000
FOPA14 PHFO 311455
PWSCP4
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16           
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122026         
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                    
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LOWELL WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  70(74)   2(76)   X(76)
15N 155W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  41(41)   1(42)   X(42)
15N 155W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)   1(24)   X(24)
 
18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  15(20)   2(22)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  62(65)  12(77)
15N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  37(38)  13(51)
15N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)   9(32)
 
20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
 
15N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)
15N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
15N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HAGEN