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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 10 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Francine, located in the western Gulf of Mexico offshore of
northeastern Mexico.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical
Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear only
marginally conducive for some slight development during the next
couple of days, but a tropical depression could still form during
that time while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing a large but disorganized area of showers and
thunderstorms from near the Cabo Verde Islands extending
southwestward for several hundred miles. Environmental conditions
appear favorable for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression will likely form during the latter part of this
week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Gallina/Blake