Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0812 PM CDT Mon Oct 06 2025

Valid 070100Z - 071200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
An isolated potential for strong thunderstorms will be possible in
parts of east-central New Mexico early this evening. No appreciable
severe threat is expected across the U.S. through tonight.

...DISCUSSION...
On water vapor imagery, a shortwave trough is evident over the
northern Plains, extending southwestward into the Intermountain
West. Ahead of this feature within southwesterly mid-level flow,
isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from parts of
the southern Rockies into the southern High Plains, where a strong
storm will be possible. This potential is expected to diminish over
the next hour or two. Thunderstorms will also be possible this
evening from the south-central U.S. northeastward into the Great
Lakes region and Ohio Valley. Isolated thunderstorms will also be
possible in parts of the central Gulf Coast states and across the
southern and central Florida Peninsula. No appreciable severe threat
is expected across the continental U.S. through daybreak on Tuesday.

..Broyles.. 10/07/2025