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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. (AL90):
Satellite data and surface observations indicate that the low
pressure area offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast is moving
northeastward into the open Atlantic. This system is expected to
merge with with a front over the weekend, and the chances of
tropical cyclone development are decreasing. Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall is forecast to continue across portions
of the Florida peninsula through Saturday. For more information,
see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and local
National Weather Service Forecast Offices.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.


2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early
or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Weather Prediction Center products can be found at
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov and National Weather Service forecast
information can be found at www.weather.gov

Forecaster Beven