SSW) 1.6 quake Sonoma County, 14 mi southwest of Clearlake, Lake County, California, United States, Nov 1, 2025 01:27 am (GMT -7) (17 km SSW) 1.3 quake 27 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, Nov 1, 2025 11:18 am (GMT -7) (18 km SSW) 1.1 quake 7 km NW of the Geysers, CA, Nov 1, 2025 01:28 am (GMT -7) (17 km SSW) 1.1 quake 7 km NW of the Geysers, CA, Nov 1, 2025 01:30 am (GMT -7) (17 km SSW) All earthquakes at Clear LakeEl Chichón volcano (Southern Mexico): 21 earthquakes up to magnitude 3.0Possible earthquake swarm: 21 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 21 hours, the last being recorded quake 2 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 5.20 and 2.20 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 3.0 quake Estado de Chiapas, 37 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Nov 1, 2025 01:27 pm (Merida time) (1 km SSW) 3.0 quake Estado de Chiapas, 37 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Nov 1, 2025 04:45 am (Merida time) (1 km WSW) 2.9 quake Estado de Chiapas, 37 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Oct 31, 2025 04:58 pm (Merida time) (2 km S) 2.5 quake Estado de Chiapas, 35 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Oct 31, 2025 09:04 pm (Merida time) (3 km ESE) 2.5 quake Estado de Chiapas, 35 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, Oct 31, 2025 04:37 pm (Merida time) (2 km ESE) All earthquakes at El ChichónGran Canaria volcano (Canary Islands): 3 earthquakes up to magnitude 3.03 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 14 hours, the last being recorded quake 10 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 10.00 and 2.00 km. Earthquake details: Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 27 km west of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas, Canary Islands, Spain, Oct 31, 2025 09:53 pm (GMT +0) (10 km NW) 1.1 quake 8.8 km south of Galdar, Las Palmas, Canary Islands, Spain, Nov 1, 2025 12:16 pm (Universal Time) (7 km WNW) 0.6 quake 9.2 km south of Galdar, Las Palmas, Canary Islands, Spain, Oct 31, 2025 11:00 pm (Universal Time) (7 km WNW) All earthquakes at Gran CanariaKawah Kamojang volcano (West Java): magnitude 2.4 earthquakeA magnitude 2.4 earthquake occurred at the volcano 5 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 17 km distance WSW from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.4 quake 15 km southeast of Banjaran, Kabupaten Bandung, Jawa Barat, Indonesia, Nov 1, 2025 11:36 pm (Jakarta time) (17 km WSW) All earthquakes at Kawah KamojangKawah Karaha volcano (West Java): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 16 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 12 km distance E from the volcano. Earthquake details: Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 23 km north of Tasikmalaya, Kota Tasikmalaya, Jawa Barat, Indonesia, Nov 1, 2025 12:27 pm (GMT +7) (12 km E) All earthquakes at Kawah KarahaKrísuvík volcano (Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland): 15 earthquakes up to magnitude 1.9Possible earthquake swarm: 15 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 16 hours, the last being recorded quake 7 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 7.60 and 3.30 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 1.9 quake 2.8 km N of Krýsuvík Nov 1, 2025 10:11 am (Reykjavik time) (3 km SE) 1.6 quake 6.2 km NE of Krýsuvík Oct 31, 2025 10:33 pm (Universal Time) (6 km E) 1.5 quake 6.1 km NE of Krýsuvík Oct 31, 2025 10:19 pm (Universal Time) (5 km E) 1.1 quake Iceland: 2.8 km NNE of Krýsuvík Nov 1, 2025 10:18 am (Reykjavik time) (3 km SE) 1.1 quake 6.0 km NE of Krýsuvík Oct 31, 2025 11:06 pm (Universal Time) (6 km E) All earthquakes at KrísuvíkKuju volcano (Kyushu): 100 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.7Possible earthquake swarm: 100 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 18 hours, the last being recorded quake 1 hour 34 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 15.90 and 6.10 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 2.7 quake 45 km west of Oita, Oita Prefecture, Japan, Nov 1, 2025 11:17 am (GMT +9) (5 km W) 2.6 quake 41 km west of Oita, Oita Prefecture, Japan, Nov 1, 2025 04:48 pm (GMT +9) (8 km NW) 2.5 quake 41 km west of Oita, Oita Prefecture, Japan, Nov 1, 2025 04:48 pm (GMT +9) (7 km WNW) 2.3 quake 41 km west of Oita, Oita Prefecture, Japan, Nov 1, 2025 11:45 am (GMT +9) (7 km WNW) 2.2 quake 41 km west of Oita, Oita Prefecture, Japan, Nov 1, 2025 11:36 am (GMT +9) (7 km WNW) All earthquakes at KujuNisyros volcano (Greece): 3 earthquakes up to magnitude 3.43 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 11 hours, the last being recorded quake 1 hour 1 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 37.60 and 12.40 km. Earthquake details: 3.4 quake Aegean Sea, 16 km south of Nisi Nisyros Island, Dodecanese, South Aegean, Greece, Nov 1, 2025 11:53 am (Athens time) (15 km S) 2.7 quake Aegean Sea, 13 km north of Nisi Nisyros Island, Dodecanese, South Aegean, Greece, Nov 1, 2025 10:49 pm (GMT +2) (14 km N) 2.4 quake Aegean Sea, 17 km west of Nisi Tilos Island, Dodecanese, South Aegean, Greece, Nov 1, 2025 11:52 am (Athens time) (15 km S) All earthquakes at NisyrosPapandayan volcano (West Java): 2 earthquakes up to magnitude 3.02 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 34 minutes, the last being recorded quake 5 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 10.00 and 10.00 km. Earthquake details: 3.0 quake 17 km southeast of Banjaran, Kabupaten Bandung, Jawa Barat, Indonesia, Nov 2, 2025 12:04 am (Jakarta time) (18 km NNW) 2.0 quake 17 km southeast of Banjaran, Kabupaten Bandung, Jawa Barat, Indonesia, Nov 1, 2025 11:30 pm (Jakarta time) (18 km NNW) All earthquakes at PapandayanSarik-Gajah volcano (Sumatra): 3 earthquakes up to magnitude 3.33 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 42 minutes, the last being recorded quake 20 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 10.00 and 10.00 km. Earthquake details: 3.3 quake Kabupaten Pasaman, 33 km northwest of Bukittinggi, Indonesia, Nov 1, 2025 08:28 am (Jakarta time) (17 km S) 2.3 quake Kabupaten Pasaman, 38 km northwest of Bukittinggi, Indonesia, Nov 1, 2025 09:10 am (Jakarta time) (11 km S) 2.2 quake Kabupaten Pasaman, 37 km northwest of Bukittinggi, Indonesia, Nov 1, 2025 08:57 am (Jakarta time) (13 km S) All earthquakes at Sarik-GajahTerceira volcano (Azores): 2 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.12 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 11 hours, the last being recorded quake 11 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 1.10 and 0.00 km. Earthquake details: 2.1 quake 13 km northwest of Angra do Heroismo, Azores, Portugal, Oct 31, 2025 10:56 pm (Azores time) (2 km NE) 2.0 quake 15 km northwest of Angra do Heroismo, Azores, Portugal, Nov 1, 2025 10:04 am (Azores time) (3 km W) All earthquakes at TerceiraWhale Island volcano (New Zealand): magnitude 2.7 earthquakeA magnitude 2.7 earthquake occurred at the volcano 14 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 5.00 km depth at 6 km distance ENE from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.7 quake South Pacific Ocean, 15 km north of Whakatane, Bay of Plenty, New Zealand, Nov 1, 2025 08:54 pm (Auckland time) (6 km ENE) All earthquakes at Whale Islandhttps://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquakes-volcanoes/news/285719/Volcano-earthquake-report-for-Saturday-1-Nov-2025.html
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Webmaster
1 hour ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0436 PM CDT Sat Nov 01 2025
Valid 031200Z - 091200Z
Weak ridging and quasi-zonal flow will dominate much of the western and central US through mid-week. Stronger westerly flow will develop over the West and impinge on the Rockies and southern High Plains by late in the week. A compact upper low will exit the Southeast by Day 4/Tuesday, while strong flow aloft and general upper-level troughing are expected over the Great Lakes and Northeast through Day 5/Wednesday.
