Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0440 PM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025

Valid 271200Z - 021200Z

...D3/Thursday: Parts of NM...
10% dry thunderstorm probabilities have been maintained across parts
of NM for D3/Thursday. Isolated diurnal storm development will again
be possible across much of NM into west TX. Storms along the western
periphery of the deeper moist plume are unlikely to produce more
than light precipitation, with potential for lightning strikes to
result in fire starts within a region of dry and receptive fuels. 

...D3/Thursday: Parts of FL...
Relatively dry conditions are expected to persist across parts of
the FL Peninsula on Thursday, within the influence of an offshore
surface ridge. Minimum RH values may drop below 35%, especially
across southeast portions of the peninsula. Winds are likely to
remain rather modest, but locally elevated conditions will be
possible during the afternoon and early evening. 

...D4/Friday - D8/Tuesday: Parts of NM into west TX and vicinity...
While predictability regarding the surface and upper-air pattern
gradually decreases with time into early next week, it appears
likely that multiple shortwaves will move across the southern
Rockies into the Plains beginning on D4/Friday. 40% critical
probabilities were maintained for Friday/Saturday and added for
Sunday for parts of NM into west TX. The magnitude and north/east
extent of critical potential remains uncertain this weekend, and
will depend on the timing and amplitude of any ejecting shortwaves. 

For D7/Monday into D8/Tuesday, confidence remains too low to
introduce critical probabilities, though elevated to potentially
critical conditions may persist or develop into early next week,
depending on the evolution of the pattern and persistent
mid/upper-level troughing across the Southwest.

..Dean.. 03/25/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...