Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 03 2022


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 030847
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042022
0900 UTC SUN JUL 03 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 90.6W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 90.6W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 90.0W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 12.1N 92.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 12.8N 95.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 13.6N 98.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.5N 101.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.2N 104.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.6N 106.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 16.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 16.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 90.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART




Source: Tropical Storm Bonnie Forecast Advisory Number 23