Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0149 PM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024

Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

The previous forecast remains generally on track with adjustments
made based on trends in latest guidance. Localized elevated
conditions remain possible Friday afternoon - mainly for wind prone
locations in the vicinity of terrain features. See the previous
discussion below for additional details.

..Moore.. 03/21/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0135 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024/

...Synopsis...
Elevated fire-weather conditions are possible on Friday afternoon
across portions of West TX. Elsewhere, a progressive weather pattern
and associated widespread precipitation -- along with a trailing
cold front and milder conditions -- will temper any fire-weather
threat.

...West TX...
In the wake of an ejecting, mid-level trough, modest
west-northwesterly flow is forecast over eastern NM and West TX.
This will lead to dry, downsloping flow and deepening, well-mixed
boundary layers across West TX. Critical-level relative humidities
(10-15 percent) are possible across the region by mid-afternoon.
Given a lack of more robust cyclone development, surface wind speeds
are expected to be more tempered around 10-15 mph. Parts of the
region also recently experienced some wetting precipitation, but
this was relatively limited (around 0.1 inches) and localized in
nature. Given forecast ERCs in the 70-80th percentiles and generally
persistent dry and windy conditions, Elevated fire-weather
conditions appear possible in the delineated area Friday afternoon.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...