Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUL 19 2021


000
WTPZ21 KNHC 191438 CCA
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062021
1500 UTC MON JUL 19 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 132.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 132.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 131.7W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.2N 134.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.0N 136.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.5N 139.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 14.9N 142.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.5N 144.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.0N 147.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 13.6N 153.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 132.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




Source: Hurricane Felicia Forecast Advisory Number 22