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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,904
Launch Director
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OP
Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,904 |
SPC MD 1338MD 1338 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 429... FOR PARTS OF THE EASTERN OK/TX PANHANDLES INTO FAR NORTHWEST OK 
Mesoscale Discussion 1338 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0605 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025
Areas affected...Parts of the eastern OK/TX Panhandles into far northwest OK
Concerning...Tornado Watch 429...
Valid 172305Z - 180000Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 429 continues.
SUMMARY...Intensification of an ongoing discrete supercell is possible as it continues southeastward over the next couple hours -- with an associated risk of supercell tornadoes.
DISCUSSION...A discrete supercell has developed over the OK Panhandle, within a localized zone of surface convergence. Strongly unstable inflow for this storm and large streamwise vorticity (250-300 m2/s2 effective SRH) will support the intensification of this storm as it tracks southeastward over the next couple hours. If this occurs, supercell tornadoes and large hail will both be concerns.
..Weinman.. 06/17/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...
LAT...LON 36210108 36540117 36880094 36940061 36840023 36549987 36159998 36000034 36060075 36210108
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1338.html
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