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ABNT20 KNHC 291154

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2023



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Active Systems:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Franklin, located several hundred miles west-southwest of Bermuda,

and on recently upgraded Hurricane Idalia, located over the

southeastern Gulf of Mexico.



Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL92):

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in

association with an area of low pressure located several hundred

miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Environmental conditions appear

conducive for some additional development of this system, and a

short-lived tropical depression could form during the next day or

two while the system drifts generally northward over the central

subtropical Atlantic. By Thursday, upper-level winds are forecast to

become unfavorable for further development of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

A tropical wave located just off the west coast of Africa is

producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual

development of this system, and a tropical depression could form

later in the week while the system moves west-northwestward to

northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



$$

Forecaster Reinhart


Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook