517 
WTNT25 KNHC 102034
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102025
2100 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  63.6W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  63.6W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  63.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.4N  63.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.9N  63.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.3N  62.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.3N  62.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.4N  60.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.4N  58.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 30.1N  52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  63.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG