Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUL 04 2024 


996 
FONT12 KNHC 042035
PWSAT2
                                                                    
HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024               
2100 UTC THU JUL 04 2024                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
 
CAMERON LA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   6(16)   2(18)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)   2(15)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  10(17)   2(19)
PORT O CONNOR  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
ROCKPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   2(12)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   2(12)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)  10(30)   2(32)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
MCALLEN TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)   2(18)
 
HARLINGEN TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  11(20)   3(23)
HARLINGEN TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  11(24)   2(26)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  44(49)   7(56)   1(57)
GFMX 250N 960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   5(22)   1(23)
GFMX 250N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
LA PESCA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   8(16)   1(17)
 
TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
 
TUXPAN MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
VERACRUZ MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MERIDA MX      34  2  57(59)  15(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
MERIDA MX      50  X   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
COZUMEL MX     34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
COZUMEL MX     50 62  20(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
COZUMEL MX     64 15  20(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
BELIZE CITY    34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GUANAJA        34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 19   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN



Source: Hurricane Beryl Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25