Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 23 2019


000
WTPZ25 KNHC 230231
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102019
0300 UTC FRI AUG 23 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 114.1W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 70SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 114.1W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 114.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.5N 115.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.2N 116.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.0N 117.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.6N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 28.5N 120.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 114.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




Source: Tropical Storm Ivo Forecast Advisory Number 7