|
0 members (),
161
guests, and
25
robots. |
Key:
Admin,
Global Mod,
Mod
|
S |
M |
T |
W |
T |
F |
S |
|
|
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
24
|
25
|
26
|
27
|
28
|
29
|
30
|
31
|
|
There are no members with birthdays on this day. |
#522925
Thu 19 Sep 2019 11:58:PM
|
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903
Launch Director
|
OP
Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903 |
Issued at 800 PM AST Thu Sep 19 2019
000 WTNT35 KNHC 192358 TCPAT5
BULLETIN Hurricane Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102019 800 PM AST Thu Sep 19 2019
...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING JERRY...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 56.5W ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Antigua and Barbuda has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for Barbuda and Anguilla.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * St. Maarten * St. Martin * St. Barthelemy * Saba and St. Eustatius
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 24-36 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of Jerry.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Jerry was located by an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 56.5 West. Jerry is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A west-northwest to northwest motion at a decreasing forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Jerry will move north of the northern Leeward Islands Friday, pass well north of Puerto Rico on Saturday and be well east-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Jerry could strengthen during the next day or so, but some weakening is anticipated by this weekend.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Jerry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch areas by early Friday.
RAINFALL: Jerry is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rainfall, with isolated maximum totals of 4 to 6 inches from Barbuda northwest across St. Maarten, Anguilla, and Anegada. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flash floods. Jerry is forecast to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches with maximum amounts of 3 inches across the the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.
SURF: Swells generated by Jerry are affecting portions of the northern Leeward Islands. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$ Forecaster Pasch
Source: Hurricane Jerry Public Advisory Number 10A
|
|
CMS The Best Conveyancing solicitors conveyancing quotes throughout the UK
For any webhosting enquiries please email webmaster@aus-city.com
|
Forums60
Topics687,219
Posts721,830
Members2,957
|
Most Online3,142 Jan 16th, 2023
|
|
|
|
Copyright 1996 - 2023 by David Cottle. Designed by David Bate Jr. All Rights Reserved.
By using this forum, the user agrees not to transfer any data or technical information received under the agreement, to any other entity without the express approval of the AUS-CITY Forum Admins and/or authors of individual posts (Forum Admins and DoD/USSPACECOM for the analysis of satellite tracking data).
Two-line elements (TLE) and all other satellite data presented and distributed via this forum and e-mail lists of AUS-CITY are distributed with permission from DoD/USSTRATCOM.
Reprise Hosting
|
|