000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050507
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Oct 4 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Rachel, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

South of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located just to the south of the Gulf
of Tehuantepec is currently producing scattered showers and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear favorable for
gradual development, and a tropical depression is expected to form
during the middle to latter portion of the week while the system
moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward, just offshore of
the southern to southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook