No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 15 Aug 2026 22:58:06 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 14 Aug 2026 23:21:56 GMT

Source: There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 152320
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Aug 15 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Lala, located just offshore of South Point, Hawaii.

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Hernan, located well west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

South of Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form several hundred miles south of
the coast of southern Mexico around the middle portion of next week.
Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter
while the system moves west-northwestward well south of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Western Portion of the East Pacific:
An area of low pressure is expected form well to the west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula early next
week. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form
during the middle to latter portions of next week while it moves
generally westward across the western portion of the east Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 15 Aug 2026 21:28:26 GMT

Source: Post-Tropical Cyclone Hernan Graphics

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 15 2026

000
FOPZ13 KNHC 152042
PWSEP3
                                                                    
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERNAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082026               
2100 UTC SAT AUG 15 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERNAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KATZ/BERG

Source: Post-Tropical Cyclone Hernan Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

Issued at 1100 AM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

406 
WTPZ43 KNHC 152042
TCDEP3
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Hernan Discussion Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP082026
1100 AM HST Sat Aug 15 2026
 
Hernan continues to remain a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds with 
no active deep convection. A recent ASCAT pass showed that the winds 
are around 20 to 25 kts at most in the northern portion of the 
cyclone. As a result of that, the initial intensity has been lowered 
to 25 kt. 
 
Given that the cyclone is moving into an area of higher shear and 
drier air, gradual weakening is expected over the next couple of 
days. The current forecast calls for Hernan to become a trough in 
about 60 h in agreement with the global models.
 
The initial motion is 255/10 kt. A low- to mid-level ridge to the
north should steer Hernan and its remnants westward for the next
few days. The new forecast track is similar to, but a little faster
than, the previous track.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  15/2100Z 15.8N 135.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  16/0600Z 15.9N 137.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  16/1800Z 16.1N 139.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  17/0600Z 16.4N 141.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  17/1800Z 16.5N 143.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  18/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Katz/Berg

Source: Post-Tropical Cyclone Hernan Forecast Discussion Number 12

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 15 2026

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 152042
TCMEP3
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082026
2100 UTC SAT AUG 15 2026
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 135.9W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 135.9W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 135.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.9N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.1N 139.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.4N 141.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.5N 143.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 135.9W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER ON HERNAN. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW 
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.

 
$$
FORECASTER KATZ/BERG

Source: Post-Tropical Cyclone Hernan Forecast Advisory Number 12

Issued at 1100 AM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 152042
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Hernan Advisory Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP082026
1100 AM HST Sat Aug 15 2026
 
...HERNAN HAS BECOME A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY ON THE SYSTEM...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 135.9W
ABOUT 1760 MI...2835 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Hernan was located near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 135.9 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19
km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through the
next few days.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow weakening is forecast to occur over the next couple of days
before dissipation occurs on Tuesday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane 
Center on Hernan. For additional information on the remnant low 
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and 
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
 
$$
Forecaster Katz/Berg

Source: Post-Tropical Cyclone Hernan Public Advisory Number 12

...HERNAN HAS BECOME A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY ON THE SYSTEM... As of 11:00 AM HST Sat Aug 15 the center of Hernan was located near 15.8, -135.9 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

Source: Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Hernan (EP3/EP082026)

000
ABNT20 KNHC 151743
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic about
midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles is
producing a limited area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The system is moving into an area of less favorable environmental
conditions and development of this system is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown

Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

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