Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0249 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2025

Valid 241200Z - 301200Z

...Days 3-6/Monday-Thursday...
A mid-level wave and attendant surface trough/frontal features will
support showers and thunderstorms across the southern/central Plains
on Day 3/Monday, with precipitation expanding and moving into the
lower MS River Valley and OH River Valley by Day 4/Tuesday. A strong
cold front extending southwestward from a deepening surface low in
the Upper Midwest should sweep across much of the eastern U.S.
midweek, reaching the Atlantic Coast late Day 5/Wednesday period. A
dry, post-frontal flow regime could overlap with pockets of dry
fuels across southern GA, northern FL and the Carolinas on Day
6/Thursday, but some preceding rainfall associated with the frontal
passage should mitigate a more significant fire weather threat
across the Southeast. The lower confidence in spatial distribution
of expected rainfall and marginal fuel environment precludes
introduction of critical probabilities at this time. 

...Days 6-8/Friday-Saturday...
A descending upper-level trough into the western U.S. and subsequent
lee cyclogenesis across the central/southern Plains could provide a
supportive environment for elevated winds and dry conditions across
the southern High Plains closer to Day 8/Saturday. However,
uncertainty in state of fuels from preceding rainfall through the
Day 2-3/Sunday-Monday period reduces predictability of critical fire
weather conditions late next week.

..Williams.. 11/22/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...