SPC Nov 5, 2026 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook


Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0344 AM CST Thu Nov 05 2026

Valid 081200Z - 131200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Minimal thunderstorm potential is forecast across the CONUS through
the period.

Scattered showers and few elevated thunderstorms may persist over
far southern TX on Sun/D4 as a positive-tilt shortwave trough moves
out of Mexico an into TX. Lapse rates will generally be poor, with
marginal instability and moist profiles aided by east/southeast
surface winds. Severe weather is not expected with this activity.

Otherwise, an active northern stream jet will bring progressive
troughs east/southeastward across the northern Plains, Great Lakes
and Northeast/Mid Atlantic, with reinforcing areas of high pressure
maintaining stable conditions.


Read more
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/