000
WTNT23 KNHC 240841
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
0900 UTC FRI OCT 24 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  75.5W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE  90SE  15SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  75.5W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  75.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.1N  75.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.6N  75.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.9N  75.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.9N  76.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.9N  77.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.9N  78.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 17.6N  78.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE  80SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 19.8N  77.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 120SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  75.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 24/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG