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Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Tue Sep 6 2022



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Danielle, located more than 800 miles west-northwest of the Azores,

and on Tropical Storm Earl, located about 600 miles south of

Bermuda.



1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms persist from the Cabo Verde

Islands southwestward several hundred miles in association with a

broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions are conducive

for some development of this system, and a tropical depression could

form in a few days while moving westward to west-northwestward at 15

to 20 mph over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

Upper-level winds are likely to become less conducive for

development late this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.



2. African Coast:

A tropical wave currently located over western Africa is forecast to

emerge offshore into the eastern Atlantic in a day or two.

Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow

development thereafter as the system moves west-northwestward

over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Papin