000

ABNT20 KNHC 180511

TWOAT



Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):

Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized over the central

tropical Atlantic in association with the remnants of Gordon. This

system is forecast to interact with a non-tropical low to its north

while moving north-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph during the next

couple of days. Environmental conditions could become more conducive

for development later this week, and a tropical depression or storm

could re-form in a few days while the system moves slowly northward

over the central subtropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Northwestern Caribbean Sea:

A broad area of low pressure could form this weekend over the

northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, some slow development of

this system is possible through early next week while it moves

slowly to the north or northwest over the northwestern Caribbean

Sea.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



$$

Forecaster Papin


Source: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook