AUS-CITY Forums Satellite Television Weather Hurricane Francine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

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Hurricane Francine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

#736304 Wed 11 Sep 2024 08:57:PM

Joined: Feb 2001

Posts: 678,977

Los Angeles, USA

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Launch Director

Joined: Feb 2001

Posts: 678,977

Los Angeles, USA

Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 11 2024



000
FONT11 KNHC 112056
PWSAT1
                                                                    
HURRICANE FRANCINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062024               
2100 UTC WED SEP 11 2024                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
MOBILE AL      34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GULFPORT MS    34 36   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 
STENNIS MS     34 79   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
STENNIS MS     50  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BURAS LA       34 44   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 
JACKSON MS     34  4  35(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 25   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HOUMA LA       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HOUMA LA       50 82   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
HOUMA LA       64 21   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 15   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
MORGAN CITY LA 64 81   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34 74   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NEW IBERIA LA  50 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN