000

ABPZ20 KNHC 042321

TWOEP



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

500 PM PDT Sat Jul 4 2020



For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:



A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of

the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to

produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if

any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next few days

while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.



An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast

of southeastern Mexico and Guatemala in a couple of days.

Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual

development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the

middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward, well

south of the coast of southern Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.



$$

Forecaster Stewart


Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook