024
ABPZ20 KNHC 201750
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 20 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of the Baja California Peninsula (EP96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has diminished in association with
an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. The system is moving
into an unfavorable environment, and development is no longer
expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Off the Coast of Southern Mexico (EP97):
A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south
of the southern coast of Mexico is producing a persistent but
disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are favorable for continued development, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next
couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph,
roughly parallel to the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.
The system could produce some locally heavy rain along portions of
the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico through Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Source: Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook