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SPC May 7, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Webmaster
22 minutes ago
SPC May 7, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective OutlookSPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook  Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Thu May 07 2026
Valid 081200Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE OZARKS...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND GULF COAST STATES...
...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms appear possible Friday through Friday night from parts of Oklahoma/Texas into the Ozarks, lower Mississippi Valley, and Gulf Coast states. Occasional large hail and damaging gusts should be the main threats.
...Synopsis... With an upper low forecast to remain over Hudson Bay, a mid/upper-level shortwave trough should develop southeastward Friday across much of the northern/central Plains into the upper/mid MS Valley. Shallow/limited low-level moisture will advance northward across the southern Plains into the Ozarks ahead of a southeastward-moving surface cold front. An initially separate mid-level low over northern Mexico Friday morning should devlove into an open wave through the day as it slowly shifts eastward into TX through Friday evening. Greater low-level moisture (mid 60s to low 70s surface dewpoints) should spread northward through the period across TX into the lower MS Valley and central Gulf Coast states along an effective warm front, with a weak surface low forecast to develop over northwest TX by early Friday evening. A surface dryline extending south-southwestward from this low across west TX towards the Big Bend is forecast to gradually sharpen through the day.
...Oklahoma/Southeast Kansas into Missouri/Arkansas... Even with the somewhat limited low-level moisture expected ahead of the cold front by Friday afternoon, the presence of modestly steepened mid-level lapse rates and daytime heating should contribute to around 500-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE in a narrow corridor along/near the front. Large-scale ascent associated with the mid/upper-level shortwave trough should aid in the development of isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms across northern OK into the MO Ozarks by late Friday afternoon. With moderate to locally strong deep-layer shear aiding updraft organization, the strongest cores could produce occasional severe hail and/or damaging winds through Friday evening as they track east-southeastward before eventually weakening with the loss of daytime heating. Confidence in a more focused severe corridor across this region remains too low for a categorical upgrade with this update, mainly due to the limited moisture/instability forecast.
...Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley/Southeast... Thunderstorms should form by late Friday afternoon/early evening across the higher terrain of north-central/northeast Mexico, as large-scale ascent preceding the southern-stream upper low/trough overspreads this area. A rather moist low-level airmass will be in place across south-central TX along/south of a warm front. While some MLCIN will likely persist through peak heating, it appears that moderate to locally strong MUCAPE coupled with around 40-50 kt of deep-layer shear will support organized convection, including the potential for supercells. While some uncertainty remains regarding how may supercells may develop eastward from Mexico into south-central TX, the favorable environment supports inclusion of 5% hail/wind probabilities and a Marginal Risk.
Large-scale forcing appears more nebulous/weak across north/central TX in between the surface cold front in OK and the upper low/trough in northern Mexico. Daytime heating should help erode MLCIN along/near the dryline in northwest/north-central to west-central TX, and the cap does not appear overly strong across these areas. Still, considerable uncertainty remains whether sustained surface-based convection will occur Friday afternoon/evening along/east of the dryline in TX. Even so, have expanded the Marginal Risk southward to account for a conditional hail/wind threat if convection initiates.
Farther east into the lower MS Valley and Gulf Coast states, some guidance suggests robust thunderstorms may form through the day mainly along/north of the remnant front. This activity will likely be related to small-scale mid-level perturbations and weak low-level warm advection. Sufficient MUCAPE amid strong deep-layer shear may support organized cells/clusters capable of producing both isolated severe hail and occasional damaging winds. Other strong to severe convection may form Friday afternoon along the Atlantic Coast sea breeze in northeast/east-central FL. The potential for additional robust convection Friday night into early Saturday morning across the ArkLaTex and lower MS Valley remains unclear. But, some chance for persistent convection amid a gradually destabilizing airmass and strengthening low-level warm/moist advection suggests at least an isolated severe hail/wind risk may linger through the overnight hours.
..Gleason.. 05/07/2026
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.html
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Volcano earthquake report for Thursday, 7 May 2026
Webmaster
1 hour ago
Volcano earthquake report for Thursday, 7 May 2026 World map showing volcanoes with shallow (less than 50 km) earthquakes within 20 km radius during the past 24 hours on 7 May 2026 Number in brackets indicate nr of quakes. Quakes detected near: Bardarbunga (19 quakes between mag 0.0-1.7), Baru (1 quake mag 2.9), Barva (2 quakes between mag 1.2-1.4), Brennisteinsfjöll (3 quakes between mag 0.0-1.9), Campi Flegrei (Phlegrean Fields) (10 quakes between mag 0.1-3.0), Clear Lake (46 quakes between mag 0.2-2.5) Coso (6 quakes between mag 0.6-1.6), El Chichón (9 quakes between mag 1.6-2.6), Eldey (17 quakes between mag 0.3-1.9), Esteli (1 quake mag 3.0), Gilbanta (1 quake mag 2.3), Gran Canaria (1 quake mag 3.0), Grímsnes (2 quakes between mag 0.2-1.2), Hulubelu (1 quake mag 2.3), Ischia (1 quake mag 1.7), Jailolo (2 quakes between mag 2.1-2.5), Katla (14 quakes between mag 0.2-2.3), Kilauea (4 quakes between mag 1.7-2.3), Kolumbo (1 quake mag 1.1), Krafla (1 quake mag 1.1), Krísuvík (10 quakes between mag 0.0-1.3), Kupreanof (3 quakes between mag 1.5-2.0), La Palma (1 quake mag 1.8), Laacher See (1 quake mag 1.2), Ljósufjöll (5 quakes between mag 0.0-1.4), Martin (2 quakes between mag 0.3-1.3), Maunaloa (1 quake mag 1.7), Methana (2 quakes between mag 1.0-1.2), Prestahnukur (3 quakes between mag 0.7-1.2), Ruang (1 quake mag 2.9), Salton Buttes (2 quakes between mag 1.0-1.2), Sousaki (3 quakes between mag 0.8-1.2), Stepovak Bay 4 (1 quake mag 1.8), Tenerife (10 quakes between mag 0.4-1.1), Torfajökull (3 quakes between mag 0.0-1.2), Vatnafjöll (2 quakes between mag 0.2-1.8) (updated 16h50) Note: Earthquakes within 20 km from and at depths less than 50 km under active volcanoes are reported. The list is not complete because many volcanoes are not monitored and/or seismic data in high resolution is not available publicly.
Volcanoes with recent earthquakes above magnitude 2 or more than 10 quakes are listed below:
Bardarbunga volcano (Iceland): 19 earthquakes up to magnitude 1.7Possible earthquake swarm: 19 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 21 hours, the last being recorded quake 1 hour 9 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 3.30 and 0.00 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 1.7 quake 5.1 km SE of Bárðarbunga May 7, 2026 01:03 pm (Universal Time) (5 km ESE) 1.7 quake 5.6 km ESE of Bárðarbunga May 6, 2026 10:41 pm (Universal Time) (5 km E) 1.3 quake 7.4 km E of Bárðarbunga May 7, 2026 11:23 am (Universal Time) (7 km E) 1.1 quake 3.4 km SW of Bárðarbunga May 6, 2026 07:46 pm (Universal Time) (3 km WSW) 1.0 quake 3.9 km E of Bárðarbunga May 7, 2026 09:10 am (Universal Time) (4 km E) All earthquakes at BardarbungaBaru volcano (Panama): magnitude 2.9 earthquakeA magnitude 2.9 earthquake occurred at the volcano 1 hour 34 minutes ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 24.00 km depth at 18 km distance SW from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.9 quake 36 km northwest of David, Provincia de Chiriqui, Panama, May 7, 2026 10:16 am (GMT -5) (18 km SW) All earthquakes at BaruCampi Flegrei (Phlegrean Fields) volcano (Italy): 10 earthquakes up to magnitude 3.010 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 20 hours, the last being recorded quake 1 hour 51 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 10.00 and 0.56 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 3 km west of Naples, Napoli, Campania, Italy, May 7, 2026 12:50 am (GMT +2) (8 km ENE) 0.5 quake 3 km southeast of Pozzuoli, Napoli, Campania, Italy, May 7, 2026 12:38 am (GMT +2) (1 km W) 0.5 quake 4.5 km east of Pozzuoli, Napoli, Campania, Italy, May 6, 2026 09:31 pm (GMT +2) (1 km NE) 0.3 quake 3.3 km southeast of Pozzuoli, Napoli, Campania, Italy, May 7, 2026 04:59 pm (GMT +2) (2 km WSW) 0.3 quake 4.3 km east of Pozzuoli, Napoli, Campania, Italy, May 6, 2026 08:54 pm (GMT +2) (1 km NE) All earthquakes at Campi Flegrei (Phlegrean Fields)Clear Lake volcano (California): 46 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.5Possible earthquake swarm: 46 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 22 hours, the last being recorded quake 1 hour 28 minutes ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 4.00 and 0.04 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 2.5 quake 26 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, May 7, 2026 02:44 am (GMT -7) (18 km S) 2.3 quake Lake County, 25 mi north of Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, United States, May 7, 2026 02:49 am (GMT -7) (18 km S) 2.1 quake 12 mi southwest of Clearlake, Lake County, California, United States, May 7, 2026 02:49 am (GMT -7) (18 km S) 1.8 quake Sonoma County, 13 mi southwest of Clearlake, Lake County, California, United States, May 7, 2026 02:45 am (GMT -7) (17 km S) 1.7 quake Sonoma County, 14 mi southwest of Clearlake, Lake County, California, United States, May 7, 2026 03:02 am (GMT -7) (19 km S) All earthquakes at Clear LakeEl Chichón volcano (Southern Mexico): 9 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.69 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 12 hours, the last being recorded quake 9 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 4.40 and 2.90 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 2.6 quake Estado de Chiapas, 37 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, May 6, 2026 09:37 pm (GMT -6) (1 km SSW) 2.5 quake Estado de Chiapas, 37 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, May 7, 2026 12:09 am (GMT -6) (1 km SSW) 2.4 quake Estado de Chiapas, 36 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, May 6, 2026 05:54 pm (GMT -6) (2 km ESE) 2.4 quake Estado de Chiapas, 37 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, May 7, 2026 12:23 am (GMT -6) (1 km NNW) 2.4 quake Estado de Chiapas, 35 km southwest of Teapa, Estado de Tabasco, Mexico, May 6, 2026 01:48 pm (GMT -6) (2 km E) All earthquakes at El ChichónEldey volcano (Iceland): 17 earthquakes up to magnitude 1.9Possible earthquake swarm: 17 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 19 hours, the last being recorded quake 4 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 10.00 and 0.00 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 1.9 quake 7.3 km NNW of Eldey May 7, 2026 07:05 am (Universal Time) (8 km N) 1.7 quake 7.0 km N of Eldey May 7, 2026 07:08 am (Universal Time) (8 km N) 1.5 quake 6.9 km N of Eldey May 7, 2026 07:23 am (Universal Time) (8 km N) 1.4 quake 8.2 km N of Eldey May 7, 2026 07:03 am (Universal Time) (10 km N) 1.2 quake 5.7 km W of Reykjanestá May 7, 2026 01:01 am (Universal Time) (12 km NE) All earthquakes at EldeyEldey is located at the beginning of the Reykjanes Ridge off the SW tip of Iceland. Its highest elevation is the top of Eldey Island, but most of the volcanic edifice is submerged. Several eruptions occurred in historic times, last in 1926. Esteli volcano (Nicaragua): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 19 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 10 km distance SSE from the volcano. Earthquake details: Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 1.8 km southwest of Esteli, Departamento de Esteli, Nicaragua, May 6, 2026 03:34 pm (GMT -6) (10 km SSE) All earthquakes at EsteliGilbanta volcano (Lesser Sunda Islands): magnitude 2.3 earthquakeA magnitude 2.3 earthquake occurred at the volcano 12 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 13.00 km depth at 14 km distance SSE from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.3 quake Flores Sea, East Nusa Tenggara, 14 km southeast of Gili Banta Island, Indonesia, May 7, 2026 12:43 pm (GMT +8) (14 km SSE) All earthquakes at GilbantaGran Canaria volcano (Canary Islands): magnitude 3.0 earthquakeA magnitude 3.0 earthquake occurred at the volcano 6 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 10.00 km depth at 18 km distance ESE from the volcano. Earthquake details: Reported seismic-like event (likely no quake): 12 km south of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas, Canary Islands, Spain, May 7, 2026 11:58 am (GMT +1) (18 km ESE) All earthquakes at Gran CanariaHulubelu volcano (Sumatra): magnitude 2.3 earthquakeA magnitude 2.3 earthquake occurred at the volcano 19 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 3.00 km depth at 5 km distance ESE from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.3 quake Kabupaten Tanggamus, 72 km west of Bandar Lampung, Indonesia, May 7, 2026 04:20 am (GMT +7) (5 km ESE) All earthquakes at HulubeluJailolo volcano (Halmahera): 2 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.52 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 7 hours, the last being recorded quake 17 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 8.00 and 6.00 km. Earthquake details: 2.5 quake 35 km north of Ternate, Kota Ternate, North Maluku, Indonesia, May 7, 2026 08:50 am (GMT +9) (2 km N) 2.1 quake Maluku Sea, 38 km north of Ternate, Kota Ternate, North Maluku, Indonesia, May 7, 2026 02:09 am (GMT +9) (6 km NNW) All earthquakes at JailoloKatla volcano (Iceland): 14 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.3Possible earthquake swarm: 14 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 13 hours, the last being recorded quake 4 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 5.50 and 0.00 km. Earthquake details: (only 5 largest) 2.3 quake 1.7 km ESE of Goðabunga May 7, 2026 05:52 am (Universal Time) (8 km W) 1.6 quake 6.7 km E of Goðabunga May 7, 2026 09:20 am (Universal Time) (4 km NW) 1.1 quake 6.2 km ENE of Goðabunga May 7, 2026 12:44 pm (Universal Time) (6 km NW) 1.0 quake 5.2 km E of Goðabunga May 7, 2026 10:31 am (Universal Time) (5 km W) 1.0 quake Iceland: 3.8 km SSW of Goðabunga May 7, 2026 09:34 am (Reykjavik time) (12 km WSW) All earthquakes at KatlaKilauea volcano (Hawai'i (Big Island)): 4 earthquakes up to magnitude 2.34 earthquakes occurred near (under) the volcano during 12 hours, the last being recorded quake 9 hours ago. Hypocenter depths ranged between 33.19 and 0.22 km. Earthquake details: 2.3 quake 10.8 mi south of Volcano, Hawaii County, Hawaii, United States, May 6, 2026 10:15 pm (GMT -10) (15 km SSE) 1.9 quake 30 mi south of Hilo, Hawaii County, Hawaii, United States, May 6, 2026 10:15 am (GMT -10) (12 km SSE) 1.8 quake 30 mi southwest of Hilo, Hawaii County, Hawaii, United States, May 6, 2026 04:09 pm (GMT -10) (14 km W) 1.7 quake 26 mi south of Hilo, Hawaii County, Hawaii, United States, May 6, 2026 08:04 pm (GMT -10) (13 km ESE) All earthquakes at KilaueaRuang volcano (Sulawesi & Sangihe Islands): magnitude 2.9 earthquakeA magnitude 2.9 earthquake occurred at the volcano 23 hours ago. The quake, which might be volcanic in origin, was located at a depth of 27.00 km depth at 15 km distance S from the volcano. Earthquake details: 2.9 quake Celebes Sea, 20 km south of Wanua Tagulandang Island, Sulawesi Utara, Indonesia, May 7, 2026 01:46 am (GMT +8) (15 km S) All earthquakes at Ruanghttps://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquakes-volcanoes/news/301667/Volcano-earthquake-report-for-Thursday-7-May-2026.html
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Webmaster
1 hour ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1132 AM CDT Thu May 07 2026
Valid 071700Z - 081200Z
...Morning Update... A deep, dry airmass aloft was depicted in the 12z TBW sounding. Clear skies across the FL Peninsula are promoting rising temperatures and ample boundary layer mixing. Current surface observations portray sporadic wind gusts of 15-20 mph along the FL First Coast and sustained winds increasing to 10 mph. Relative humidity will quickly decline this afternoon as maximum temperatures approach the low-mid 90s F where 95-98th percentile ERCs exist, supportive of an Elevated fire weather threat. See the previous discussion for more information.
..Elizalde-Garcia.. 05/07/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1258 AM CDT Thu May 07 2026/
...Synopsis... An upper-level trough and attendant strong mid-level southwesterly flow will progress eastward into the eastern CONUS today. A related cold front and associated rainfall will near the Southeast Coast by this afternoon. Elevated west to southwest winds south of the advancing front amid low relative humidity and dry fuels will bring a fire weather threat to portions of FL today. An upper ridge building over the western U.S. will promote warm and dry conditions across the region today.
...Florida Peninsula... West to southwest winds of around 10 mph with higher gusts across northern FL will evolve within a tightening pressure gradient manifested by an advancing cold front to the north. Near record high surface temperatures within a dry and well-mixed boundary layer reaching the lower to middle 90s F, will promote afternoon RH of 25-35% across inland and eastern portions of the FL Peninsula. Numerous active wildfires are present across northern FL amid a very dry and drought stressed fuelscape. The dry conditions combined with an emerging steady west to southwest wind late morning through the afternoon will support an Elevated fire weather threat in portions of northeastern and east-central FL Peninsula.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html
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SPC May 7, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Webmaster
1 hour ago
SPC May 7, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookSPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook  Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1120 AM CDT Thu May 07 2026
Valid 071630Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO NORTH FLORIDA AND FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA...
...SUMMARY... Widely scattered severe storms capable of damaging winds and a brief tornado are possible through the mid afternoon across the Florida Panhandle into north Florida and far southern Georgia. Isolated strong to severe storms are also possible in parts of the Carolinas, as well as south-central Texas.
...FL Panhandle into north FL and far southern GA... A mid-level vorticity lobe over the Mid South is forecast to rapidly move east and reach the NC Outer Banks by mid evening. Late morning satellite/radar imagery shows a broken band of strong to severe thunderstorms ahead of a cold front and draped west-southwest to east-northeast. A moist and fully modified boundary layer extends from the northeast Gulf into the FL Panhandle and Big Bend with notably drier air over interior north FL. Convergence along the front is forecast to weaken late today into tonight as a weak low over the Carolinas shifts offshore. However, the prefrontal airmass will remain moist, moderately unstable, and strongly sheared (50+ kt effective shear) across the FL Panhandle vicinity through the mid afternoon. Embedded cells within the bands will potentially be capable of wind damage and perhaps a brief tornado before this activity gradually weakens as it moves into a less-buoyant regime farther east of north FL.
...Carolinas... Some thinning of cloud cover and modest heating ahead of the cold front will yield weak buoyancy prior to the front clearing the coast later today. Weak low-level lapse rates will tend to limit the overall severe risk (i.e., localized wind damage potential). However, will maintain low wind probabilities this outlook update due to the possibility for a couple of deeper updrafts to organize within a region with strong deep-layer wind fields.
...Edwards Plateau into the Lower Rio Grande Valley... Elevated buoyancy will likely persist throughout the day with a few stronger updrafts intermittently developing over the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau. Strong deep-layer vertical shear (i.e. effective bulk shear from 50 to 60 kt) and 1000+ J/kg MUCAPE may support the potential for an isolated risk for marginally severe hail. Farther south and displaced away from the higher terrain, very low thunderstorm coverage is expected despite a modifying and more moist airmass. Have trimmed hail probabilities over this region due to the lack of storm coverage in the latest model guidance.
..Smith/Chalmers.. 05/07/2026
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1630.html
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World Earthquake Report for Thursday, 7 May 2026
Webmaster
1 hour ago
World Earthquake Report for Thursday, 7 May 2026 Worldwide earthquakes above magnitude 3 during the past 24 hours on 7 May 2026 Summary: 4 quakes 5.0+, 35 quakes 4.0+, 157 quakes 3.0+, 361 quakes 2.0+ (557 total)This report is being updated every hour.Magnitude 5+: 4 earthquakes Magnitude 4+: 35 earthquakes Magnitude 3+: 157 earthquakes Magnitude 2+: 361 earthquakes No quakes of magnitude 6 or higher 10 largest earthquakes in the world (past 24 hours)Wednesday, May 6, 2026, at 08:53 pm (GMT -12) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 12:23 pm (GMT +11) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 11:48 pm (GMT +12) - Wednesday, May 6, 2026, at 05:19 pm (GMT -2) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 11:31 pm (GMT +12) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 03:15 pm (GMT +11) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 02:13 am (GMT -6) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 03:39 pm (GMT +9) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 08:53 am (GMT +12) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 02:06 pm (GMT +13) - Earthquakes reported feltWednesday, May 6, 2026, at 09:45 am (GMT -7) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 02:42 am (GMT -7) - Wednesday, May 6, 2026, at 05:06 pm (Guayaquil time) - Wednesday, May 6, 2026, at 04:15 pm (GMT -6) - Wednesday, May 6, 2026, at 10:20 pm (GMT -7) - Wednesday, May 6, 2026, at 04:02 pm (GMT -6) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 04:14 pm (GMT +8) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 04:36 pm (GMT +1) - Wednesday, May 6, 2026, at 10:31 pm (GMT +3) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 08:35 am (GMT +3) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 09:31 am (GMT -3) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 12:23 pm (GMT +11) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 11:14 am (GMT +5:45) - Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 10:48 am (Jakarta time) - Earthquake stats  https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquake/news/301676/World-Earthquake-Report-for-Thursday-7-May-2026.html
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SPC Tornado Watch 191 Status Reports
Webmaster
1 hour ago
SPC Tornado Watch 191 Status ReportsWW 0191 Status Updates 
STATUS REPORT ON WW 191
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW PNS TO 15 SE CEW.
WW 191 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 07/17Z.
..GLEASON..05/07/26
ATTN...WFO...MOB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 191
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC033-091-113-071700-
FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
GMZ633-634-635-071700-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0191.html
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Saturday: Light Rain Showers, Minimum Temperature: 7°C (45°F) Maximum Temperature: 17°C (63°F)
Webmaster
4 hours ago
Maximum Temperature: 17°C (63°F), Minimum Temperature: 7°C (45°F), Wind Direction: north-easterly, Wind Speed: 9mph, Visibility: Good, Pressure: 1020mb, Humidity: 67%, UV Risk: 3, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 05:20 BST, Sunset: 20:52 BST Source: Saturday: Light Rain Showers, Minimum Temperature: 7°C (45°F) Maximum Temperature: 17°C (63°F)
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Friday: Light Rain, Minimum Temperature: 9°C (48°F) Maximum Temperature: 17°C (62°F)
Webmaster
4 hours ago
Maximum Temperature: 17°C (62°F), Minimum Temperature: 9°C (48°F), Wind Direction: southerly, Wind Speed: 3mph, Visibility: Good, Pressure: 1017mb, Humidity: 63%, UV Risk: 2, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 05:21 BST, Sunset: 20:50 BST Source: Friday: Light Rain, Minimum Temperature: 9°C (48°F) Maximum Temperature: 17°C (62°F)
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Today: Light Rain Showers, Minimum Temperature: 9°C (47°F) Maximum Temperature: 15°C (59°F)
Webmaster
4 hours ago
Maximum Temperature: 15°C (59°F), Minimum Temperature: 9°C (47°F), Wind Direction: southerly, Wind Speed: 7mph, Visibility: Very Good, Pressure: 1014mb, Humidity: 45%, UV Risk: 2, Pollution: Low, Sunrise: 05:23 BST, Sunset: 20:49 BST Source: Today: Light Rain Showers, Minimum Temperature: 9°C (47°F) Maximum Temperature: 15°C (59°F)
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SPC May 7, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Webmaster
4 hours ago
SPC May 7, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookSPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook  Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0749 AM CDT Thu May 07 2026
Valid 071300Z - 081200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTH GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FLORDIA PANHANDLE...
...SUMMARY... Widely scattered severe storms capable of damaging winds and a couple tornadoes are possible today across southeast Alabama, and portions of south Georgia and north Florida, including the Panhandle. Isolated strong to severe storms are also possible in parts of the Carolinas, as well as the lower Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas.
