Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0219 PM CDT Sat Oct 24 2026

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorm potential is expected to be low on Monday.

...Synopsis...
A midlevel low now over the lower CO River Valley will eject
east-northeastward Monday across KS/NE to IA/MN.  A few
thunderstorms will be possible along an associated baroclinic zone
from the central Plains into the southern High Plains.  Relatively
larger buoyancy/steeper lapse rates and marginal deep-layer vertical
shear are expected in the vicinity of far west TX, though confidence
is too low to add an outlook area for isolated large hail at this
time.  Otherwise, an upstream shortwave trough will progress inland
from OR to ID, where isolated lightning flashes will be possible
with low-topped convection closer to the OR coast.  Farther inland,
there is some potential for isolated flashes as far east as ID
during the afternoon/evening, but the magnitude of buoyancy is
questionable enough to preclude an outlook area.  Isolated
thunderstorms may also occur with returning moisture to the middle
and lower TX coast, and along the southeast FL coast on the western
periphery of a closed low over the Bahamas.

..Thompson.. 10/24/2026