Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Valid 250100Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TO THE TX/OK PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA...

...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are expected to continue evening across
the southern/central High Plains spanning from eastern Colorado into
western Oklahoma. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are also
possible for a few more hours across portions of Pennsylvania and
New York.

...Discussion...
Several thunderstorms are ongoing across southeast Colorado where a
few hail and wind reports have been received. These storms are
expected to congeal into larger clusters. However, the severe threat
should only last for a few more hours while moderate instability
remains. However, decreasing instability and increasing inhibition
should limit the overall threat by later this evening. See MCD 2012
for additional discussion of this threat area.

A few severe storms have developed across western Oklahoma this
evening where 1000 to 1500 J/kg MLCAPE and moderate shear is
present. These storms should persist for at least a few more hours
with a threat for large hail and severe wind gusts. Increasing
inhibition should reduce the threat by later this evening. See MCD
2011 for additional discussion of the near-term threat across this
area.

..Bentley.. 08/25/2025