Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 23 2019


135
WTPZ25 KNHC 230837
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102019
0900 UTC FRI AUG 23 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 114.5W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 100SE 80SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 120SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 114.5W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 114.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.0N 115.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE 80SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.5N 116.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.0N 116.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 27.5N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 114.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





Source: Tropical Storm Ivo Forecast Advisory Number 8