489
ABPZ20 KNHC 062329
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Rachel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
A broad area of low pressure located offshore of southern Mexico is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. Regardless
of development, heavy rainfall is expected across portions of
southern and southwestern Mexico over the next few days. Interests
along the coast of southwestern Mexico should monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

South of Guatemala:
An area of low pressure is expected to form south of the coast of
Guatemala early next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive
for some gradual development of this system thereafter while it
moves generally west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pierce/Gibbs