...High Plains... Dry/breezy southerly winds are likely on portions of the southern High Plains on Day 3/Monday with winds turning more westerly on Day 4/Tuesday as lee troughing develops amid modest downslope flow. Dry/breezy conditions are also likely in portions of southeast Wyoming into western Nebraska and northeast Colorado on Day 4/Tuesday. If forecast guidance continues to trend towards drier/breezier conditions, 40% areas may be needed on Day 4/Tuesday.
Stronger winds aloft arrive by Day 6/Thursday leading to stronger downslope flow and deeper lee troughing on portions of the High Plains. The 40% probability area was expanded on the southern High Plains and additional areas on the central/northern High Plains may be necessary, especially if confidence increases in lower forecast RH values.
...Southeast/Mid-Atlantic... Dry and potentially breezy conditions are expected in portions of the Southeast into the Mid-Atlantic on Day 4/Tuesday - Day 5/Wednesday. Some of these areas have received recent precipitation, but southern Georgia into North Florida and southeast Alabama have received less. Additionally, portions of the Carolinas into the DelMarVa have longer-term dryness even with recent rainfall. The lack of overlap of stronger winds and lower RH preclude introducing areas at this time.
..Nauslar.. 11/01/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/
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Moderate 4.8 quake hits near Meulaboh, West Aceh Regency, Nanggroe Aceh Darussalam Province, Indonesia
Webmaster
2 hours ago
Moderate 4.8 quake hits near Meulaboh, West Aceh Regency, Nanggroe Aceh Darussalam Province, Indonesia Just 6 minutes ago, a 4.8-magnitude earthquake struck near Meulaboh, West Aceh Regency, Nanggroe Aceh Darussalam Province, Indonesia. The tremor was recorded early morning on Sunday, November 2nd, 2025, at 4:00 am local time, at a shallow depth of 25. km below the surface. The event was filed by Indonesia's Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysical Agency, the first seismological agency to report it. Our monitoring service identified a second report from the citizen-seismograph network of RaspberryShake which listed the quake at magnitude 4.8 as well. Based on the preliminary seismic data, the quake should not have caused any significant damage, but was probably felt by many people as light vibration in the area of the epicenter. Weak shaking might have been felt in Meulaboh (pop. 64,600) located 32 km from the epicenter. Other towns or cities near the epicenter where the quake might have been felt as very weak shaking include Blangpidie (pop. 24,100) located 100 km from the epicenter. VolcanoDiscovery will automatically update magnitude and depth if these change and follow up if other significant news about the quake become available. If you’re in the area, please send us your experience through our reporting mechanism, either online or via our mobile app. This will help us provide more first-hand updates to anyone around the globe who wants to know more about this quake.
Earthquake data: Date & time: Nov 2, 2025 04:00 am (GMT +7) local time (1 Nov 2025 21:00 GMT)Magnitude: 4.8 Depth: 25.00 km Epicenter latitude / longitude: 3.92°N / 95.95°E  (West Aceh Regency, Nanggroe Aceh Darussalam Province, Indonesia) Primary data source: BMKGhttps://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquake/news/285757/Moderate-48-quake-hits-near-Meulaboh-West-Aceh-Regency-Nanggroe-Aceh-Darussalam-Province-Indonesia.html
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