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#702547
Wed 25 Oct 2023 02:49:AM
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903
Launch Director
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OP
Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903 |
Issued at 0300 UTC WED OCT 25 2023
000
FOPZ13 KNHC 250249
PWSEP3
HURRICANE OTIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182023
0300 UTC WED OCT 25 2023
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 140
KTS...160 MPH...260 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
L CARDENAS 34 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 13 14(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
15N 100W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ACAPULCO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ACAPULCO 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ACAPULCO 64 91 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
P MALDONADO 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
Source: Hurricane Otis Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
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