...Southern AL/Southern GA/FL Panhandle into northern FL... Regional radar imagery shows showers and thunderstorms ongoing from far eastern LA northeastward into southern GA. These storms are occurring along and ahead of a cold front that extends from a surface low over northwest GA southwestward into the western Gulf. The environment preceding this front is moist, modestly buoyant, and strongly sheared (i.e. 50 to 70 kt of 0-6 km bulk shear). These conditions are supporting occasional intensification of the updrafts embedded within the predominately linear structures.
This trend is forecast to continue for at least the next few hours before the stronger low-level flow (which currently extends from the western FL Panhandle/southern AL through southern GA) gradually shifts northeastward. As such, the greatest tornado potential will exist during the first few hours of the forecast period. Otherwise, damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazard as storms progress southeast through the central/western FL Panhandle and northern FL.
...Carolinas... Buoyancy is expected to be lower here than areas farther southwest, with poor lapse rates expected to limit instability to generally less than 500 j/kg. The surface low over northwest GA is forecast to shift northeastward throughout the day, with low to mid-level wind fields strengthening at the same time. Ascent near the low and associated front coupled with the modest buoyancy will result in occasionally deeper convective elements along and ahead of the cold front from late morning into afternoon. Robust deep-layer wind fields across the region will support the potential for damaging gusts with any deeper, more persistent updrafts.
...Lower Rio Grande Valley/South TX... A few isolated thunderstorms have developed east of Del Rio where steep mid-level lapse rates are supporting elevated buoyancy atop a stable boundary layer (as observed on the 12Z DRT sounding). This elevated buoyancy will likely persist throughout the day, combining with strong deep-layer vertical shear (i.e. effective bulk shear from 50 to 60 kt) to support the potential for supercell structures capable of isolated large hail and locally damaging wind gusts. Additionally, there is a low-probability chance for a few storms farther south into the Lower RGV this evening, where the environment remains supportive of large hail.
..Mosier/Dean.. 05/07/2026
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.html
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Moderate magnitude 4.4 earthquake 24 miles north of Santa Rosa, California, United States
Webmaster
8 hours ago
Moderate magnitude 4.4 earthquake 24 miles north of Santa Rosa, California, United States A magnitude 4.4 earthquake near Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California, USA, was reported only 2 minutes ago by the United States Geological Survey, considered the key international and national agency that monitors seismic activity in the US. The earthquake occurred at a very shallow depth of 5.6 miles beneath the epicenter early morning on Thursday, May 7th, 2026, at 2:42 am local time. The exact magnitude, epicenter, and depth of the quake might be revised within the next few hours or minutes as seismologists review data and refine their calculations, or as other agencies issue their report. Our monitoring service identified a second report from The Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology (IRIS) which listed the quake at magnitude 4.4 as well. Based on the preliminary seismic data, the quake was probably felt by many people in the area of the epicenter. It should not have caused significant damage, other than objects falling from shelves, broken windows, etc. In Cobb (pop. 1,800) located 5 miles from the epicenter, the quake should have been felt as light shaking. Weak shaking might have been felt in Clearlake (pop. 15,200) located 15 miles from the epicenter, Windsor (pop. 27,500) 16 miles away, Santa Rosa (pop. 178,100) 24 miles away, and Rohnert Park (pop. 42,400) 31 miles away. Other towns or cities near the epicenter where the quake might have been felt as very weak shaking include Agua Caliente (pop. 27,100) located 36 miles from the epicenter, Petaluma (pop. 60,400) 39 miles away, Napa (pop. 80,400) 43 miles away, and Novato (pop. 55,500) 48 miles away. VolcanoDiscovery will automatically update magnitude and depth if these change and follow up if other significant news about the quake become available. If you’re in the area, please send us your experience through our reporting mechanism, either online or via our mobile app. This will help us provide more first-hand updates to anyone around the globe who wants to know more about this quake.
Earthquake data: Date & time: May 7, 2026 09:42 am (Universal Time) local time (7 May 2026 09:42 GMT)Magnitude: 4.4 Depth: 9.00 km Epicenter latitude / longitude: 38.78°N / 122.8°W  ( Sonoma County, California, United States) Primary data source: USGShttps://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquake/news/301689/Moderate-magnitude-44-earthquake-24-miles-north-of-Santa-Rosa-California-United-States.html
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