Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUL 04 2024


000
WTNT22 KNHC 042034
TCMAT2

HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024
2100 UTC THU JUL 04 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 84.3W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 84.3W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 83.5W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.0N 86.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.7N 89.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.6N 91.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.6N 93.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.6N 95.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.5N 96.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 26.5N 98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 29.0N 99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 84.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




Source: Hurricane Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 25