Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0152 PM CST Thu Nov 05 2026

Valid 052000Z - 061200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are unlikely today and tonight.

...20z Updates...
Only minor adjustments were made to thunderstorm coverage based on
trends in radar. See previous discussion below for more information.

..Halbert-E.. 11/05/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1010 AM CST Thu Nov 05 2026/

...Mid Atlantic to southern New England...
Broad southwesterly flow aloft is present today over the eastern
states, with a moist surface air mass in place along and east of the
Appalachians.  Forcing will be weak through the day, but an
approaching upper trough over the central US will result in
increasing thunderstorm potential after dark - especially from the
Mid Atlantic region northward into southern New England.  Strong
winds aloft will result in fast-moving storms, but nocturnal cooling
will limit surface-based convective threat and the overall risk of
damaging winds.  Nevertheless, an occasional storm could pose some
concern for gusty winds.

...KS/OK...
A mid-level shortwave trough and associated pocket of cold mid-level
air will result in steep lapse rates and scattered afternoon
thunderstorms over parts of southern KS and northern OK.