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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jul 23 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico
have changed little in organization during the day. Environmental
conditions could be conducive for some slow development over the
next couple of days while the disturbance moves generally
west-northwestward, remaining offshore of southwestern
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


2. Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slight
development of this system over the next few days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph across the central
and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Pasch