AUS-CITY Forums Satellite Television Weather Hurricane Melissa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 37

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Hurricane Melissa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 37

#780721 Yesterday at 02:52 PM

Joined: Feb 2001

Posts: 381,904

Los Angeles, USA

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Launch Director

Webmaster

Launch Director

Joined: Feb 2001

Posts: 381,904

Los Angeles, USA

Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 30 2025

000
FONT13 KNHC 301452
PWSAT3
                                                                    
HURRICANE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025               
1500 UTC THU OCT 30 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  68(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)  11(11)  72(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)  41(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)  12(12)  20(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)  20(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
BERMUDA        34 24  62(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
BERMUDA        50  X  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HAGEN