899 
WTNT25 KNHC 170257
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
0300 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  65.1W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  937 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 110SE  40SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  65.1W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  64.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.8N  66.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  45SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE  60SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 105SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.3N  69.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.5N  70.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 65NE  65SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 28.0N  72.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  45SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 32.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 260SE 190SW 180NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 37.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...140NE 170SE 145SW 110NW.
34 KT...260NE 290SE 255SW 225NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N  65.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN