AUS-CITY Forums Satellite Television Weather Hurricane Melissa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35

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Hurricane Melissa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35

#780539 11 hours ago

Joined: Feb 2001

Posts: 381,904

Los Angeles, USA

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Launch Director

Webmaster

Launch Director

Joined: Feb 2001

Posts: 381,904

Los Angeles, USA

Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 30 2025

000
FONT13 KNHC 300255
PWSAT3
                                                                    
HURRICANE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025               
0300 UTC THU OCT 30 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  50(50)   X(50)   X(50)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  59(70)   X(70)   X(70)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  28(29)   X(29)   X(29)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  16(28)   X(28)   X(28)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
BERMUDA        34  X  30(30)  50(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
BERMUDA        50  X   1( 1)  25(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAN SALVADOR   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAN SALVADOR   64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MAYAGUANA      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE