FZPN02 KWBC 192325

HSFEPI



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

2345 UTC SUN AUG 19 2018



CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.



SEE ANNOUNCEMENT OF PLANNED INMARSAT I-3 TO I-4 MIGRATION

IN 2018 AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/GMDSS_NOTICE.PHP (LOWERCASE).



ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).



PAN PAN



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT

TO 50N 160E



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 19.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 20.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 21.



.WARNINGS.



...GALE WARNING...

.LOW 49N162W 991 MB MOVING SE 10 KT AND WILL TURN NE AFTER 12

HOURS. WITHIN 480 NM OF LOW EXCEPT 600 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 25

TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT...EXCEPT 10 TO 20 FT SW QUADRANT.

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM SE AND 720 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25

KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N157W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT

AND WITHIN 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

ELSEWHERE FROM 34N TO 53N BETWEEN 149W AND 165W WINDS TO 25 KT.

SEAS TO 10 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS DESCRIBED WITH GALE

WARNING IMMEDIATELY BELOW.



...GALE WARNING...

.OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE AND E OF A FRONT TO

EXTEND FROM 58N154W TO 53N148W TO 46N148W TO 42N150W WINDS 25 TO

35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND E OF A

FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 58N154W TO 53N148W TO 46N148W TO 42N150W TO

34N156W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM

60N145W TO 45N144W TO 37N150W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 58N148W 1009 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE

QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. FROM 48N TO 60N BETWEEN 137W

AND 148W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.



...GALE WARNING...

.LOW W OF AREA 54N162E 987 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. OVER FORECAST

WATERS WITHIN 480 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15

FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 660 NM NE AND 780 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20

TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA 56N168E 984 MB. WITHIN 240 NM

NE...600 NM SE...AND 840 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS

10 TO 20 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 57N171E 987 MB. WITHIN 720 NM SE AND SW

QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN

360 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 35N TO 54N BETWEEN 124W AND 132W AREA

OF N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 34N TO 54N BETWEEN 124W AND 133W AREA OF

N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 42N124W 1011 MB. FROM 34N TO 54N

BETWEEN 125W AND 137W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.



.24 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE

OF A LINE FROM 60N178W TO 57N175W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DESCRIBED WITH LOW 57N171E IN

WARNINGS SECTION ABOVE.



.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 38N160E 1015 MB. WITHIN 600 NM E

QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A

LINE FROM 35N167E TO 46N173W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.



.48 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS S OF 33N BETWEEN 159W AND

179E WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST

WATERS FROM 40N TO 55N BETWEEN 142W AND 149W...FROM 56N TO 59N

BETWEEN 148W AND 153W...AND FROM 39N TO 56N BETWEEN 179W AND

172E.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 56N BETWEEN 142W AND

149W...AND WITHIN 180 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 50N169W TO 46N175W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE

FROM 55N178W TO 46N177W TO 40N176E.



.HIGH 59N140W 1033 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.



.HIGH 48N137W 1033 MB MOVING SW 10 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 45N138W 1031 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 40N142W 1029 MB.



.HIGH 39N177W 1025 MB MOVING SE 15 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 37N172W 1026 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 39N163W 1029 MB.



.HIGH 35N175E 1025 MB MOVING E 05 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 35N177E 1025 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.



.FORECASTER FIGURSKEY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 19.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 20.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 21.



.WARNINGS.



.NONE.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.HURRICANE LANE W OF AREA NEAR 13.5N 144.6W. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED

BY 22N140W TO 17N135W TO 13N140W TO 22N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.18 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LANE W OF AREA. OVER FORECAST WATERS

WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SUN AUG 19...



.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 86W N OF 05N...SCATTERED MODERATE

ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 83W AND 90W.



.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 109W FROM 05N TO 17N...SCATTERED

MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 09N BETWEEN 102W AND 113W

AND FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 101W AND 108W.



.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 126W FROM 05N TO 18N...SCATTERED

MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 119W AND 127W.



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 07N100W TO 10N120W TO

10N124W. ITCZ FROM 09N127W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE

ISOLATED STRONG N OF 04N E OF 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N

TO 08N BETWEEN 92W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 11N

BETWEEN 135W AND 140W.





.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E



SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 19 2018.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 20 2018.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 21 2018.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE LANE NEAR 13.5N 144.6W AT 2100Z MOVING W 12 KT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS TO 135 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR

GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE...70 NM SE...40 NM SW...80 NM NW

QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 280 NM NE...160 NM

SE...180 NM SW...260 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT

ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 141W AND 147W. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT

ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 09N TO 21 N E OF 150W.

NUMEROUS STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. ISOLATED MODERATE

TSTMS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N E OF 147W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LANE NEAR 14.1N 148.4W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER

WITHIN 100 NM NE...80 NM SE...45 NM SW...95 NM NW QUADRANTS.

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 146W AND 152W.

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 145W AND

151W. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 145W AND

157W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LANE NEAR 14.6N 152.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WIND 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER WITHIN

100 NM NE...80 NM SE...45 NM SW...95 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT

OR HIGHER FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 149W AND 154W. WINDS 20 TO 33

KT ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 147W AND 156W. SEAS 8 TO 12

FT ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 22N BETWEEN 148W AND 160W.

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LANE NEAR 15.2N 155.3W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WIND 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER WITHIN

110 NM NE...85 NM SE...50 NM SW...100 NM NW QUADRANTS.



EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.



.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LANE NEAR 16.5N 158.4W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LANE NEAR 18.2N 161.4W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.



FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH

CAUTION DUE TO FORECAST UNCERTAINTY. PLEASE REFER TO WTPA22 PHFO

FOR MORE DETAILS.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.FRONT FROM 30N165W TO 26N175W MOVING SSE 10 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAK FRONT FROM 30N161W TO 25N175W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING FRONT FROM 30N158W TO 27N170W TO

26N178W.



.TROUGH FROM 26N161W TO 21N160W TO 19N159W MOVING WNW SLOWLY.

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 25N158W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 25N162W TO 21N163W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.



.TROUGH FROM 10N155W TO 11N161W TO 10N175W TO 08N177E TO 01N170E

MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG TSTMS FROM

06N TO 15N BETWEEN 153W AND 178W...S OF 09N BETWEEN TROUGH AND

165E... AND S OF 01N BETWEEN 166E AND 170E.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 09N169E TO 02N162E...AND SECOND

TROUGH FROM 10N164W TO 03N172W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FIRST TROUGH DISSIPATED. SECOND TROUGH FROM

10N172W TO 02N178W.



.TROUGH FROM 21N171E TO 16N175E MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED TO

LOCALLY ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 170E AND

179E.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.



.RIDGE FROM 30N150W TO 28N161W NEARLY STATIONARY.



.RIDGE FROM 18N164E TO 11N160E MOVING W SLOWLY.



.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS REST OF FORECAST AREA.



.THE FOLLOWING SEAS ARE THOSE NOT ASSOCIATED WITH HURCN LANE.



.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 9 FT N OF LINE FROM 22N155W TO

24N163W TO 28N175W.



.SEAS 8 FT OR LESS REST OF FORECAST AREA.



.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 167W AND

177W...AND N OF 21N W OF 169E.



$$



.FORECASTER KINEL. HONOLULU HI.


Source: OPC East and Central N Pacific High Seas Forecast


David Cottle

UBB Owner & Administrator