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#468662
Fri 07 Sep 2018 08:42:PM
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903
Launch Director
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OP
Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903 |
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 07 2018
693
FOPZ12 KNHC 072042
PWSEP2
HURRICANE OLIVIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172018
2100 UTC FRI SEP 07 2018
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLIVIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
20N 135W 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
20N 135W 50 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
25N 135W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 140W 34 1 12(13) 24(37) 2(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
20N 140W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
25N 140W 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 16(35) 1(36) X(36)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
25N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 10(19) 1(20) X(20)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 20(31) 2(33)
20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10)
20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 1(20)
25N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 4(33)
20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10)
20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 17(28)
20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22)
21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21)
HANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16)
LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Source: Hurricane Olivia Wind Speed Probabilities Number 29
David Cottle
UBB Owner & Administrator
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