Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1045 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Valid 101700Z - 111200Z

...Southern Plains...
A dry, post-frontal air mass continues to filter into the Southern
Plains. Sustained north winds of 15-20 mph (locally 25 mph) combined
and relative humidity falling to around 15% will support elevated
fire weather conditions across a broad swath of the Southern Plains
through the afternoon. The best alignment of breezy north winds, low
relative humidity and dry fuels will be across south-central TX and
the Edwards Plateau areas, where the lack of recent rainfall events
have contributed to a more receptive fuelscape. Although some
rainfall had fallen across portions of northwestern TX, TX Panhandle
and southwestern OK in recent days, pockets of drier fine fuels that
avoided wetting rainfall could support a locally elevated fire
threat through the afternoon.

..Williams.. 01/10/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1258 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026/

...Synopsis...
Broad mid-level troughing will intensify as it moves eastward across
the US today and tonight. A cold front will sweep southeastward
through the Plains and southeast States with showers and
thunderstorms ahead of it. Strong high pressure will rapidly build
over the Rockies and western states. A dry post-frontal air mass
will develop in the wake of the front, with the driest portions
expected across parts of the Edwards Plateau and the Rio Grande
Valley. Downslope and gusty northerly winds of 20-25 mph will
overlap with RH values as low as 15-20% this afternoon. While some
rain has fallen over the eastern portions of south-central TX,
overall fuels remain quite dry. This will promote a few hours of
Elevated fire weather conditions in the Rio Grande Valley and
Edwards Plateau this afternoon. Fire weather concerns will quickly
diminish this evening as winds weaken and colder temperatures settle
into region.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...